Despite bringing in a new coaching staff to improve the development of Jameis Winston and a young defense, Pro Football Talk’s Peter King does not have a high hopes for the Bucs in 2019. King ranked all 32 NFL teams on his “Football Morning In America” column and had the Bucs ranked 29th overall with a third straight 5-11 season.

While the addition of Bruce Arians mentoring Winston is intriguing, King does not entirely believe that Winston will be able to stop turning the ball over. He threw 14 interceptions last season in 11 games, and has 58 career interceptions in 56 games played.

For an offense that is keen on taking shots down field, it will be up to Arians to fix Winston’s problems. Whether that can be executed remains to be seen.

You can see King’s entire analysis for ranking including the Bucs here.

“Bruce Arians and Byron Leftwich with Jameis Winston. I like that a lot, mostly because of the drama. I have no idea what direction the Bucs’ offense will take, but I do know one thing: Winston will throw deep early and often. The biggest job for Arians, aside from trying to U-turn a foundering franchise, is the care and fixing of Winston, who couldn’t cure his interception bug in four seasons of Dirk Koetter’s tutelage. In fact, the only quarterback in the NFL since 2015 (minimum 1,500 attempts) to average more than a 3 percent interception rate is Winston—58 picks on 1,922 attempts, for a pick rate of 3.02 percent. Which means that, for every 100 passes Winston has thrown as a pro, just over three have been intercepted. (Hat-tip to Pro Football Reference for the play-index device that allows that stat to be figured out.) So you see the need for new teaching voicing in Winston’s ear … By the way, speaking of the Marcus Mariota-Jameis Winston debate, they meet for a referendum in Nashville on Oct. 27.” – Peter King.

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BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

At this stage, it’s easy for national writers to put the Bucs in the bottom 5 teams in the league. Question marks on offense: The line, unproven RB’s, and the aforementioned interception rate of Winston. Question marks on defense: Defense is filled with DIME personnel and no JPP. The schedule(against the NFC South, AFC South and NFC West) isn’t helping the national writers confidence in the Bucs either. Gruden’s blueprint is what I expect Arians to follow… Year one – Cut the fat. Overpaid players got to go…GMC, D.Jax, Alexander, Hump, Grimes, Conte. Year two – Cut the GM. Full… Read more »

fredster
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fredster

Run the frigging ball, Fix damn O line! Play defense that isn’t worst in league. They do these three things and I bet good money Winston “turnover” problem goes away. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

Alldaway 2.0
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Alldaway 2.0

I going to have to disagree with King. Bucs lot a lot of close games the last few years due to back FG kicking and a defense that should be at least NFL average. The Bucs offense can do better overall as well but in today’s NFL the Bucs offense goes above and beyond for what is needed for a W. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

BUC-ASS-BOB
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BUC-ASS-BOB

I think King gave the Bucs more credit than than he truly believe they deserve , other than Az there is no teams Bucs will be favored in. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

Devasher
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Devasher

Winston has a problem with turnovers but on the field he is far from the biggest problem onr the team. The construction of the roster (weaknesses at both offensive and defensive line) and failures of the draft picks in 2016/2018 and free agency over 5 seasons under Licht have doomed this team. The Bucs were 5-11 in 2017. The Bucs were 5-11 in 2018. There are few places that follow the NFL or Bucs that think anything of note has changed about the team to avoid another 5-11 record in 2019. PR can sell Arians and defend Licht all they… Read more »

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

King isn’t wrong to assess the Bucs future based on the QB primarily. It always starts with the QB. The Bucs aren’t sure who their QB is for the future. Say what you want, but if they were sold on Winston, he would have gotten a 2nd contract already. Arians is his last hope in Tampa. Arians Laundry List Things To Fix: Winston has mechanical issues which lead to inaccuracy according to BA. Winston has fumbling problems when he runs with it. Winston holds on to the ball too long which hangs his O line out to dry. Winston doesn’t… Read more »

EastEndBoy
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EastEndBoy

” the only quarterback in the NFL since 2015″….ONLY….that’s not a great place to be. I think BigSombrero probably has it right: 1) this year is just the sandbox to try and see what pieces BA might have to work with in the future; 2) next year we get an actual GM to fill in some holes (“flood the position to find talent”…worst idea I have ever heard a GM muster….you only get maybe (maybe) 3/4 meaningful draft picks and in Tampa if you’re incredibly lucky perhaps 1 meaningful FA (none this year of course)…and you’re going to use most… Read more »

1sparkybuc
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1sparkybuc

Coaching alone is good for three more wins than last season. JPP will be back sometime in ❤️September. The D may not make it to the top 16, but they won’t be in the bottom third either. What the D lacks in experience they will make up for in speed. The offense will be better balanced and at least be in the top ten. I believe that. The biggest impact of new coaches will be on STs. Jameis hasn’t molested any Uber drivers in over three years. He’s got a family now and he’s focused on football. 8-8 at the… Read more »

Spitfire
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Spitfire

We should have easily been 8-8 last year, that was more likely than 3-13… We didn’t lose any players that would make a difference to our record so a respectable season is within grasp as we stand… The Secondary was flooded but young but it couldn’t be any worse than last year… I think switching to a 3-4 could be the best thing for us at this point because it will provide a lot more leeway and variations that we couldn’t have with the standard 4 down Lineman trying to recreate Rice/Sapp/McFarland/Spires type of magic. There is going to be… Read more »

BucFan circa76
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BucFan circa76

As normal, I disagree with Sombrero and DumbAss Bob…….and for you Licht haters /bashers, you may want to find a new favorite team because I dont see him going anywhere anytime soon. Rookie LB Devin White will be in the Pro Bowl this season which will further deepen the Glazers love and support of him as their GM. For the record, Peter King is about as washed up as they come. He’s NEVER liked the Bucs (even in our heyday), so I’m not surprised at all of this worthless write-up on our team. He LOVES the Patriots so I’m sure… Read more »

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

@bucfan-circa76 Insightful post as usual! You really articulate your points like a pro! Maybe you should write for SI and co host NFL on NBC instead of Peter King! I love your guarantee that Devin White goes to the Pro Bowl! That would be awesome! It would also mean the Bucs had a winning season and that White lead other NFL inside linebackers in categories like tackles, ints, sacks, fumbles, or total defense. Basically a TOTAL 180 from the defense put up by McCoy, Alexander, Grimes, Conte, VH3, Swaggy Baker, JPP and the rest of Licht’s key players acquired or… Read more »

scubog
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scubog

I’ve never liked Peter King. How does one analyze the Bucs and fail to cite the horrid defense and pathetic placekicking that has plagued the team? Too easy to blame the QB than do an actual study. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

pinkstob
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pinkstob

I’m not a fan of Peter King either. The only difference between him and Captain Obvious from the Hotels.com commercials is King takes himself more seriously. Everything he says anyone who follows that team already knows, only he tells it to you at least 3 months late. To your point about the defense and pathetic placekicking, it’s the same GM that created that defense and pathetic placekicking that’s been in charge of fixing the defense and pathetic placekicking. The HC chosen to help correct the defense and pathetic placekicking…was also chosen by this GM. As much as I dislike King… Read more »

Dman
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Dman

Never have been a big Peter Bellicheck King fan, but his assessment that with BA we will be throwing deep “early and often” is interesting. I would be surprised if that is the plan – we simply don’t have the O line for it. That was the Dirk Koetter vertical passing game that got both Jamies and Fitz beaten up. Passing game will need to be more 3 and 5 step drops, quick throws. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

BUC-ASS-BOB
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BUC-ASS-BOB

Buc fan 76 you sure like betting on losers white will take two to three years to be to the Pro Bowl he’s skill impaired Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

All of the experts on here will have a few more reasons to dislike Jason Licht…Tampa will NOT get Compensatory picks next year. https://overthecap.com/2020-compensatory-draft-picks-update-5-13-2019/ Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

Losing Kwon, Hump cancelled out by Buchanon and Barrett amongst others. Net value scratch. Journeyman on his 8th team in 14 years Ryan Fitzpatrick earned Tampa basically nothing. You know what they say, “Count your chickens when they hatch” So, Greg Auman and Scott Reynolds amongst many other expert fans on these boards were dead ass wrong. Kings favorite team, the Patriots lead the way with 5 comp picks. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

DT25
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DT25

@bigsombrero, if the team improves after losing all those players you speak of, isn’t that a bigger indictment on Koetter and Mike Smith than Licht? Really, if the team improves this season despite losing several key players, that HELPS Licht’s cause, not the other way around. Really that only proves Koetter and Smith were as bad at their jobs as many believe they were. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

DT25
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DT25

As for comp picks, good teams more often get them, bad teams don’t. It’s kinda bow the system works. Bad teams will more routinely sign higher priced players to try to improve, good teams will stick with drafting and developing depth and allowing contracts of their starters to run out. You need to actually establish starters first though, which it took years for the Patriots to do as well (long ago). They’ve just been insanely good at maintaining and developing since then…again, a testament to their coaching more than anything. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please… Read more »

drdneast
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drdneast

BigSombrero, I’m confused, were you talking about Winston’s problems or Ben Rothlesberger’s, because I am almost certain I have read all the same critisisms about Big Ben. Of course a lot of people like to try and forget about Big Ben’s sexual assault charges because of his pigmentation but if you ever read about them, they were far worse and more frequent than Winston’s. And by the way, Winston didn’t lose the team or the locker room last year when he was benched. Only one player, the team diva, was calling for Fitzpatrick to start. And as we all know… Read more »

drdneast
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drdneast

Like many of you, I realize Peter King has never liked the Bucs and his short comings as an NFL analyst. As usual, the jury still seems to be deadlocked on Licht.[ One thing is for certain,this year is the rubber match for Licht. If Spence plays well along with Hargreaves, Winston, all of our DBs and Howard stays healthy, and the Bucs finish 8-8 or better it is a sure thing Licht sticks around. And yes, that is entirely possible. I saw Sean Payton trade for Eli Apple last season and when put in a press defensive scheme instead… Read more »

Dman
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Dman

Wow! We get nothing for losing Kwon and Hump and replacing them with God knows what, ridiculous. Holes are all over this roster. The O line is still horrible – the same as it was last year. Everyone will blame Jamies and the RB’s, but it’s the O line stupid! And the D line. We are so weak in the trenches is kills me. But glad we got there DB’s that run 4.3, 4.4. Six draft picks dedicated to DB’s in last two drafts and we can’t block or rush the passer. How does Jason Licht still have a job……… Read more »

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

@DT25 I’m not sure I follow. For the record, I’m a Licht fan. However Licht brought in most of those players that have since left, but he also hired the coaches you referenced. He even increased Mike Smith’s pay after the Bucs went 9-7 in Dirk’s first year. There have been some big time gaffes in the draft and in free agency that his detractors point to regularly and I’m starting to see their point. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

@drdneast Im not sure Big Ben and Jameis Winston are in the same class quite yet. As far as sexual assault accusations for either player, I’m not going to defend circumstances surrounding either. Also, I’m not the decision maker on his suspension if he is ACCUSED(not convicted) by someone else. It’s been reported that the NFL would come down hard with a lengthy suspension if it happens. It’s not my opinion, just what’s been reported. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

Naplesfan
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Naplesfan

People can dump on King all they like, but his conclusions about the Bucs are virtually the same as all the major media organizations as well as the Las Vegas betting lines. The over/under for the Bucs is somewhere between 6 and 6.5 wins and a last place finish in the NFC South and 100:1 odds to win a Super Bowl .. with power rankings all within the bottom 6 give or take. Yet the ones here who call themselves “true fans” and invite the others who live in the real world to stop following the Bucs are the koolaid… Read more »

drdneast
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drdneast

Big Sombrero, why continue to bring it up then. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

Alldaway 2.0
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Alldaway 2.0

From what I can gather Arians doesn’t believe in overpaying for OL or putting the most talented OL to start. He wants the most reliable and consistent five technicians out there. Technically the Bucs have a lot of money and talent on the o-line but still haven’t formed into a cohesive unit. Lack of talent isn’t the problem IMO as right guard are a dime of dozen and the easiest position to replace on the OL. Personally speaking I want the Bucs to draft some o-lineman to push out some high priced OL off the roster which is why good… Read more »

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

drdneast…The article is about King’s ranking of the Bucs. The primary reason he thinks Tampa will be a bottom 3 team is Winston. The article is mostly about Winston. I think Winston has the tools to be successful in the NFL. There are some well documented concerns with his game. Availability is one of them due to off field concerns. QB whisperer Bruce Arians was brought in to save Winston from himself on the field. Can he do it? I hope so, but it’s a long list of things to change IMO. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes… Read more »

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

Also, drdneast, I will concede that it was only RUMORED that the locker room was split, even if it makes sense that they would be. One thing is certain though, the fan base and national media was ABSOLUTELY split. There are tons of fans who wanted Fitz to continue playing. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please wait...

DT25
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DT25

@bigsombrero, not sure why anyone believes he had much of an option to hire Koetter at the time (and Mike Smith was a Koetter hire). If you remember, everyone was stressing continuity for Jameis in his 2nd year as a pro. And honestly, Koetter was a fine decision then. Not my favorite but I understood why he was being forced on us. He appeared to have a good understanding of Winston’s strengths and many believed he’d be able to build this team around that. Fast forward a few years and we saw the cracks form in his inability to adjust… Read more »

Alldaway 2.0
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Alldaway 2.0

Winston has never had a season where he has thrown more INT’s than TDs (eg. Big Ben). Also, Winston had thrown for 14.628 passing yards in four seasons which is a rare feat for any QB in NFL history. Even with Winston’s INT’s last year this team would have reached .500 with a competent NFL defense and special teams. So King can overlook all this all he wants but doesn’t change the fact that Winston has flown under the radar and is on pace to reach 20k passing yards well before he hits 28 years of age. Now, if Winston… Read more »

ehinote
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ehinote

I’ve never been called an optimist, but this post will surely lead to that. I think coaching makes a bigger difference in The NFL than with any sport. Now yes, you need talent, but the talent difference from team to team isn’t great. Our first 3 games will make or break our season and I feel all 3 games are winnable. Our coaching staff will put us in position to win all 3 of these games… and I think we’ll build momentum with each win. Then comes our rough stretch over the next 5 weeks. If we can find a… Read more »

BigSombrero
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BigSombrero

@dt25 I definitely agree that Licht made the best decision at the time by giving Dirk his first pro HC job. He was great with Winston in the first season and it made tons of sense to keep some continuity for the former #1 overall pick. I agree with you that Arians and Bowles are his first true hires. I hope it works out. I have supported and defended lots of his picks over the last few years including Alexander, Vea, Winston, D. Smith, and even Aguayo. It sucks when the player is a bust(Aguayo) or unfairly criticized(Vea, D.Smith) by… Read more »