It’s time for PewterReport.com’s 2-Point Conversion post-game column, which features two statements, two questions and two predictions based on the latest Bucs game. Tampa Bay improved to 6-7 on the year with a 38-35 victory, and won its third straight game behind a record game from QB Jameis Winston, who accounted for five touchdowns. The Bucs already have a better record than they did over the last two years with three games left, and moved into second place in the NFC South division ahead of Carolina (5-8).

2 BIG STATEMENTS

STATEMENT 1: Winston, Bucs Show Resiliency In Win

What a wild game for Jameis Winston. For the third time this season, Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston has thrown an interception on his first pass of the game. The first came in London against Carolina and it happened again at Atlanta.

It happened again on Sunday in Tampa Bay’s 38-35 whacky win over visiting Indianapolis. And just like he did against the Falcons, Winston shook it off and kept firing.

In fact, Winston threw two more interceptions, including a pick-six that Colts linebacker Darius Leonard returned 80 yards for a touchdown – but shrugged them off and kept firing away.

Colts LB Darius Leonard
Colts LB Darius Leonard – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

“That’s just zone defense,” Bucs head coach Bruce Arians said. “He went back into zone defense, and he is a tall guy. Jameis thought he could get it over on the first one. He’s thrown over a bunch of linebackers, but Darius is a long guy with really good hands. A lot of linebackers can’t make that play, but he did. The other one was a cover-zero blitz. Breshad [Perriman] broke hot, Jameis thought he was hot but he didn’t pick it up properly. So, he threw the hot [route] just a little bit late and he picks it for six. Again, they go up 14 at that point and a lot of teams [would] collapse. Our guys don’t collapse. Our offense goes right back down and gets points and gets us back in the game.”

Winston fired away to the tune of a career-high 456 yards and four touchdown passes, including the game-winner to Breshad Perriman with 3:51 left in regulation. He also rushed for a touchdown, his first of the season – all while losing wide receiver Mike Evans to a hamstring injury on a 61-yard touchdown in the second quarter and playing with a “little bitty fracture” in his right thumb on his throwing hand in the second half.

“The grace of God,” Winston said. “He willed me through.”

For the third time in his career, Winston reached the 400-yard mark, and his 456 yards were the third-most in team history behind Vinny Testaverde’s 469 yards (at Indianapolis on 10/16/88) and Doug Williams’ 486 yards (at Minnesota on 11/16/80).

Despite his fifth pick-six this season and the fact that he has thrown 23 interceptions, which are by far the most in the league, Winston and the Bucs prevailed on Sunday and got their sixth win of the year to improve to 6-7. That’s meaningful because Winston and the Bucs showed a lot of resiliency – not just in Sunday’s win over the Colts, but also throughout the season.

This is a game that the Bucs of yesterday don’t win. They’re learning how to win and showed a ton of heart coming back from a 10-0 hole early in the first quarter, and other deficits of 10 points and 14 points throughout the game.

Bucs FS Mike Edwards – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Tampa Bay won on Sunday not only because of Winston’s heroics, but also because the Bucs defense stepped up in the fourth quarter to hold Indianapolis without any points. Rookie middle linebacker Devin White continues to make plays, forcing a key fumble at the Tampa Bay 15-yard line when he hit running back Nyheim Hines to create the Bucs’ lone takeaway on defense. Rookie safety Mike Edwards had the recovery.

The Bucs defense also came up big with a three-and-out on the Colts’ next possession and again with a stop on fourth-and-2 at the 50-yard line on Indianapolis’ last offensive series.

“They are just getting better and better and the future is so bright for all of us because of them,” Arians said. “They’re not rookies in my opinion. They’ve played about 20 games now. It’s time for them to show what they are really made of and they are really showing it.”

STATEMENT 2: The 2019 Bucs Have Made Progress

Don’t look now, but if Tampa Bay wins out to get to 9-7 it will avoid a losing season for the third year in a row. That would also mean that the Bucs would have won six straight games, which has happened just one other time in franchise history (1999) and ended the season with possibly a ton of momentum heading into Bruce Arians’ second season in Tampa Bay in 2020.

At one point, the Bucs were 2-6 this year, but have won four of the last five games – including the last three games – and at 6-7 are now in second place in the NFC South ahead of the 5-8 Panthers and behind the 10-3 Saints, who have already clinched the division. Getting to six wins with three games to play is significant to a Bucs team that underachieved in each of the last two seasons, finishing 5-11 in both years.

While Tampa Bay was officially eliminated from playoff contention with a win by Minnesota, Arians’ first season with the Bucs is already a success of sorts, and will only get better with each win the team continues to accumulate as the 2019 campaign winds down.

Bucs QB Jameis Winston
Bucs QB Jameis Winston – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Should the Bucs finish 9-7 that mark will look a lot different than the 9-7 record that Dirk Koetter put together in his first season as head coach in 2016. Koetter’s 9-7 record that year was a bit fluky despite a five-game winning streak down the stretch. The 2016 Bucs lost two of their last three games and didn’t end the season the way this year’s Tampa Bay team can in terms of momentum.

Some fans will lament that with each victory the Bucs achieve the lower Tampa Bay will pick in the 2020 draft, but that’s not what Arians cares about. After the team’s disastrous 2-6 start, the goal for this young Bucs squad over the second half of the season has been to learn how to win. Sunday’s come-from-behind victory over Indianapolis was another step in the right direction.

“Yeah, I mean, it’s huge because we didn’t play our best by any stretch of the imagination,” Arians said. “To still get a win, it builds the confidence. I talked to our team last night. I did not think that our team had a great week of practice. I thought we were all of a sudden resting on laurels that we don’t have. We don’t have any laurels to rest on. It kind of came out that way in the first half, but that’s why you play 60 minutes. They were able to regroup and get some things said and done and go back and win the ball game in the second half.”

2 PROBING QUESTIONS

QUESTION 1: Are These Victories Considered “Quality Wins?”

Yes. The Bucs have improved to 6-7 by not only winning three games in a row, including Sunday’s 38-35 win over the Colts, but also by being victorious in four of the team’s last five games. Doubters or non-believers will point to the fact that most of the teams the Bucs have beaten this year have losing records.

And they’re right.

Carolina Panthers (5-8)
Los Angeles Rams (7-5)
Arizona Cardinals (3-9-1)
Atlanta Falcons (4-9)
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9)
Indianapolis Colts (6-7)

But isn’t the goal in football to win the winnable games – to beat the beatable opponents?

Yes, that’s what the Bucs have done more often than not this year. Two of Tampa Bay’s seven losses this year are to New Orleans (10-3), in addition to Seattle (10-2) and San Francisco (11-2). Tennessee (8-5) has also gotten hot since beating Tampa Bay and is challenging for a playoff spot.

Bucs QB Jameis Winston
Bucs QB Jameis Winston – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Some of these Bucs losses were close, such as the overtime defeat to the Seahawks, and there is no shame for a young Bucs team – with a new coaching staff and the hardest travel schedule perhaps in NFL history – losing to upper echelon teams that will most likely win divisions and make the playoffs.

The Bucs’ worst loss of the season was without question to a bad Giants team (2-10) that played against rookie quarterback Daniel Jones in his first NFL start. Tampa Bay was up 18 points at halftime and collapsed in the second half with rookie kicker Matt Gay missing what would have been a 34-yard game-winner.

The Bucs’ other loss this year to a losing team was to Carolina (5-7) in London by 11 points – despite a minus-six turnover margin in that game. So Tampa Bay shouldn’t be knocked for winning games against similar or lesser opponents. That’s what the Bucs – and all NFL teams – are supposed to do.

Of course, Tampa Bay will have one last chance to get another real “quality” win this year, and that comes against Houston (8-5) in two weeks at Raymond James Stadium. The Bucs’ final two opponents of the season are at Detroit (3-9-1) next Sunday and at home against Atlanta (4-9) in the season finale.

“We’re on a streak – we’re hot,” said Bucs tight end O.J. Howard. “We knew what was at stake. We knew we had an opportunity. We were in the [playoff] chase or whatever, so we had no choice but to win every game from here on out. And we don’t control all the scenarios. It’s not all in our hands, but the least we can do is win and do our part. I think the team understands that.”

QUESTION 2: Is Watson Making A Run For The 3rd WR Role?

Yes. The Bucs were without the services of top target Mike Evans after he hauled in a 61-yard touchdown and hurt his right hamstring in the process, and that meant that Breshad Perriman moved up a slot into the starting role opposite Chris Godwin and paved the way for Justin Watson to get more playing time. The Bucs were already thin at wide receiver with Scotty Miller missing his second straight game with a hamstring injury, but Watson stepped up in a big way on Sunday.

Watson, the team’s fifth-round pick in 2018, was already featured in a prominent role coming into Sunday’s game as the team’s punt returner due to T.J. Logan’s broken thumb, which happened at practice on Friday. It turned out he would be also be counted on offensively against Indianapolis, too.

Bucs WR Justin Watson – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Watson entered the game with one reception for 13 yards on the year, and had two catches for 21 yards in the first half before catching three more passes for 39 yards and his first career touchdown in the second half. He finished the game with a career-high five catches for 59 yards and a TD.

“Shout out to J-Wat though, for real,” Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston said. “He last minute [became the] starting punt returner. Second quarter, Mike goes down, now [he’s] got to be the starting Z [receiver]. So, that was tough for him, but he stepped up in a big way.”

Watson also made a huge play by stripping a would-be interception away from Colts defensive back Pierre Desir early in the fourth quarter.

With Evans likely out of the rest of the season, and Miller’s status for next week’s game uncertain, Watson will emerge as Tampa Bay’s third wide receiver by default. But given his big game on Sunday, Watson deserves the promotion, and he could make a run at securing the No. 3 spot on the depth chart next year with a strong finish to the 2019 campaign.

2 BOLD PREDICTIONS

PREDICTION 1: Evans Is Done For The Year

The Bucs really hope star wide receiver Mike Evans isn’t done for the year, but it looks like that’s the case. Hamstring strains/tears are typically three- to six-week injuries. With his one catch for a 61-yard touchdown, Evans now has 67 receptions for 1,157 yards with eight touchdowns.

Bucs WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin
Bucs WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Not only would this injury affect Evans’ chances of making back-to-back Pro Bowls, more importantly, it hurts Tampa Bay’s of winning the team’s remaining three games against at Detroit as well as home games against Houston and Atlanta due to how vital Evans is to the Bucs offense. Evans’ injury also negative affects quarterback Jameis Winston in his quest to get a contract extension – or at least the franchise tag – and remain in Tampa Bay, as he has been Winston’s primary target for the past five years.

Third-string wide receiver Breshad Perriman, who had three catches for 70 yards and the game-winning touchdown on Sunday against the Colts, moves into the starting lineup and must step up his game down the stretch. Look for the Bucs to incorporate tight ends O.J. Howard, who had four catches for 73 yards on Sunday, and Cameron Brate, who had four catches for 30 yards and one score, more into the game plan as a receiver in the coming weeks, and Chris Godwin will have to prove he can be a No. 1 receiver despite drawing double-teams down the stretch.

PREDICTION 2: Bucs Will Set The Franchise Record For Most Points Scored

Don’t look now, but head coach Bruce Arians and offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich have taken Tampa Bay’s offense to new heights this year. Not only did the Bucs score a franchise-record 55 points in a Week 4 win at Los Angeles – of which the offense scored 48 points – but Tampa Bay is averaging over 28 points per game this season, which is the best average in team history. The Bucs rank fourth in scoring and fifth in total yards (380.4 ppg).

Bucs TE Cameron Brate – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Entering Sunday’s contest against Indianapolis, the Bucs had scored 340 points through 12 games. Then Tampa Bay added 38 more in the victory. Now the Bucs have 378 points with three games left, and are just 19 points away from overtaking the franchise record of 396 that was set last year. Tampa Bay seems destined to do that next week at Detroit, and the team will all but certainly eclipse the 400-point plateau for the first time since the Bucs’ inception in 1976.

Scott Reynolds is in his 25th year of covering the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the vice president, publisher and senior Bucs beat writer for PewterReport.com. Author of the popular SR's Fab 5 column on Fridays, Reynolds oversees web development and forges marketing partnerships for PewterReport.com in addition to his editorial duties. A graduate of Kansas State University in 1995, Reynolds spent six years giving back to the community as the defensive line coach for his sons' Pop Warner team, the South Pasco Predators. Reynolds can be reached at: [email protected]
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jiggyjoe

There is no doubt that Winston will get the franchise tag.

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Horse

Just my thoughts here; why would we give Winston the franchise tag? Why not go ahead and sign him for 4 years and work to his strengths and don’t call plays that can get him in trouble. 100 million for 4 years and 60 million guaranteed.
Sit down with Jameson and have a heart-to-heart talk and ask what does he need to help him avoid interceptions. My guess would be some more offensive lineman and another running back.

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Allanh1

Horse, why 100 million?? How about somewhere in the 60-70 range? It would be great so see a franchise QB in Tampa for the first time ever..

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Horse

Allanhi, believe it or not there are quite a few teams that would be willing to take a chance with Winston at the salary you are suggesting.

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EricNV

Then let them deal with 23 INTs per season. Listen, I’ve been as big of a Jameis fan as there is, but the bad decision making is what kills this team’s chances. Is he getting better as the season goes on? Yes. Do I think Jameis deserves a $100+ million contract with $60 mil guaranteed? No, but stranger things have happened.

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Allanh1

I guess that’s one of my worries..let’s say we sign the kid (100mil, because every franchise QB is getting that now) and 2 years down the road we have another back to back sub .500 season? I figure if u have a gunslinger QB u better have a good D to bail him out. We also need that O-line. We can sit down and ask what if all day, and the meter is pointing up. Kind of glad GMac cant weasel his way into the playoffs with NC, close one. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please… Read more »

Allanh1

That’s the truth. I ask because we never signed someone with that amount in mind, never had the chance to- so it is unfamiliar territory for us. Some of us Bucs fans also forget good moments and linger with remembering the bad. Personally, I like #3 and with the way things are going. Would that amount cripple us with signing/resigning guys?

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76Buc

And a better defense which we’re are building.

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BigSombrero

Contract sounds about right Horse. I don’t think they “sit down and have a heart-to-heart” talk though. I feel very confident the staff has been trying to help with that since the first day. I think the Jameis that played at Florida State is the same guy that’s leading the Bucs today. He will always be a turnover machine that’s tough as nails and knows how to put up points.

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Buc stops here

Don’t tell Buc-Ass-Bob these comments – he will have a heart attack!

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Allanh1

Lol,let’s tell em.jk..

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EricNV

Why not give Jameis a deal similar to Donovan Smith’s where only two years of a 4-year deal are guaranteed (or 3 years of a 5-year deal guaranteed)? Give him performance incentives including incentives for only throwing 15-16 picks a season instead of what he’s done this year. Think of how many more wins we might have if Jameis had ONLY threw 15 or 16 picks this season.

Jameis is always going to make bad decisions during games, but he’s got to want to minimize those bad decisions.

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drdneast

Although they have made some blunders, it’s also really nice not to see our team geet out coached like they have been since the Raheem Morris regime. Was it just me or did it seem like Winston was throwing the ball with more touch after he fractured his thumb. Although he threw a couple wobblers, it just seemed like the ball was coming out with a little more air under it. Say what you will about Alex Cappa, but he definitely makes the offensive line more stout and less porous and he is getting better as the season progresses. The… Read more »

BigSombrero

East End Boy’s head is exploding now after reading your comment about Donovan Smith. Lol.

I was a huge supporter of the Bucs keeping Smith and I think as LT’s go, the guy is in the upper half of LT’s in the NFL. The Bucs still need to draft 2 OT’s in the next draft though.

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EastEndBoy

“he is probably one of the lowest paid starting LTs in the league”…..uh NOOOOOOOOO. He is the 5th highest paid LT in the league! Yes, my head exploded on that comment LOL.

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EricNV

Bucs need to draft a LT in the first round and move D Smith to RT.

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Spitfire

Not that Winston cares what people think, but he could actually win people over if he would tell them $22mil a year with 2 years guaranteed. I know the INTs are hair pulling LT annoying but the records set on the positive side are incredible. There has to be a world where the negatives can be limited and it is almost positively by improving the Oline. I mean, Drafting a LT and moving Smith to RT would automatically greatly improve this line. Next year Dean, Bunting, Edwards, White, Vea, Cappa and Jones will be even better and the core of… Read more »

seat26

If Winston gets the franchise tag, how do they sign Barrett? IF it comes down to one or the other, for me, it is obviously Barrett. We can not afford to let another pro bowl Linebacker slip away two years in a row.

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EricNV

We also cannot afford to spend another 1st round pick on a QB and expect to win next year. The Bucs had better have a rock solid bet on bringing in a decent QB through FA if letting Winston go is their plan, and put a better OL together unless they plan on getting him killed.

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bEubanks11

I’m just unable to get excited at the moment. The bipolar rollercoaster that’s been the Buccaneers has left me numb. A win is a win, they overcame adversity (the non self inflicted kind as well with the Evans injury) and the defense is showing improvement every week. Winston makes a ton of spectacular throws, multiple TDs and fights through injury. But… I still can’t get excited. Resiliency is a great trait. Winston is the pinnacle of resiliency but he doesn’t respond until he needs to. Resiliency isn’t meant to be the path. It’s not a secure plan for prolonged success… Read more »

buddah

Sorry, but I don’t think the Buccaneers’ main goal is to excite you. Did you really think that the Buccaneers were a playoff team BEFORE the season started especially with the early season schedule handed to them? Not many here thought so. After all we were the 32nd ranked defense last year. We did beat the Rams and played toe-to-toe with Seattle. You likely are right that the Buccaneers aren’t yet ready to beat “the good teams.” But they are worlds better than they were this time last year and I have faith that this coaching staff is rarely out-coached… Read more »

chefboho

I would like to see Winston with a cap friendly contract. I just believe that he would want to stay here enough to take the local discount if you will. If you can get him for a three year deal front loaded with about $22 mil a year with all the guaranteed money in the first two so that if something goes wrong, you can cut bait after year two. I want to see co to unity and I believe the rest of the team would want Jameis back as well. The ship is righting itself and that’s more than… Read more »

surferdudes

Watson prevented another interception in the 4th by stripping the ball from the defender. That woulda made it 4 picks on the day instead of 3, that’s to much for a fifth year franchise QB. As great as Winston’s heroics were leading us back to victory, I don’t see us ever winning, or contending consistently with Winston’s turnovers. Yesterday there were three, almost four. You don’t pay top money to a QB who always leads the league in turnovers. Why are we praising a guy just because he over came his mistakes this time. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00… Read more »

chefboho

You don’t take into consideration how much they’re asking Winston to throw, especially with the oline banged up. You also don’t take into consideration how much he gets hit yet stands in the pocket. His drive and motivation to win are incredible. Just cut back from throwing 50 times a game and the turnover will lessen

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EricNV

That and continue to improve the offensive line, and Jameis’s INTs will go down significantly.

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awwdembucs

All QB’S throw INT’S, but the pick 6 usually lose you games. As far as bringing JW back I really have no idea. It will be a big decision either way. Three in a row is great,Go Bucs

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BigSombrero

In the article, SR expects the offense to utilize more 2 TE sets now that Evans is down. That may well be the case, but it seems just as likely that the offense keeps on operating as it has all year and Watson fills in for Evans at the “Z”. On that note, I am excited to see what Watson can do. I thought Watson had a great preseason two years ago and was surprised that this new coaching staff hasn’t really utilized him throughout the preseason or regular season. I remember watching an interview with him and he talked… Read more »

Allanh1

Is this first win in color rush?

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Buc stops here

Comments around the NFL today are fascinating. First ESPN in the morning – they went by saying essentially Winston is making his future harder for everyone. Explaining he is driving everyone crazy in Tampa management with his additional three interceptions and another pick 6, but then coming back and throwing four TDs and running for a fifth. On top of that, he used every receiver on the roster and every receiver had 19 yards or more receiving. Unlike Mariotta, Winston keeps staying on the hot seat because he cannot get his turnovers under control but he still finds ways to… Read more »

jongruden

This has been a very debated subject since the Mariota vs Winston Debate pre draft convo and my evaluation remains the same pertaining to Winston than as it does now. Winston is a very charismatic at times exciting qb who will throw for big yards but Winston is also a careless qb who fumbles and throws in coverage and who will lead the league in turnovers. The question here is going forward do you see yourself winning a SB with Winston at qb and beat quality teams in playoffs? My personal answer is no, to me he reminds me of… Read more »

Buc stops here

I would agree except for one major fact. Do you know who has been under pressure and sacked almost more often than anyone else in the NFL this year? I give you one guess. J. Winston. He has been sacked 41 times this year. That is the third most in the NFL. Number 1 is Kyler Murray with 46 (and he has the second most interceptions, showing he does not do so well under pressure either). Number 2 is Kyler Allen (Carolina Panthers) with 44 and he has not even played in all the games this year. When you are… Read more »

jongruden

Murray had 6 int’s going into yesterdays game so that statement is wrong

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Buc stops here

Sorry JonGruden, you are right about that. Now he has 9. Threw three more this week. His line is still pretty bad, and they are not winning many games either.

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bEubanks11

Look at what stands out with both Kyler Murray and Kyle Allen. They’re first year players who defenses tee off on and expect them to make mistakes. Same thing they do to our 5th year starter because he’ll do the same. The O line isn’t fantastic but there’s so many factors going into why Winston is sacked and pressured so much. He also holds the ball longer than the NFL average. My post was taken as though I’ma Winston hater or that maybe I’m some fair weather fan. I’ve been a fan since 79 and this is the first time… Read more »

Buc stops here

I do agree with one aspect of your statement – he does hold the ball too long which exacerbates the problems on the line. He says he is trying to make a play. It unfortunately is part of what you get with him. But you are correct – if he does not change and hold the ball less and give up on some plays, they are going to continue to fail with him at QB.

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EricNV

Good point. There’s a reason the Colts don’t turn the ball over very often at all, and that reason is their OL. Quenton Nelson deserves every bit of hype he gets.

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Austin Williams

Winston is by far the best QB this franchise has ever had and it would be beyond stupid to not give this man a long term contract. At least 3 years, with 2 guaranteed, but I’d be down with a more cap friendly, home discounted 5 year contract. Then Draft best OT available and let him and D.Smoth battle for LT position. Then best Safety in 2nd round. Then Cam Akers (RB FSU) in 3rd if still available which probably will not be. Then developmental OL and done. Playoff team. Rate this item:Thumb UpThumb DownSubmit Rating00 No votes yet. Please… Read more »

EricNV

They need to draft at least 2 OL during the draft. A starter in the first round, and a depth player later in the draft. We’ve got decent RBs, just not enough consistency from the OL to run between the tackles more effectively. Cappa’s backup at right guard was a turnstile yesterday.

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seat26

I think the wise choice might be to Transition Winston and Franchise Barrett. There are still enough concerns about Winston to not lock him into a long term contract. Barrett is a no brainer for me. You have to sign him or franchise him. I think Bucs can get this done, but getting some quality offensive lineman here next year will be paramount. Move Smith over to the right side, and find a guy who can possibly play all three positions on the line for Left Tackle. If we can actually make improvements on the line, our running game will… Read more »

76Buc

Kwan was way over priced so we didn’t let him slip away. We let him go. We got a much better l.b. for less than half the pay.

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