About the author

Scott Reynolds

Scott Reynolds is in his 23rd year of covering the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the vice president, publisher and senior Bucs beat writer for PewterReport.com. Author of the popular SR's Fab 5 column on Fridays, Reynolds oversees web development and forges marketing partnerships for PewterReport.com in addition to his editorial duties. A graduate of Kansas State University in 1995, Reynolds enjoys giving back to the community as the defensive line coach for his sons' Pop Warner team, the South Pasco Predators. Reynolds can be reached at: [email protected]

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12 Comments

  1. 1

    Pete Wood

    Perhaps this would have been a good year not to give an award for best free agent acquisition.
    I think you are low-balling the Bucs with the 6-10 prediction. And, after all the hype last year, I can’t blame you.

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    1. 1.1

      Devasher

      Can we just admit that Jason Licht deserves a big fat F when it comes to Free Agency in his career?

      Most Disappointing Player Offense: 2014 LT Anthony Collins (9 mil), 2015 RB Doug Martin (7.8 mil) 2016 RB Doug Martin (5.8 mil)
      Most Disappointing Player Defense: 2014 Alterraun Verner (8.25 mil), 2016 Alterraun Verner (6.75 mil)
      Most Overrated Player: 2014 DE Michael Johnson(16 mil), 2015 DE George Johnson (3 mil), 2017 Chris Baker (5.25 mil)

      The above include the amount of money paid out to those players for each year of service. If you’re wondering why Michael Johnson has 16 million next to his name (conveniently the amount Licht saved by cutting Darele Revis), it’s because Licht decided it would be better to pay out Johnson 7 million for 2015 not to play.

      http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000478248/article/buccaneers-cut-anthony-collins-michael-johnson

      You wonder why this GM is going into his 5th year with a team that has no expectation of the playoffs.

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  2. 2

    Horse

    Definitely debatable with some of the choices. As to the 6-10 2018, I see us going to the playoffs if we spend the top two draft picks on defensive ends.

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    1. 2.1

      Pete Wood

      I agree, if we get a stop gap RB in FA.

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    2. 2.2

      Devasher

      DE’s often do not have a storied history of production as rookies. Rarely are you going to get a player who approaches 10 sacks as a first year player.

      Khalil Mack had 4 sacks as a rookie, Chandler Jones 6, Calais Cambell 0, Everson Griffin 0, Bruce Smith (all-time sack leader) had 6.5, Kevin Greene (3rd all-time) 0, Chris Doleman (5th) .5 sack, Michael Strahan (6th) had 1, Jason Taylor (7th) 5 sacks.

      You have a much better shot getting immediate production from a free agent or trade like Calais Campbell, Simeon Rice, Chandler Jones. Julius Peppers. But given the current GM’s track record with trades or free agency, good luck!

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  3. 3

    JustaBuc

    Agreed with most of the other comments here already. Just as a 12-4 kind of prediction was way overhype this year, a 6-10 prediction is way underhype for next year.

    I don’t even care about Option A and Option B or any of that, as long as they just do the basics 10-6 is probable. Book it.

    Otherwise, this list is pretty good!

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    1. 3.1

      Devasher

      If they just do the basics 10-6 is probable?

      You realize there are other teams in the NFL right?

      This is like when everyone was assured that the 3-player Mark Dominik triumvirate of Gerald McCoy, Lavonte David and Doug Martin would be the cornerstone of a winning franchise for years to come. Newsflash, there are 22 players on the field at any one time.

      There are also 31 other teams in the NFL. Just because you like a player here or there or some rookie played well doesn’t mean that future HOFers that play the Bucs or top 10 offenses/defenses are going to be shaking in their cleats when they face a team without a pass rush, that has a weak o-line, subpar running game and a QB facing a suspension for allegedly sexually assaulting an uber driver.

      Maybe this team can get to 10-6, but I sure as hell wouldn’t call it “probable.” Probable would mean Vegas bookies have them around 10 wins for next year, and I can say they are going to be a lot closer to predicting 6 wins than 10.

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      1. 3.1.1

        JustaBuc

        McCoy and David ARE kind of important still you know and it’s not like we don’t have other major contributors on the team besides those two.

        Watch the games we had this year, especially in the middle of our losing slides. We’re competing with teams that made it into the playoffs this year despite massive holes in the roster due to either injuries or a lack of talent at particular spots.

        We went from -20 vs Saints to +7 with injuries and ultimately nothing to play for. Saints played their 1s.

        We went from -14 vs Panthers and Falcons to -3 on both and those were winnable games. The team’s blowouts happened earlier in the season vs Cards and Saints 1 and we saw nothing like that since.

        If you add 4 points to the Bucs score on every game this season, the record flips from 5-11 to 11-5 counting GB. Do I believe that if the Bucs just do an average job in FA + Draft they can find 4 points a game through either offense/defense/kicking improvements? Yes I do.

        10 wins and wild card. Book it.

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        1. 3.1.1.1

          Devasher

          So if the Bucs who scored 20.9 PPG putting them at 19th in the NFL in total scoring merely add 4 little points every game, which would literally vault them to a top 10 offense (9th) in line with Pittsburgh’s 25.4, then they win a lot more games? Why, I think you cracked the code Justabuc!

          The Bucs just need to be a significantly better football team, top 10 in scoring offense and they’ll be a good team. You’ve convinced me! If only we could all take ourselves from being slightly below average at something to the top third, we would all be a bit more successful. I’m glad we’ve discussed this, you’ve opened my eyes to a new world of possibilities, LOL

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          1. 3.1.1.1.1

            JustaBuc

            I apologize by being vague, but I was talking about point differential rather than just ppg. The difference is that the former includes defensive performance. For example, 1 TD turning into a FG on defense would be a -4 to the opposing team in point differential.

            I can totally see why you thought that and while it would be super nice to be a top 10 defense, I’m thinking more of a moderate increase in offense, defense and special teams that either increase our points or decrease the opposing team’s points.

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  4. 4

    e

    6-10 maybe, because of the killer division, but if Smitty can turn the D around, the Bucs should be pushing for a wild card spot.

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  5. 5

    BucWild02

    The Bucs need an identity, wait, a better identity.

    Right now, their identity is that of a team that can be dangerous. Dangerous on offense. Dangerous on defense. Dangerous to good teams, dangerous to bad teams, and just as often, dangerous to themselves.

    Unpredicatably dangerous.

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