With the 2017 NFL Free Agency period now less than one month away, PewterReport.com figured it would be a good idea to give Buccaneer fans a complete, one-stop-shop guide to what Tampa Bay’s roster looks like currently, and which players are set to hit which type of free agency in less than 30 days – yes, there are different kinds of free agents.
Bucs MLB Kwon Alexander & DT Gerald McCoy – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
With franchise players like quarterback Jameis Winston, wide receiver Mike Evans, linebacker Lavonte David, defensive tackle Gerald McCoy and middle linebacker Kwon Alexander all under contract for the foreseeable future, the list of possible signees for the Buccaneers is relatively stress-free, but there are 26 players who are entering one of the three types of free agency, some more pressing than others.
The three types of free agents are: unrestricted free agents, restricted free agents and exclusive rights free agents. Here’s how they differ.
So now that we have the three types of free agents cleared up, let’s look at how the Buccaneers roster looks contract-wise on offense heading into free agency. Check back tomorrow for PewterReport.com’s look at Tampa Bay’s defensive free agents.
Under Contract: Jameis Winston, Sean Renfree
UFA: Mike Glennon
RFA: Ryan Griffin
Mike Glennon is the most high-profile free agent the Bucs could stand to lose.
As a rookie in 2013, Glennon started 13 games for Tampa Bay throwing for 2,608 yards with 19 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Statistically, that’s not too bad. However, his 4-9 record over that first year and 1-4 record in 2014 wasn’t very promising – you could make a case that the Bucs roster and coaching staff also contributed heavily to those losing records, even outside of Glennon.
Since the team drafted Jameis Winston in 2015, Glennon has been nothing more than an ideal backup. His name has been floated around trade circles for a year or so, but either the Buccaneers weren’t willing to give him up, or no team really wanted to put up a price that was worth dealing.
The NFL will always covet tall, big-armed quarterbacks and Glennon fits that bill. Though he wasn’t too impressive in his time as a starter, if Brock Osweiler can get a four-year, 72 million dollar deal, you have to imagine some team is going to overpay for Glennon’s services. With that known, and knowing the Buccaneers would be resigning him as nothing more than a backup again, his chances of return to Tampa Bay are slim. However, if he were to leave, the Bucs would likely get a nice compensatory pick for the 2018 NFL Draft.
CHANCES OF GLENNON RETURNING: LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
Bucs RB Jacquizz Rodgers – Photo by: Getty Images
Under Contract: Doug Martin, Charles Sims, Peyton Barber, Russell Hansbrough
UFA: Jacquizz Rodgers, Antone Smith
Smith is 31 years old, only played for Tampa for one year and was only active in three games last year. With running backs being a dime a dozen, I can’t really see much of a reason to bring him back, but perhaps they will for his veteran presence. It won’t be for anything more than the league minimum and that’s only when he’s fully healed from his torn ACL.
Rodgers is a player that the Bucs have to make sure they lock up. After coming in for the injured Martin and ineffective Charles Sims early in the year, Rodgers led the team in rushing with 560 yards and a 4.3 yards-per-carry average. That average we well above anything Martin had in 2016, even when healthy.
Rodgers is 27. he has relatively low mileage for a guy who has been in the league for six years, but most importantly, he’s the only option Tampa Bay has. Martin is still under contract, and there are talks of the Buccaneers now cutting him because his suspension voids and guaranteed money in his deal, but you never move on from a player unless you know his replacement. If the Bucs can’t hang on to Rodgers, they’ll have to hang on to Martin going into 2017.
His contract will be representative of a fringe starter, and the Bucs have plenty of cap space to make the right bid for him.
CHANCES OF RODGERS RETURNING: 90 PERCENT
CHANCES OF SMITH RETURNING: LESS THAN 5 PERCENT
Under Contract: Alan Cross
After going undrafted last year, the Bucs signed Cross to enter training camp as a tight end. They eventually released him and signed him to the practice squad, but called him up to the active roster shortly after as a result of cutting Austin Seferian-Jenkins.
Cross played in 14 games as a fullback this season catching 6 passes for 38 and even one touchdown. Cross is not an upcoming free agent, and will most likely assume the same niche roll next season as a blocker if there is room on the roster.
Under Contract: Mike Evans, Bernard Reedy, Josh Huff, Derel Walker
UFA: Vincent Jackson, Russell Shepard, Cecil Shorts
ERFA: Freddie Martino, Adam Humphries, Donteea Dye
As explained in the ERFA section, players with that tag are almost always retained, so you can expect no chances in the statuses of Martino and Humphries; they’ll be back.
Jackson’s time as a Buccaneer is most likely done. Though he will go down as one of the best free agent signings in franchise history, he’s 34 years old and hasn’t had a 1,000-yard season since 2014 (where he eclipsed the milestone by only two yards). Jackson is no longer a reliable No. 2 wide receiver and he’s too expensive and injury-prone to be a third- or fourth wide receiver.
Shepard shouldn’t be going anywhere. He’s a special teams leader, and a great player to have in a locker room. His fellow teammates love having him there for motivation and to get the team focused. Shepard was even given some time at wide receiver this year, and, honestly, if Winston’s passes to him were better, he would’ve had a year well above expectations. He’s a guy you’d expect them to keep.
You have to feel for Shorts. After having a nice start to his career in Jacksonville, he signed a two-year deal with the Houston Texans where he only played one season, then was signed by Tampa Bay, only to have an injury-riddled year that ended with him tearing his ACL, MCL and PCL. The Bucs won’t bring him back in 2017.
CHANCES OF JACKSON RETURNING: LESS THAN 5 PERCENT
CHANCES OF SHEPARD RETURNING: 75 PERCENT
CHANCES OF SHORTS RETURNING: LESS THAN 5 PERCENT
Bucs TE Brandon Myers – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
Under Contract: Luke Stocker, Kivon Cartwright, Tevin Westbrook
UFA: Brandon Myers
ERFA: Cameron Brate
Head coach Dirk Koetter sure loves his tight ends, which actually bodes well for Myers possibly returning. Myers contract won’t be one that breaks the bank. He’s a block-first tight end who can be decent, but not a focal weapon in the passing game. With the Buccaneers offense trying to get more dynamic, you wonder if there’s room for a guy who would surely be the third- or fourth-best pass catcher in the tight end group come training camp.
Myers is 31 years old, and him returning really depends on whether or not he wants to finish out his career in Tampa. If he does, Licht could throw him a low-end deal to keep him around. If not, they could easily replace him with a pass catching tight end that can also block.
Brate will be re-signed this offseason, likely to a long-term deal as he has emerged as one of the best tight ends in the league.
CHANCES OF MYERS RETURNING: 50 PERCENT
Under Contract: Donovan Smith, Leonard Wester
As much as Bucs fans would love to see some change on the offensive line, it’s most likely not going to happen. Almost all of the team’s core big men are both young and under contract. Expect this to be their development year before any big chances are made.
Under Contract: Kevin Pamphile, Josh Allen
Pamphile was moved all over in 2016, but the team really like what they have in him as a versatile lineman. He should be the starting left guard going into camp. Don’t expect the team to bring in an big-name competition for him this free agency period.
Under Contract: Evan Smith, Ben Gottschalk, James Stone
UFA: Joe Hawley
The Bucs would certainly like to have Hawley back, but everything has to come at the right price.
Hawley was in Atlanta at the same time Koetter was the offensive coordinator, so the two know each other very well. Due to injuries, not only at center, but all across the line, he and Evan Smith split time at the center position. However, Hawley is three years younger than Smith, and I believe he’s the desired starter for this team going forward.
On the flip side, the team does like what they have in Benenoch, who saw limited playing time during his rookie season. The question is, do they like it enough to ride with just him and Smith going into 2016 knowing how quick offensive line depth can diminish.
CHANCES OF HAWLEY RETURNING: 50 PERCENT
Under Contract: J.R. Sweezy, Ali Marpet, Caleb Benenoch, Jarvis Harrison, Michael Liedtke
PewterReport.com was the first to report that Sweezy has been fully cleared medically and should open up training camp in contention to be a starting guard. That means the team is basically getting another free agent signing as he was unable to play last year due to a back injury.
RT Gosder Cherilus – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
Under Contract: Demar Dotson
UFA: Gosder Cherlius
Dotson only played in six games in 2015 and played in 13 games in 2016 due to injury. The man who was brought in to be his replacement, Gosder Cherilus, didn’t do so hot – most notably in the game against Dallas where he made second-year defensive end David Irving look like a Hall of Famer.
With Cherilus now 32 years old with bad knees, and with him not exactly proving his worth as a potential backup to the established starter Dotson, him returning with Wester, Pamphile and Marpet as right tackle option doesn’t look good. The team will most likely pick up a younger player as his replacement, knowing those other guys can slide in at any time.
CHANCES OF CHERILUS RETURNING: LESS THAN 5 PERCENT
Tomorrow: PewterReport.com’s look at Tampa Bay’s defensive free agents in 2017.
Trevor Sikkema is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat reporter and NFL Draft analyst for PewterReport.com. Sikkema, an alumnus of the University of Florida, has covered both college and professional football for much of his career. As a native of the Sunshine State, when he's not buried in social media, Sikkema can be found out and active, attempting to be the best athlete he never was. Sikkema can be reached at: [email protected]
I know this article is about offensive free agents, but I already have these lists prepared on Word. Didn’t have time to resort. So, my bad. Got in a tight – had to go! lol.
Bucs have 17 Unrestricted Free Agents (UFA). Which free agents should the Tampa Bay Buccaneers retain?
FS Bradley McDougald
DE William Gholston
WR Russell Shepard
RB Jacquizz Rodgers
CB Josh Robinson
DT Akeem Spence
C Joe Hawley
DT Sealver Siliga
WR Vincent Jackson
QB Mike Glennon
SS Chris Conte (?)
OT Gosder Cherilus
LB Daryl Smith
TE Brandon Myers
WR Cecil Shorts III
DT John Hughes
RB Antoine Smith
I’m on the fence about Conte, but staying true to my mock. Lol.
I would like to know how the likelihood of returning percentages were calculated. The secretive out-of-the-a55 calculator?
I think you could’ve covered it with:
* virtual lock
Actually, I think the chances of Gosder Cherilus returning are exactly 2.138 percent.
Just ran the numbers and this checks out
Glennon stinks as a starter. As a back up he’s better than average. Bet he he doesn’t become starter in NFL.
Mac’s lost looks about right. I think Jackson and Conte might be able to work out deals to stay though. Not sure anyone is going to pay them a lot more really…..
Trevor – A Couple of things – first WR Josh Huff is listed as being both under contract and as an RFA, secondly G J.R. Sweezy is listed at RG – Licht and the Buccaneers have publicly stated he will be playing LG. Finally, while you have other players who were signed to future contracts listed, you did not list WR Derel Walker – whom the teams think’s enough of, to warrant giving him a $100,000 dollar signing bonus – which by nature of future contracts – is not a typical practice.
Huff is under contract, sorry for the double on his name. He’s not a RFA.
Just going off what position they were signed to and listed under with their contracts. I’m sure they’ll play him at whichever spot they don’t have Marpet.
And you are right, I forgot Walker who was signed after the year was over.
Sweezy replaces Pamphile at LG, and Pamphile moves to center?
Im not too excited about the QBs blindside pass protection, but we will run the ball well if that is the plan
Since E Smith is under contract, and can back up guard, and center, why resign Hawley? He’s not the long term answer at center. He’s going to want starters money, with at least a three year deal. I’ve seen practice photos of Marpet at center, he looks awfully good in front of Jameis. He could be that guy who’s career is glued to Jameis, sort of like Jeff Saturday, and Manning. I think we line up Smith, Pamp, Marpet, J.R., Dot.
No I think based on the comments made this off-season by Koetter is that Marpet would move to center – Sweezy to RG and Pamphile at LG allow the team to get what it feels is its best interior grouping on the field at once – thus, giving Winston room to step up in the pocket while also opening a few more holes in the ground game.
The reason you resign Hawley surferdudes is because he is a better center than Evans is, which is both of their primary position.
Are you going to diminish the quality of one starting position just so you can start a backup who is at best average at two.
Smith is also overpaid as a backup guard/center. He is being paid starters money which he has proved he isn’t.
Would also like to stop hearing all of this talk of moving to Marpet to center. The guy is turning into a great guard so why does every budding GM out here want to be the next Mark Dominick and turn him into a center. It makes as much sense as turning a right handed golfer into a left handed golfer just so he can “possibly” get an extra 10 yards off the tee.
Also, has anyone else noticed how the FA signings improved this past season without Lovie Smith being involved and mucking up the selection process. Like the difference between night and day.
Well I am just back from a heart attack. No fun there.
drd I am I total agreement. If it is a need at center then lets go center hunting in the draft. Marphet is a good guard. Leave him here. Horse likes the young kid on roster already. Lets see what he has in camp and preseason. I like our drafts with current staff. Hoping for more hits on picks this year. I really want to be in the playoffs this year.
Hope this post finds you recovering well and looking forward to a long and prosperous life. Make all the necessary lifestyle changes required and look forward. I’m pulling for you!
Hope you bounce back better than ever jme0151.
DrD: The “budding GM’s” are only repeating what Licht himself has said. I think the rationale is that guards are a bit easier to find.
Trevor, I enjoy all your articles so far, Great pickup by this site.
The difference between Smith, and Hawley is razor thin. Neither one is the long term answer at center for the Bucs. I’m not giving Hawley starters money because he’s slightly better then Smith.
Can we for the love of god cut Stocker he was below average as a blocker with a ton of holding calls last yr and gives zero as a passing threat, That is all!!
Stocker 6 catches for 23 yds o td’s BTW
The “Stocker Stalker” strikes again.
We need to keep Rodgers and Sheppard, definitely need to cut Cherilus. The rest, I wouldn’t feel too bad about losing. Let Glennon shop the market, he shouldn’t get much after the Osweiller situation. Keep him on as our backup or get a decent compensatory pick…win, win.
I like Hawley, his grit and attitude bring a fire to the Oline. That said, he needs to be careful not to pick up penalties with his extra curricular activities. I say keep him at a low price
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