Betting the Bucs is a new segment that focuses on the gambling lines for each Bucs game during the week. We’ll take a look into different aspects of the game to help make your decision on whether to bet for or against the Bucs. We’ll also take a brief view at the slate of Sunday games around the rest of the league.

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The Line: Bucs -12.5, Over/Under 45

One of the fun things when mulling over what to pick in a game is that you can look at all the numbers and trends that you want, but sometimes there are varying factors outside of the stats or the tape that can help you come to a conclusion. Sometimes you have to go with your gut and look beyond the X’s and O’s. The difference here for the Bucs on Monday night – the red uniforms have arrived.

Fans have been waiting and waiting for the Bucs to don the red and pewter look after seeing nothing but white uniforms all season with the exception of the Week 3 Pewter alternate jersey. What happened they wore Pewter? The Bucs shut down the Broncos by 18 points. When they finally went with Pewter pants, what happened? They destroyed the undefeated Packers by 28 points. Tampa Bay has won by 20+ points in their last two games, and I don’t see that changing. They’re not just beating teams, they’re demolishing them.

I’m wiling to bet (pun intended) that the players that were here last season when they lost dramatically to the Giants haven’t forgotten about that game. They’ll be looking to return the favor with a lopsided win. I don’t see how the Giants, who only average 17.4 points per game as it is, score anything more than that average against a Bucs defense that has Jason Pierre-Paul foaming at the mouth to play his old team again.

The Bucs have played on Thursday night and twice on America’s Game Of The Week, but they haven’t had the excitement of a Monday night game just yet. Now’s the time for the world to know who Lavonte David and Devin White are, and for Mike Evans to get back on track. The Bucs have covered their last two games convincingly, while the Giants have lost against the spread in their last two home games and are 1-9 ATS at home in their last 10. A 12.5 – point spread is the second highest line in the NFL this week, but with the Bucs in primetime wearing the red, it won’t be an issue.

The Pick: Bucs -12.5 

My overall record between Bucs games and the rest of the league is 7-4-1, so not too bad. Let’s keep it moving with what’s on the board in Week 8.

Colts -3 at Lions
The Lions could barely beat the Falcons a week ago and now face a really tough Colts defense. Indianapolis is also coming off a bye with as good of an opportunity as they’ll get all season to light up the scoreboard.

Raiders +2.5 at Browns
I’m not ready to concede the Raiders are the team that we’ve seen over the last two seasons. Vegas looks more like the team that beat the Chiefs than the one that lost to the Bucs last week. The Browns will be missing the presence of Odell Beckham Jr. out there. Don’t be surprised if the Raiders win outright.

Rams-Dolphins Over 45.5
Call me crazy but there’s something about beginner’s luck that makes quarterbacks play well in their starting debut. I’m not saying Miami will win, but I think Tua Tagovailoa does well enough to keep pace with the Rams.

49ers-Seahawks Under 53.5
This is the highest line of the week for over/unders. I’m aware the Seahawks-Cardinals game was crazy last week going for a combined 71 points, with that said, the 49ers have a tougher defense and like to run the ball no matter who’s back there. A lot has to go right to reach 53.5, and I think this type of match-up will be more difficult to hit than it looks.

 

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About the Author: Matt Matera

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BUC-ASS-BOB
5 months ago

This is not a hard bet Bucs win with EZ victory, an excellent game for Brady and team to hone their skills and get ready for a better opponent.

scubog
Reply to  BUC-ASS-BOB
5 months ago

Nice to see you Bob.