Hello and welcome to this new weekly, in-depth Bucs-oriented column called “Cover 3” that will appear weekly each Tuesday morning on PewterReport.com.

My name is Trevor Sikkema for those who might be reading my work for the first time. When I joined the PewterReport.com team, my goal was to find an aspect of the game of football or angle of covering the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that this platform isn’t doing yet, balance that with what fans seem to really like and be able to provide a combination of the two to you – the die-hard Tampa Bay Buccaneers fan. Thankfully for me, a few of those areas go hand-in-hand with some of the work that I’ve been doing over the last few years.

For about two or three years now I’ve been covering both college and NFL football for SB Nation and a few other platforms. My niche in the way I’ve covered teams and players has been less of the general information and more about asking the question, “why?”

Why has this team really struggled to run the ball consistently? Why has this defense had a hard time with passes over the middle? Why is this college prospect better than the other?

The desire to go beyond general statistics brought me to love being a film junkie – such a love allows me to go as deep into a subject, position, scheme and moment as much as I want to. So, for the past few years, whenever I found myself hearing or forming an opinion, I always came to ask the question “why?” That led me to dig deeper.

Bucs DE Will Gholston – Photo by: Mark Lomoglio/PR

That background is what brings us to the here and now – this column specifically. In each weekly “Cover 3” column I’m going to dive deeper into three areas of interest pertaining to the Buccaneers.

The first will be an advanced statistical or analytical finding that has some sort of significance to the Bucs called “Sikkema’s Stat of the Week”. Such a stat could be anything from how the team is doing overall, how a specific unit or player is performing, what schemes work, what areas of the team need upgrading and anything around or in between. The stats can also being draft-related, as you’ll see for most of in the coming months. Whatever it is, there’s a reason why numbers and stats are what they are. We’re going to find out what those reasons are, and how they should be analyzed.

The second is going to be a brand new segment I’m excited about starting called “All Twenty-Tuesday”. Since the column will be published every Tuesday, it’s a fun little play on words for breaking down film. Due to the time of year, the first batch of film reviews will be in-depth looks at possible draft selections for the Buccaneers, but once the 2017 season gets going, the segment will turn into more of a weekly breakdown from coaches and All-22 angles you won’t be able to see by just watching on the broadcast on Sundays.

The third segment is going to involve a little interaction from you all, we’re going to call it our “Read-Option.” Each week I’m going to give you a scenario. It could be anything from pairing one hypothetical draft haul against the other, giving a “this-or-that” scenario with possible free agent signings, roster moves, position battles or game plan preferences. Each choice will come with a little description, usually weighing pros and cons, but each Read-Option, will require some feedback and a decision from you guys. The more feedback I get, the better idea I’ll have about what you all are really thinking, which will, in turn, make for even better situations to propose and research for the weeks that follow.

So enough with the intro. Let’s get into some Cover 3!

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About the Author: Trevor Sikkema

Trevor Sikkema is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat reporter and NFL Draft analyst for PewterReport.com. Sikkema, an alumnus of the University of Florida, has covered both college and professional football for much of his career. As a native of the Sunshine State, when he's not buried in social media, Sikkema can be found out and active, attempting to be the best athlete he never was. Sikkema can be reached at: [email protected]
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Destino102
Destino102
5 years ago

WELCOME TO THE THUNDERDOME, Trevor.

nitey
nitey
5 years ago

Wow Trevor, I only liked your articles before, now I absolutely love them! You propose two really difficult choices in your read option section. I honestly would be very happy with either, but I believe that we need playmakers on offense so my choice would be option A. Getting both Davis (and I loved your analysis of his game) and McCaffrey would instantly make us a feared offensive team. While I know that the offensive line underperformed this year and missing out on getting Barnett would be sad, the NFL is geared to offensive teams now and surrounding Winston with… Read more »

nitey
nitey
5 years ago

Man, a whole line got dropped out! After in free agency do so ‘for a reason, sometimes it’s injury related, attitude or football commitment – they are 3-4 years in the system and often still haven’t figured it out. Drafting a young player like ‘

chetthevette
chetthevette
5 years ago

Good stuff TS. Ts will be my handle for you from now on, welcome and good luck dealing with all us Bucheads.
A or B is the question. I’ll take B.
I don’t think that Barnett will be there when we pick. So Ethan Pocic it is. That just happens to be my biggest area of need.
But if Barnett is gone and Davis is still hanging around take the Wide out.
GO BUCS

vinnie
vinnie
5 years ago

Welcome Trevor to PR. Loved your in depth analysis of Corey Davis and after watching Mike Williams last night I think Corey would be a better fit with Mike Evans as Williams looks very similar to Evans. Your ROI analysis is very interesting however, I think one missing component (perhaps the 4th factor) should be touchdown production. Because at the end of the day it’s all about scoring points on offense. I much prefer draft A because of the WR need and fulfillment with Corey Davis and Ed McCaffrey would be a welcome addition to our return game and RB… Read more »

jshumaker
jshumaker
5 years ago

As a statistician myself, I found this article very interesting. I think a tall WR should be the priority for the fact that it creates a mismatch for somebody. Although I do not think a small fast WR would be as beneficial. Even though a speedy WR should be able to create more big plays and stretch the field. I don’t think that leads to a ball control offense. Which helps take the pressure off of our defensive line. Speaking of the defensive line, why isn’t a DT on your mock draft? McCoy is great but there is only so… Read more »

stlbucsfan
stlbucsfan
5 years ago

Nice article with some good information just not a fan of either option. I dont think Tampa should take RB in the first 3 rounds unless its Dalvin Cook. They can wait and take a flyer on Mixon later on in the draft, re-structure Martin, bring back Quiz and let them all battle it out in camp. Also I’d prefer the Bucs target either Howard who is a complete TE in round 1 or Solomon Thomas, listed at DE from Stanford but has experience at DT and would serve our DL well with his hand usage and versatility.

Buc 1976
Buc 1976
5 years ago

Nice article Trevor:
I would love to see CDavis here I have seen him play and would looks great next to Evens,next I would like to DT 2nd round after that BEST players available. Thank You Buc 1976

Naplesfan
Naplesfan
5 years ago

Nice analysis, Trevor. You describe your analytical technique and then apply it. Nevertheless, I dislike draft analyses that pick one player and say, “this is the guy”. It becomes a matter of defending your liking a single player, rather than a comparative analysis of multiple choices, and then acknowledges that there are always more than a single choice at any position, and that all candidates have pluses and minuses that need to be weighed against each other. Maybe Davis is the best pick at WR in the first, but there are other choices, and others have made arguments on behalf… Read more »

Naplesfan
Naplesfan
Reply to  Naplesfan
5 years ago

Forgot to also say, getting another quality center is very important for both the passing and running games.

Destino102
Destino102
5 years ago

In your description of ROI you mentioned it helps guide where you eat. Could we get a ROI calculation on the food vendors inside Ray Jay?

Also, Option A on the draft scenerio.

seat26
seat26
5 years ago

I like both draft scenarios. Going after a center early is probably the only way we can get a starter this year as depth at center looks to be weak. But in scenario two without a receiver early it would mean picking one up in free agency if we want a starter this year. I like scenario #1 best because it probably addresses our needs best. Assuming we choose a couple of DL afterwards and get a TE in there somewhere. Truth is due to injuries and player behavior problems we have way too many holes to fill in one… Read more »

Iowabucfan
Iowabucfan
5 years ago

Thank you Trevor. Great stuff!!!
I say B (But, I like both).

Dy-nasty D
Dy-nasty D
5 years ago

Great article, Trevor! It’s a welcome addition to this site to have a real writer on staff. Welcome, and keep it up!

Dano2200
Dano2200
5 years ago

Option A

pinkstob
pinkstob
5 years ago

I really like this new column TS. I like the breakdown you gave on the first page of how Cover 3 will work and this seems like it’s going to be an informative, fun read. PR’s analysis had really fallen off over the years so this past season I was splitting my time between PR and Bucs Nation, mostly Bucs Nation for analysis and breakdown and PR for discussion after a game. If you keep up the good work like in this first edition I’ll be able to go back to getting all my Bucs info exclusively from PR again.… Read more »

jongruden
jongruden
5 years ago

Welcome Trevor you might be a breath of fresh air in writing articles I had to boycott Mr Cooks Articles as he is clearly a FSU Homer in almost every article he writes esp. when it comes to the draft so welcome.

Destino102
Destino102
Reply to  Trevor Sikkema
5 years ago

So Gators = Sith?!

EastEndBoy
EastEndBoy
5 years ago

A sounds pretty
B wins games

Horse
Horse
5 years ago

Page1: Yes, love it! Great job Trevor. Page 2: Not sure of the math? If Evans missed a game lets say for an injury, then you should have deducted the total yards from that game which would have raised his percentages. Right Trevor? Page 3: What I saw of Davis was DB’s playing off of him and he played in a small boy conference, not in a big boy conference like the ACC & SEC; I wouldn’t draft him in the 1st round. Page 4: I like Choice B because we have a need also for a CB, Center, DL,… Read more »

Horse
Horse
Reply to  Trevor Sikkema
5 years ago

Trevor, thank you for replying. I’ll have to trust your math. Would love to know what positions are more successful than others based. I guess it would also have to include that positions average NFL career. Dang my grandson is majoring in mathmatical and physical science and would have figured this all out for me in a snap if he was still home for the hollidays. He’s a senior at FSU graduating this August at19 years old; yes I’m a proud grandpaw.

csnuffzp
csnuffzp
5 years ago

Trevor I am taking “A” all day. All three players are studs and could provide immediate impact which is what we need. “B” is interesting but I do not think it properly addresses our shortcomings. This year is just horrible for O-Line candidates. At DE I do not see the need for another top round pick. We ranked 9th in sacks and we were missing some of our rotation. If we had been healthier early on we could have easily ranked top 5. And it will get better this season. Great article looking forward to more.

cgmaster27
cgmaster27
Reply to  csnuffzp
5 years ago

I’m glad to see someone else noticed how good our rush was with a couple of DE on the IR all season. We lost Smith after the first play of the season! I think our DE rotation should be just fine resigning William G. and watching Spence grow.

vtrantb
vtrantb
5 years ago

Hi Trevor,
Very nice article. As tough as it is to pass on Barnett, option A would set up the skill positions for the BUCS for years to come. However, I’m not certain that Davis will be available when it is our turn to draft. John Ross has been a fast riser compared to Desean Jackson? How do think he will translate to the pros? Will he be a Desean Jackson/Joey Galloway type or the bust Dexter Jackson that the BUCS selected in the 2nd round of the 2008 draft?

cgmaster27
cgmaster27
Reply to  vtrantb
5 years ago

I was a fan of huff, but looking at his stats this season, he started slow and had almost all of his production in Big 12 play. They aren’t known for defense in those parts. And in the playoffs he was completely shut down by Bama. Oh he’s going to be fast, but c an he get off of press coverage?

bucinkorea
bucinkorea
5 years ago

Excellent column, TS. You’ve set the bar high for future offerings.

As laid out, I’d take option A over B, but swap out a strong WR in round three of option B and it would make it a win-win tossup for me.

scubog
scubog
Reply to  bucinkorea
5 years ago

I was stationed in Korea in 1973. I still haven’t thawed out completely.

bucinkorea
bucinkorea
Reply to  scubog
5 years ago

I was at Casey in ’73, 2d Avn. Haven’t thawed out yet, either.

BucsPhan2Phear
BucsPhan2Phear
5 years ago

Best article in the last 5 years from this site. I read every article. I’ve been on this site for over 10′ years? This wasn’t reliant on any inside information and was completely original research. Keep going further with your level of detail. Don’t underestimate your audience. Keep raising the standard. This is exactly what this site should be doing to segment themselves. Great call on Scott and Mark to onboard you.

yuccaneers
yuccaneers
5 years ago

The Bucs have three major areas of need – targets for Winston, protection for Winston and defensive line help. It comes down to being able to run the ball. protect the QB, stop the run and get after opposing QBs. Something the Bucs have had consistent trouble with over the years. I am all for Davis at 19 – he is the most polished route runner, sure-handed and disciplined receiver there is in this draft. Helps that he is being coached by PJ Fleck former NFL receivers coach of the Bucs. Use rounds two and three to get offensive or… Read more »

Twistedwires
Twistedwires
5 years ago

Hey Trevor, I really enjoyed the article. If I learned anything from my own Masters degree it was that statistics are voodoo and they are an evil that should be vanquished mustering all of the forces of middle earth. That being said, I still liked the analytical viewpoint. But it doesn’t surprise anyone to hear that Evans would be better if he were paired with another skilled WR. It’s not a revelation. On Davis points, I try not to get stuck on any individual player prospects pre-draft since I’ve never actually ever been proven correct on a single draft choice.… Read more »

scubog
scubog
5 years ago

Another outstanding piece Trevor. Looking forward to your offerings. Leave it to Naples to object to your limited two pronged scenario and want to offer virtually every possible combination. “This or that” is all you desired. Not this or that or that or that or that or that. Thank goodness there wasn’t a quiz at the end. Your friend “Math” was often the biggest bully faced in junior high. Since I believe you were only looking for an “A or B” response; out of those two choices, I’ll take choice A. I do think we need more offensive players against… Read more »

Naplesfan
Naplesfan
Reply to  scubog
5 years ago

You’ll note, Scubog, that Trevor said he liked my suggestion.

I guess you prefer to have someone do all the thinking for you so you don’t have to.

I don’t.

scubog
scubog
Reply to  Naplesfan
5 years ago

First I’m “full of myself” for offering an opinion for with which you disagreed and now you accuse me of “preferring to have the thinking done for me”. As usual, you are on both sides so you can profess yourself to be on the right one. We all can offer a multitude of Draft options and scenarios. Trevor asked our opinion of but two. Apparently you are incapable of following instructions. That said, I do enjoy reading your posts. Here’s another way to expand on Trevor’s exercise. When our turn comes up in each round we have a list of… Read more »

Hank Scorpio
Hank Scorpio
5 years ago

Option B all day. Strong line play can really elevate offensive and defensive backfields. Barnett is the best DE in this draft. A strong pass rush leads to rushed throws, meaning more incompletes and INTs, and higher potential for sack/fumbles. Pocic would shore up the interior, giving Jameis more time to throw and whoever our RB is, wider running lanes. Option A looks nice and flashy, but it would do little to fix our biggest issues we had this year (besides kicker) of our lack of pass rush earlier in the year giving guys like Derek Carr all the time… Read more »

Ghost in the Ruins
Ghost in the Ruins
5 years ago

I like Choice A the best, although I would rather see a draft of Davis, McCaffery, and Foreman. I’m tired of the RB position being a weakness most years.

SaskBucs
SaskBucs
5 years ago

I don’t know about Pocic and him being too tall as Scubog says, could be true but I am inclined to agree with Naplesfan. Davis and then Pocic and then just BPA… King, Foreman, whoever. A great WR to pair with Evans is so enticing but if I had to choose an option I would choose B. Impact and depth to the lines. What are the feelings on Kenny Britt? I believe he is a FA and I didn’t check his age or how much money he will command so maybe that is a bad idea but I think he… Read more »

scubog
scubog
Reply to  SaskBucs
5 years ago

He’s 6′-6″. We always hear about “low man wins” and “getting their pad level down”. At that height it just seems he would have difficulty getting lower than a typical short stout nose guard or under tackle.

SaskBucs
SaskBucs
Reply to  scubog
5 years ago

Yeah I understand, you are probably right about the player, I am interested in the idea of adding a C and O line help/depth. Haha drdneast! It is fun to converse with other armchair GM’s! Not saying you disagree, but everyone sees something different and with an open mind we can be educated by each other. I love coming here because you guys have insights into the college game, among other things that I do not possess. Give the Pats the bowl and let’s do the draft already! Bucs fans are hungry again

Jameis
Jameis
5 years ago

A. Weapons. Me likey.

cgmaster27
cgmaster27
Reply to  Jameis
5 years ago

Am I the first like for the great Jameis Winston!?

cgmaster27
cgmaster27
5 years ago

This is an incredibly well written article TS. The stats you bring to the table are a nice touch and it shows the amount of work you put into it. Not saying Scott and the others don’;t we all love their content. But you’re mixing it up and I love it! As for the Corey Davis argument, I’ve been tooting this guys horn for a couple of weeks now. He’s my number one player I would like at our spot,m unless of course Dalvin cook falls to us. If he does, it’s not even a question of who you take,… Read more »

drdneast
drdneast
5 years ago

If you were looking for a slew of opinions from arm chair GM’s with no ecperience in the field, I think you have found out you have come to the right place. Good luck.

chetthevette
chetthevette
5 years ago

After Mondays game I have developed a big ass man crush on Mike Williams. Hope he is there for us at 19.
That’s right, I have actually come to like a receiver named Mike Williams, and he’s from Clemson. ( no offense to Humphries)
It’s official, I’ve lost my mind.
Dogs and cats are sleeping together, Trump makes Clinton secretary of state, the Browns get a QB.
It’s like the twilight zone.
GO BUCS

XpfcWintergreen
XpfcWintergreen
5 years ago

Great Stuff!

If I had to choose between A and B only, I would go with A.

If I had to choose one combination from the six mentioned only , I would choose Davis, Pocic and King.

Go Bucs!

burger40
burger40
5 years ago

Great stuff, I have to go A for the draft. Davis does the one thing that Evans can’t do, break off long YAC on short routes. I also think corner is a bigger need than DL. Wouldn’t dislike B though.

XpfcWintergreen
XpfcWintergreen
5 years ago

Now for part 2 of the fantasy/speculation on the upcoming draft. Suppose Licht, Koetter and staff all agreed that all of their research led them to a common belief that Davis would be the perfect WR to pair with Evans. Suppose that through some “magic” they projected that the synergy between Evans, Davis and Winston would produce these results. Evans and Davis would each average 1100 yards, 12 touchdowns and very good numbers for first down producing catches for the next four years. In addition the general consensus among the various pundits was that Davis would go anywhere from the… Read more »

Rusty Rhino
Rusty Rhino
5 years ago

Welcome Aboard! Trevor. I like your first post on Pewter Report, I also read Bucnation I do not recall your post there. Bad for me. I enjoyed this nice long read with a well thought out and parlayed information. A great breakdown of a player I really like in the upcoming draft. Who fills a big need and could overflow that need if we are able to draft him at 19. I would like to watch all the film breakdowns that you mentioned of this WR, a enjoyable tedious, adventure. Those are the best after all, right? I am torn… Read more »