Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter - Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
In the spirit of the recent news that the Supreme Court issued a decision in Murphy v. NCAA that could lead to legal sports betting country-wide, we decided to take a look at what some of the early Vegas oddsmakers are saying in terms of the Bucs chances in 2018.
Unfortunately, it’s not too encouraging, at the moment.
Here are all of the odds currently set for Buccaneers games in weeks 1-16 (no Week 17, as of right now).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-7)
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+4)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-2.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-7)
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-5.5)
Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants (-3)
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1)
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens (-6)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-6)
In those listings, the Bucs are favored in just three of their upcoming contests: at home against Cleveland in Week 7, at home against Washington in Week 10 and at home against Carolina in Week 13.
Now, that kind of prediction, if the odds were correct, would lead the Bucs to win just three games in 2018 and be just 1-5 in the division. That result would certainly lead to wide-spread changes across the organization, top to bottom. But, as we all know, things rarely work out exactly that way. In fact, studies show that there is more uncertainty and turnover in terms of expected wins/losses in the NFL than in any other sport year-to-year. Sometimes that can be a good thing and sometimes that can be a bad thing.
Vegas doesn’t know the future, but they do know how to make money. Even if it doesn’t shape up like the over/under 6.5 wins they’ve set on the Buccaneers for 2018, these oddsmakers aren’t in the business of losing money, and their current marks tell how much a tough schedule could weigh on the 2018 Buccaneers.
Trevor Sikkema is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat reporter and NFL Draft analyst for PewterReport.com. Sikkema, an alumnus of the University of Florida, has covered both college and professional football for much of his career. As a native of the Sunshine State, when he's not buried in social media, Sikkema can be found out and active, attempting to be the best athlete he never was. Sikkema can be reached at: [email protected]
I would rather us be the underdog. Let the whole league think that were not going to do much and that the bucs are a easy win. Then come gametime were gunna punch them in the mouth.
Koetter and his sidekick DC Smith are in the pressure cooker this season. No matter what anybody says. Anything less than 8-8 and they are both..Gone Fishing. Koetter knows it and I don’t think Smitty gives a rats A.. Yes we got better..on paper. But so did the rest of our Division. In a way, its fitting our Bucs are in the..Do or Die Mode. Those 1st 4 games before the bye are critical. We need 3 of them. 2 at the very minimum. This Buc team is in..MUST WIN MODE. And I for one am Happy. Tired of being last in our Division. Its..embarrassing. Time to coach Koetter and its certainly past time for Mr Smith to leave his pressbox and do some..sideline coaching!!
If this defense can force a few more three and outs and the offense can get the running game going, they are going to be tough to beat.
They will split the division games and could – – could – – win shoot outs with Pittsburgh, NY Giants, and Cincy.
I would also rather have the Bucs offense over Baltimore(obvious), Chicago(also obvious), Dallas(no Dez, no WItten), Washington(No Cousins, RB?), and San Francisco(Garroppolo is great, but Garcon, M. Goodwin, and McKenna??) I think the Bucs defense is better than all those teams also.
Two gimmes? Cleveland a win and Philly a loss?
Thats 9 wins. It could happen.
Don’t really care what Vegas thinks as I don’t gamble. I’m betting the Bucs are going to play the best they can. Go Bucs!
Which is honestly all I care about… Even if my team loses, so long as everyone is playing hard, it’s fun to watch. It’s when teams dog it they become unwatchable (like the last year under Raheem Morris, and all years under Schiano and Lovie Smith).
That over under is high even high for me the way this team gets coached and the talent gets wasted…I really hope no what that Dirk and Mike Smith get canned but Licht gets get to stay, although we all know that would be highly unlikely…
I hope only Smith gets canned, He is not calling a defense that uses his players’ strengths. It is killing us! Koetter is doing an OK job with the offense. We have been pretty good the last couple of years, and now with some added weapons and a (hopefully) better O-line, we will see how they do this season. The defense absolutely needs a new scheme. Buckner hopefully will help on the D-line, and hopefully, the aggressiveness will carry over into the secondary.
Most of those lines are fair. I think the winnable games are Cincy, Baltimore, Giants, Bears, one each vs Carolina, Atlanta, and NO. Cle, Was, and SF. So believe it or not, the Bucs have 10 winnable games. And can someone please tell me how in he hell the Bucs are home dogs to the 49ers? Lol sorry but Jimmy G isn’t the next coming of Joe Montana. This is still a bad, talent devoided, last place west coast team traveling across the country to play a 1 pm game against a team that’s on paper, better than they are. I can’t for the life of me figure that out
It’s because Jimmy G hasn’t EVER lost an NFL game yet. These are early odds, for if you were to bet right now. These will in NO WAY be the same odds to start the season. After all the preseason games, Vegas will adjust their odd to better reflect the strengths and weaknesses of all the teams. That is also why all the odds are so low. Before the season starts, I predict that this same list of odds will have the Bucs favored in about 6 or 7 games. No need to panic now, it’s still early. They just posted this to see where we are at right now. Go Bucs!!
The Supreme court in their infinite wisdom (paid off) has legalized gambling on all sports both pro and college. This marks the end of all legitimate sports. Gambling on sports has been illegal for the last gazillion years for a reason. To prevent games from being rigged. When there are billions of dollars resting on the outcome of a single game there will be fixing. From paying players or referees to threatening them with the death of a loved one if they don’t do as they are told to do on the field. The inevitable result will be a dwindling fan, lower TV revenue, and sports will be just for gambling. RIP spectator sports! I’m gonna miss you. “sniffle”
As was mentioned elsewhere by someone else this means that “on paper” the Bucs appear to be worse off than we were a year ago. To elaborate this means that at least to the Las Vegas oddsmakers New Orleans, Atlanta, and Carolina have improved even more than our Buccaneers during this offseason so far. The Bucs will remain at the bottom of our division. This plus the tougher schedule handed to us by the NFL says that we will fall from 5 and 11 to 3 and 13 for this upcoming season.
Ha, ha! … :.-) … 😀
I want our division to be the toughest in the NFL for now, and for years to come. When we come out on top we will be prepared to go all the way and to bring the Lombardi Trophy back to Tampa Bay and have it on display at One Buc Place for the following whole year!
One thought leads to another.
I am not a gambler at all. However, I might just be tempted to go out and make a bet or two “at Las Vegas”. Here are my thoughts.
It is inconceivable to me that we will not better our record from that of 2017. (Of course, I realize that anything is possible.) Even if that did happen I am willing to bet right now that we will win at least 4 games.
So if I was willing to take a chance of losing say, one hundred dollars I would consider these kinds of things. (I might be able to swallow a hundred dollar loss but not a one thousand dollar loss.)
What were the odds for Philly winning the Super Bowl one year ago today? How with the one or many bets I could place with that money today compare to going out and purchasing 50 Powerball tickets at $2.00 each for the next drawing? How would those odds compare with me putting the whole $100.00 on the Buccaneers winning the Superbowl come February of 2019? What could my winnings in each situation possibly be?
How about if I spent some of the money on whether the Bucs win 4 games, 5 games, 6 games or more during the regular season? What if I bet on us getting into the playoffs. How about betting on us getting to the second game?
You can see that there are all kind of bets to be made right now. Surely you could win enough to come out ahead of your initial $100.00 spent.
You can see the lure of gambling for many people with this example.
The odds are set to get sales (bets) and have zero to do with predicting wins and losses. All of these odds will change in due course.
Thank you for explaining that fact to these lovers of misery. It’s the betting public’s perception, not a prediction of reality.
I’ll take this over the hype of last season without hesitation!
Looking at the schedule though, week 1-3 will definitely be tough. We always play our division rivals well, but @NO is always a tough one. Follow that up with 2 home games…but against the SB Champs and Steelers. These would be tough matchups at any point, let alone in the first 3 weeks before the team really has a chance to gel.
On a positive note though, we get these matchups out of the way early, and although it may be a little early, week 5 is a definite win over last year with no bye!
The rest of the schedule doesn’t appear nearly as tough. We should split the division games at a minimum, probably go 2-0 against Carolina.
Chicago is definitely winnable, too bad they won’t be playing Glennon again as he helped us out a lot last season lol. Then we’ve got Cincy, NYG, Baltimore, and Dallas…all winnable in my opinion.
I wouldn’t read too much into Vegas odds anyway. Those odds are more about Vegas making money than they are about actually favoring teams to win.
Last year was a awake up call that one one heard from owners management to coaches, Pewter was there with excuses and hope, few noticed the only games won were against teams with really bad records and last game Saints already set in playoffs. No coach was fired, all players given raises and atta boys . Curry and JPP both players added were shadows of once good players. Pewter clapped praises of draft as Broncos jumped from 8th in front of them and grabbed best player in draft Chubb.
Veta was shoved all around by Penn state only Pro style team he faced last year and now by Cappa
Now comes the schedule with no bad teams to get there 3-4 wins from.
Cleveland is going to be pressured to win a few and Bucs seen as there best hope Chicago is much improved 49ers now looking for playoffs with much better team the rest of schedule were playoff teams last year!
And Bucs hopping for 3rd 4th 5th rounders to step in and improve this team.
last year Glazers should have seen this coming and lite a fire under this team but instead just handed out raises and went to there social events to raise money for saving the owls in British Columbia.
Well here we are it is “1976 -2018” Bucs looking at a real possibly of 0-16.
Just for the record for the hits I will receive from this post
I am a Buc fan
I would love to watch the Bucs win as much as any one of you !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I am just in real world of X and O and understand other teams have made big improvements.
If you were really in the real world, your take on the season would be different. We have made improvements too.
We’re all familiar with the glass 1/2 empty types. but you are clearly running on “E” my friend. I just hope the team can help you refill that glass and bring you in off the ledge.
I hope I am wrong, I wanted to see a major move in free agency , and a move up in draft to get a much need player like Chubb , Bucs caught at bottom of a very strong division, a tweak here and there is not enough , Bucs needed to make big moves to better this team. They did not do well last year against good teams. Teams like last years Giants- Miami -J
I think they did make major moves in free agency. What more could they have done to address the worst pass rush in the league? Overpay for Suh? I feel like the 4 new lineman we got are more of an improvement than he would’ve been…especially for the price tag.
As for moving up for Chubb, that would’ve been a horrible move. With the amount of holes we had there was no reason to have less picks. The maneuvering Licht did to get as many picks and fill as many holes as he did is FAR superior to getting a single pass rusher, no matter if he is the next JJ Watt.
Veta was shoved all around by Cappa at rookie camp and to watch Chubb the next ten years and say shoulda but didn’t will be sad .
Jets Bears not on this years schedule, I do not remember a harder schedule for any team.
@Chicago week 4, hope that makes you feel a little better
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