The PewterReport.com staff shares its thoughts on the upcoming Bucs game and pick who we think we win, including a score prediction and a pick-to-click – a Tampa Bay player we think will play really well. Let us know you thoughts and add your prediction in the comment section.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (3-7) AT ATLANTA FALCONS (3-7)

WHEN: SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 24, 1:00 P.M. ET
WHERE: MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM (71,000)
TELEVISION: FOX (WTVT)
PLAY-BY-PLAY: DICK STOCKTON ANALYST: MARK SCHLERETH
SIDELINE: JENNIFER HALE
BUCS RADIO: 98ROCK, FLAGSHIP STATION (WXTB-97.9 FM)
PLAY-BY-PLAY: GENE DECKERHOFF ANALYST: DAVE MOORE
SIDELINE: T.J. RIVES

PewterReport.com Publisher/Bucs Beat Writer Scott Reynolds

This Falcons team is not the same squad that started the season 1-7. After shuffling his coaching staff, Atlanta coach Dan Quinn has found something that has his team playing much better after two convincing wins on the road against NFC South opponents New Orleans and Carolina, the Falcons defense is playing awfully well while the offense is scoring over 26 points per game over the last two weeks. The Falcons return home this week to play the Buccaneers after recording 11 sacks and four interceptions against the Saints and Panthers, holding each team under 10 points.

That’s not good news for a Tampa Bay offense that is surrendering nearly four sacks per game and can’t stop turning the ball over. Last week, quarterback Jameis Winston threw four interceptions and now has a league-high 18 picks, which ties his career high from 2016 – with six games to go. Unless the Bucs offense can do a much better job of protecting the ball and the offensive line does a better job of protecting Winston, it could be another long day for Tampa Bay.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan
Falcons QB Matt Ryan – Photo by: Mark Lomoglio/PR

Defensively, this unit has been starved for takeaways all year, evidenced by the Bucs being minus-10 in the turnover margin in 2019. Not having to defend tight end Austin Hooper and running back Devonta Freeman helps, but Tampa Bay’s young secondary seems ready to get exposed again – this time by quarterback Matt Ryan and wide receivers Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. Former Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter, who is Atlanta’s offensive coordinator once again, gets revenge against the team that fired him after the 2018 season and helps Tampa Bay stay on its collision course for yet another 5-11 campaign.

Points will be hard to come by for the Bucs offense in this one given the hostile crowd and the way the Falcons defense is playing. And it will be nearly impossible for second-year cornerback Carlton Davis and rookies Sean Murphy-Bunting, Jamel Dean and Mike Edwards to stop Ryan, Jones and Ridley. It’s hard to believe that the Falcons have won five straight games against the Bucs. Make it six, as Atlanta improves to 4-7 on the year and get out of the NFC South basement, while Tampa Bay falls to fourth in the division.

Reynolds’ Score Prediction: Falcons 32, Buccaneers 20
Reynolds’ Pick-To-Click: OLB Shaquil Barrett
Reynolds’ Season Record: 3-7

PewterReport.com Editor/Bucs Beat Writer Mark Cook

Just a few weeks ago, most were waiting for the hammer to drop on Falcons’ head coach Dan Quinn and his staff. At 1-7 and headed to battle Cincinnati and Miami for the No. 1 overall draft pick, Atlanta has somehow found a way to play closer to the team most expected them to be prior to the start of the season. And now, not only is Atlanta looking better, it is the Buccaneers who appear destined for a Top 5 draft pick and a team with lot more questions than answered heading into the offseason.

Like last week, there aren’t many areas between these two teams where the Bucs have a clearcut upper hand needing into this matchup. Matt Ryan is playing better than Winston, the Falcons are getting after the quarterback at a higher rate, they’re protecting their quarterback better, and Atlanta’s receivers could have a field day against Tampa Bay’s young secondary. It just doesn’t look too good on paper.

Bucs RB Peyton Barber - Photo by: Getty Images
Bucs RB Peyton Barber – Photo by: Getty Images

If Winston wants to make a statement to return as Tampa Bay’s quarterback next year and possibly longer it must start this week. Historically Winston plays his best football against the Falcons, and he will need to this Sunday. The Falcons will score points. Lots of them. Winston needs another Los Angeles or Seattle type of game for the Bucs to win. People say Winston can’t carry this team on his back and do it alone – well he will have to on Sunday. Tampa Bay can’t run the ball consistently and their defensive can’t cover consistently. Winston will need to wear a Superman cape for the Bucs to come home with win No. 4.

With that said, I just don’t know if he will be able to get it done. Atlanta’s pass rush, which has come alive the last two weeks, will give this Bucs offensive line fits. Julio Jones tends to always give the Bucs defense fits. Look for that to continue.

I expect Winston to come close to 300 yards passing and he won’t toss four interceptions, but sacks will come in bunches for Atlanta and he will be running for his life on an already tender ankle. For those looking for a good prop bet, this might be the week you see Ryan Griffin take his first regular season snap of his career.

Cook’s Score Prediction: Falcons 38, Buccaneers 24
Cook’s Pick-To-Click: OLB Jason Pierre-Paul
Cook’s’ Season Record: 2-8

PewterReport.com Bucs Beat Writer Trevor Sikkema

Do y’all even want my prediction at this point? I’m 1-9 this year for goodness sake.

Ok so I may not be great at predicting how things might turn out on Sunday, but to be fair to me, I expected this team to be operating under one assumption and it turned out to be the other — mainly me thinking they were going to keep things simple and they really haven’t.

I don’t want to say I’m losing faith in this coaching staff already, but Leftwich’s questionable play calls, Bowles’ odd personnel decisions, and Arians continuing to waste timeouts just to prove points, it just doesn’t seems like this coaching staff is doing “everything” they can to put their guys in the right places to win.

So on Sunday, I don’t think they will.

Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter - Photo by: Getty Images
Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter – Photo by: Getty Images

The Falcons are on a roll right now, and though I don’t expect them to keep it up to this degree, I do think this is going to be a close game, one that the Bucs typically lose in heartbreaking fashion. If Falcons offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter has anything remaining up his sleeve this season, I have to imagine he’s going to pull it out to stick it to his old team. On the flip side, there’s another former Bucs head coach who is calling some plays for the Atlanta defense in Raheem Morris. Since moving back to that side of the ball, Morris has the Falcons defense playing simple and fast — and it’s working.

The Falcons shouldn’t catch the Bucs by surprise by any means, so I really do think this contest is one that will come down to which team executes their game plan the best.

Don’t blame me for thinking it won’t be Tampa.

Just make sure Mike Evans get his 1,000 yards in this game.

Sikkema’s Score Prediction: Falcons 28, Buccaneers 24
Sikkema’s Pick-To-Click: WR Mike Evans
Sikkema’s Season Record: 1-9

PewterReport.com Bucs Beat Writer Taylor Jenkins

When predicting the Bucs’ upcoming game against the Falcons it’s hard to look at the statistics and the unit rankings due to the vastly improved play from Atlanta over the past two weeks.

Despite Atlanta allowing 26.2 points per game on the season, they’ve allowed just 12 points combined over their previous two games against the New Orleans Saints and the Carolina Panthers, while their 22 points scored per game has been boosted with an average of 27.5 points scored over those two victories as well.

Bucs WR Mike Evans –
Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images

With some shuffling among the coaching staff, including former Bucs head coach Raheem Morris transitioning to the defensive side of the ball as the team’s defensive backs coach, the Falcons defense has made a rapid turnaround. Atlanta’s defensive line, led by Takkarist McKinley, Grady Jarrett and Vic Beasley, has been able to force pressures when rushing just four, allowing the Falcons to also gain an edge in an injured secondary as they aren’t forced to send extra men to get after the quarterback.

On the offensive side of the ball Atlanta is still talented despite the loss of tight end Austin Hooper and running back Devonte Freeman. The Falcons will likely lean on wide receivers Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, which could very likely play in their favor as Tampa Bay’s defense is allowing 290.2 passing yards per game and lacks a true lockdown corner to battle consistently with Julio Jones.

Given Atlanta’s elevated play of late and Tampa Bay’s propensity to find ways to beat themselves, I have the Falcons edging out the Bucs in a close, hard-fought divisional matchup on Sunday. It’ll be a back-and-forth game, it’ll be a passing clinic and I see Atlanta doing just enough to escape with their third consecutive divisional win.

Jenkins’ Score Prediction: Falcons 27, Bucs 24
Jenkins’ Pick-To-Click: WR Mike Evans
Jenkins’ Season Record: 2-8

PewterReport.com Bucs Beat Writer Matt Matera

They might have the same record of 3-7, but the Bucs and the Falcons are going in two different directions. The Bucs don’t have an identity on offense right now, and the Atlanta’s defense has all of a sudden become an unstoppable force.

Over the last two weeks, the Bucs squeaked out a last minute victory over the lowly Cardinals and got demolished by the Saints. Meanwhile, the Falcons haven’t allowed a touchdown in that time, having very convincing roads wins of 26-9 over the Saints and 29-3 against the Panthers. The Falcons have simplified things while the Bucs have made things more complicated.

If the Bucs are going to win, they need to get the ball in the hands of their best players. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are still the best wide receiver duo in the NFL, but they haven’t had the effect recently that they would like. Evans has just eight catches over the last two games while Godwin has nine in that same span. This comes after Evans had 23 catches between Weeks 8 and 9. Godwin has cooled off over the past four weeks, but I think this is the week where he picks it up again. Another question for the Bucs offense is who becomes the third receiver? They had success throwing to Ronald Jones against the Cardinals, and Cam Brate and Scotty Miller had a good game against New Orleans, so one of them will have to step up.

Falcons RB Tevin Coleman
Falcons RB Tevin Coleman – Photo by: Getty Images

This week should mark the return of cornerback Jamel Dean, not because Dean was injured, but the Bucs coaching staff elected to use a different package in the nickel that involved Mike Edwards, meaning Dean got no snaps. Even with more playing time that’s not going to be enough to stop Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. The fact that Austin Hooper helps the Bucs chances, the Falcons still have enough to score on the Bucs as every other team has this season. The Falcons defense will continue on it’s role while the Bucs defense fails to make stops when they need to.

Matera’s Score Prediction: Falcons 33, Bucs 23
Matera’ Pick-To-Click: WR Chris Godwin
Matera’s Record: 4-6

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46 COMMENTS

  1. The more I watch football the more I think coaching has the power to win games. I think there are three parts to football. QB play, coaching and play calling. As long as everything else is average; you can win with these three parts doing an above average job.

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    • Meh .. looking at the division leaders so far this season, they’re generally dominated by teams with top 10 defenses, excellent line play, and top notch offensive skill players.

      Even the Ravens, with their MVP candidate QB, and ditto with the Seahawks, are relying upon strong defenses, strong offensive line play, and top notch offensive skill players.

      The perennial Patriots are being carried by their defense this year, with Brady having a down year.

      About the only division leader that appears to be carried mostly by its QB is Green Bay.

      Coaching and QBs matter of course, but it is not overwhelmingly about either.

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  2. This is probably the game where everything comes unhinged.
    Maybe then we’ll start making the changes now for the 2020 season.
    Just let the ones that you know that are going to be here next year and let all the others play.

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    • I meant others not play.

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      • Horse, don’t hold your breath. You’ll pass out first.

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  3. Cant believe Bucs just get to play a divisional game this late against Falcons as the first game.. what a screwed up schedule NFL gave them.. and this is the team normally regardless off the outcome off the season that Bucs have a winning record against.. smh

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  4. On paper this was always a bad match up for my Bucs! Even before the turnaround the Falcons were always favored in this game, Our defense has never produced an answer for what the Falcons like to roll out. We stood a better chance against the Seahawks because of style, and if we couldn’t cover Lockett, rookie D.K. Metcalf & some PS tight end whos name I don’t even know, then what chance do we have against Julio, Ridley, Hooper who is out. Bad Match Up!!!
    However, there is a path to Victory! I’m not saying it will happen because this coaching staff has not shown me that they know how to make happen, but there is a chance. If and this is a Big IF. If Byron Leftwich for just 1 game can forget about auditioning for the next HC position and just Run the football, we could easily win this football game. Just line up and run it straight at them because the Falcons have a very small defense. There D is built on speed not size and you could wear them down by the 4th qtr. Got to learn to live with a Punt, Turn this game into a Mud Match on Turf. If Dungy could figure out how to win with Shawn King & Burt Emmanuel, Surely we could find a way to win with Winston & Evans. Go Bucs!!

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  5. I get it, this story was to try and locate the biggest dip shit among Tampa Bay fans. Anyone who read this is a candidate. Scott Reynolds you have lost your mind.

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  6. My hope is that Bruce Arians can get though this season with out blowing a gasket, He should have never been taken out of old folks home for NFL coaches. The Bucs should have done a detailed medical background check before signing him huge contract.
    He is broken!

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    • You think the Bucs shouldn’t have hired Arians. Fair enough. Who should they have hired as coach or should they have stuck with Koeter?

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      • Letting Jason Licht pick the coach was the underlying error. He shoulda been fired after last season, or three or four seasons ago. Any pick he makes is likely to be a bad pick.

        Koetter was not the weak link of the Bucs – it was the players who were picked by a very bad and incompetent GM.

        Koetter never wanted Winston, for instance. Horrible pick and that was the most consequential pick by the failed Licht.

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        • So, you would have kept Koetter, but fired our GM?
          Still waiting for Buc-Ass-Bob to tell me what he would have done.

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        • Koetter was the weak link as far as keeping Mike Smith. The Defense still has a bit of bad attitute but Jpp, Vea and even Suh are helping. Hargraves was a start of removing some of the problem.

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  7. Probably a Close game. Bucs probably find way to lose. O line and Winston usually play better after a meltdown Like last week. Defense will be better but secondary will blow few big game changing plays. There is my prediction. Lol. Short and sweet.

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  8. That was too short. Lol. More predictions:
    The play calling will still suck, they will drop back and get him sack many times. He will fumble at least once. They won’t even attempt a short passing game. The refs will blow At least 2 huge plays That could have won the game for Bucs and screw BUcs again. Arians will challenge them and lose even though very clearly should be over turned. Nfl is a joke. Hey let’s let coaches challenge pass int and everything but never change the call even if it’s clear to everyone with eyes. Lol.

    Winston will play great and then when you think he may have a clean hand finally, he will throw at least 1 int.

    That about sum it up?

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    • Summed it up so well I have nothing left to add. Well done!

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  9. Bucs play a competitive game against Atlanta but come up short again making a winning season impossible.

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  10. People keep saying another 5-11 season for the Buc’s. I don’t know what they are looking at, I don’t see another win on the season. 3-13 is where we will end up.

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    • I think they win 4 games. They will split with Atlanta.

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  11. This season the bucs are winning the game no on thought they would win. So, im picking the Bucs to win in Atlanta 27-21.

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  12. What is going on with our “experts” and their picks? Matt Matera leads the pack with a 4-6 record. Yipes.

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  13. The Falcons have beat up on..utterly stomped 2 divisional opponents convincingly with winning records in
    their last 2 outings. They will NOT..disappoint their home fans. Bucs will not lay down. But do their usual.
    24-16 Falcons.

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  14. Considering how wrong most of the PR prognosticators have been so far this season, given that they’re unanimous in predicting a Falcs win over the Bucs this Sunday, this could be a great time to predict a Bucs win.

    Whatever ..

    But most of the writers are correct here in assessing that the Falcons appear to be on a positive trend and the Bucs are, well, still the Bucs.

    I don’t do game projections, mostly because every game is a unique scenario and anybody can beat anybody else on any given Sunday.

    But I will make a couple of statements:

    1) Arians was a bad hire committed by a bad GM, and he is a mediocre, hasbeen, stubborn old man more interested in making his point and defending his bad decisions than in coaching his team to a winning season.

    2) Arians defends Winston and Licht because that’s what he bought into , and staked his claim on as “Quarterback Whisperer”. If that fails, then he is a failure, which of course he is loath to admit to. So right up until the point he is fired, or maybe the point when he quits out of frustration as he did on the Cards a few years ago, he will claim he was always right and that victory and success are right around the corner .. until all of a sudden, they aren’t. Then he’ll go into hiding, while the Baby Glazers decide what their next error in judgment will be.

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    • Wash .. rinse … repeat.

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    • Naples: You commented previously that “coaching matters, but not overwhelmingly”. Here you seem to place much of the blame on Arians. Which is it? Then of course it wouldn’t be a Naples’ comment without mentioning the “Baby Glazers”. In my view, there is enough culpability to go around…………including the fickle fan base who are so quick to sell their tickets. I’m not saying they aren’t entitled or justified. It’s just annoying.

      There’s little doubt that the Glazer family’s decisions on GM’s and HC’s have not brought success on the field. There’s no getting around Jason Licht’s roster. Even when selecting high in the Draft, his choices are still unable to even reach mediocrity in the won-loss record. Coaching staff after coaching staff has been unable to turn Licht’s group of players into winners. I guess it’s the “can’t make chicken salad out of chicken (poop)” proverb. If the roster is talented, they must be the biggest collection of underachievers ever assembled. Isn’t that part of the evaluation? I don’t think this experienced and massive coaching staff is so incompetent that they are unable to concoct a viable game plan. Well maybe the ridiculous abandoning of the running game last week.

      Six more games to judge every aspect before the season comes to a merciful end. A season in which many thought would at least be a step in the right direction with Arians’ “I got this” promise while declaring he had a talented roster and a “fixed” secondary. This has been such a dilemma having an Offense that can often move the ball at will, offset by a Defense that may be the worst in team history. Only bright spot is PK Matt Gay, albeit the Giants game, seems to have solidified the placekicking.

      I think we all know this team is capable of wining the half-dozen remaining contests and is just as capable of appearing to be “Burrowing for Burrows”.

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      • No, I place the blame mostly on the GM, the incompetent Jason Licht. Arians was a bad pick. That does not mean the Bucs can’t win with him as head coach. He was picked because both Licht and Arians claimed, unabashedly, that Arians was the “Quarterback Whisperer” and that he would come in and work his magic, turning Winston into a hall of famer. That was always gross hyperbole and utter bullshit.

        The fact is, we have a mediocre team.

        To quote the coaching great Bill Parcells:

        “You are what your record says you are”.

        Everything else is just excuses.

        The Bucs are a bad team because the Bucs have bad owners – the always incompetent Baby Glazers- and because of that fact, the Bucs have a bad GM who makes bad selections of players and coaches.

        It is no one thing. Incompetence is something that begins at the very top of any incompetent organization .. and everybody here and in the NFL world knows, with no doubt whatsoever, that the Bucs are an incompetent organization. From there, it all flows downhill and disperses throughout the entire organization. Of course we have some good players here and there, but a winning team in never built on just a couple of quality players – it is always a “team effort”.

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  15. Bucs shock the Birds, write it down!

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    • Did you folks wrote it!

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  16. I still contend that winning is contingent upon winning and therefore I hope they win the next six games. We have tried free agency, a host of high draft picks and now I believe simply learning how to win is important. We are close and I am Sure BA is not ready to throw in the towel. Win as many as we can and if that fails send ownership and this small market franchise to a venue conducive to winning.

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    • PS…. The Buc’s are the 27th valued franchise in the NFL. ($2 Billion) Should be easy to unload on a metropolitan location in search of a professional franchise.

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      • Like St Louis maybe? Or Albuquerque? Yes! Albuquerque needs a team!

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  17. Bucs win and it’s not even close. You heard it here first.

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    • When I read this comment the other day I just kind of ignored it. Now it seems you are the modern day Nostradamus! Please forgive me oh wise one.

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    • Great call! I thought the exact opposite. I look forward your prediction this week. Go Bucs!

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  18. I talk to somebody today who works in the finance area Of city of Tampa they said income at Raymond James is on steady decline the people they’re giving free tickets to are not buying concessions his opinion there’s a crisis going on their bucs cannot keep running off fans.

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    • Or maybe the concessions are priced too high?

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      • No he said collage team that plays there does double as Bucs
        There high every stadium

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        • Do you buy concessions at Raymond James?

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          • Beer nachos

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        • Don’t forget they get half of the concessions and parking for every event that’s held at Raymond James Stadium. I doubt they’ll get that sweat of a deal in another city.

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      • Not too high for the fans of visiting teams, apparently.

        Touche.

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    • The Bucs don’t run off of fans – they run off of a huge TV contract. Hot Dogs, parking and T-shirts are just gravy. They have mad a fortune before they ever sell a beer, nachos or a ticket for that matter. They don’t have to provide a winning team – and easily remain extremely profitable. They simply sit back, meddle occasionally in personnel matters and rake up the money.

      A sweet gig provided by their smart father. These apples fell far away from the tree.

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  19. Looks like everybody’s thrown in the towel. Let’s hope the guys in Pewter and Red still have some fight in them.

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  20. If we win I’m getting drunk. Oops to late! Need something to calm my nerves. Bucs will play hard let’s hope we win

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  21. Horse, don’t hold your breath. You’ll pass out first.

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  22. LMAO on all you detractors.
    So many people who know so little, including all of the writers covering the Bucs.
    DBs finally played up to their skill level.
    Bucs left 6 INT’s on the field today for all of you goobers who talk about how many INT’s Winston should have had.
    And Naplesfan Brady isn’t having an off year, his OL is as leaky as ours and he only has a couple of receivers to throw to.

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