Betting The Bucs is a weekly segment that focuses on the gambling lines for each Tampa Bay game during the season. We’ll take a look into different aspects of the game to help you make your decision on whether to bet for or against the Bucs. We’ll also break down various prop bets to take before you watch on Sunday.
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The Line: Bucs -10.5, O/U 50
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The Bucs really need a win, but they’re playing a Giants team that’s given them trouble lately. The Bucs don’t get the benefit of the doubt anymore, even if they’re at home. Tampa Bay is 3-6 against the spread this season, so even for all the high flying points they put up, it still isn’t enough for bettors to believe in them. I do think Tom Brady and the offense bounces back, but to cover? I don’t think so.
That’s more of an indictment on the Bucs defense than anything else. They make mediocre quarterbacks look like Hall Of Famers. In their last two games, they’ve lost to quarterbacks Trevor Siemian and Taylor Heinicke. Come to think of it, Todd Bowles’ defense was the reason that “Danny Dimes” began, with Daniel Jones ballin’ in his first career start against the Bucs. The Giants will make it a close game, and the fact that the Bucs score over 40 points each time they’re at home makes me feel comfortable about the over. Primetime games have been polite to the over as well.
The Pick: Giants +10.5, Over 50
No Three Straight Scores By Either Team (+209)
I don’t trust the Bucs defense all too much lately, but I do trust in Daniel Jones to make some type of error. That should help the Bucs stop the Giants from scoring three times in a row. As great as the Bucs offense is at home, I get the feeling the Giants will throw something at them that they haven’t seen yet. The Giants defense usually comes to play and the Bucs haven’t done as well in primetime games. I’m not saying they won’t score a lot, just not three times in a row.
Bucs WR Mike Evans – Photo by: USA Today
Mike Evans Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Evans just dominates the Giants. As Luke Easterling from Bucs Wire first pointed out, Evans’ career numbers against New York in five games are 32 catches for 582 yards and six touchdowns. Who could forget his unreal game against them in 2019, when he had 8 receptions for 190 yards and three touchdowns? He may not have that big of an outing, but I expect Evans to produce a quality performance after only two receptions last week.
Mike Evans Touchdown (-130)
Not only does Evans have at least one touchdown in every game against the Giants, but he also has another Bucs record to break on Monday. Another score will put Evans into first place on the Bucs all-time touchdown list at 72. He’s currently tied with legendary fullback and Ring Of Honor member Mike Alstott. Another thing to know about Evans is when there’s a game coming up where he’s close to breaking a new record, he breaks it fast. Look for him to get this in the first half.