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Playoff Scenarios

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Theknees
(@theknees)
Posts: 563
Boatswain
 

Posted by: @bucsbits

"ESPN says the Bucs have a 75 percent probability of hosting a playoff game courtesy of another NFC South crown."

These percentages are done by modeling and have been super inaccurate lately and I am not sure why. 

The Patriots up 21 points had an 93% chance of winning that game at that point but, football doesn't work that way. 

You knew Vrabel's team was going to choke out at home.  That's kinda who the Pats are. 

 


 
Posted : Dec. 15, 2025 10:59 am
Avatar Of Olafsnowfake
(@bucsbits)
Posts: 9370
Captain
 

Posted by: @theknees

The Patriots up 21 points had an 93% chance of winning that game at that point but, football doesn't work that way. 

Exactly. Modeling is only as good as the chosen variables.

Winning in Charlotte under these circumstances is tough.  So a loss Sunday and the Bucs don't really control their own destiny?

 

Posted by: @badabingbucs

With a Panthers loss, the Bucs simply must split with the Panthers and end up with same record.  So at 8-9 (both lose to Miami and Seattle in week 17), Bucs would get in 

The Bucs would then need to beat the Panthers at home but only IF Seattle beats the Panthers?


 
Posted : Dec. 15, 2025 11:10 am
Avatar Of Seekpar
(@seekpar)
Posts: 1522
First Mate
 

Donkey Hunter is already getting his player props lined up for this one. Bowles defense = $$$.


 
Posted : Dec. 15, 2025 11:17 am
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
(@donkey_hunter)
Posts: 5733
Captain
 

Posted by: @seekpar

Donkey Hunter is already getting his player props lined up for this one. Bowles defense = $$$.

Will be hard to top last week’s cash, but let’s try to get that repeat!

 


 
Posted : Dec. 15, 2025 11:24 am
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