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Week 6: Bucs Win If / Steelers Win If

ehinote · 2026-10-17T12:43:39Z

Thursday night's win in Dallas felt enormous. And it was. But one win does not fix everything, and the Pittsburgh Steelers arriving at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday represent a genuine step up in competition from a Cowboys team that played one of the worst games of the season. The Steelers are 3-2, playing with confidence, and coming off a 34-22 win over the Colts in which Aaron Rodgers threw three more touchdown passes. Rodgers has thrown three touchdowns in each of his last three games, and this high-powered unit has scored at least 30 points in two of its last three outings. This is not Dallas. Here is how both teams set themselves up for victory Sunday. BUCS WIN IF...Bucs on Offense: Build on Dallas, Establish the Run EarlyThe most encouraging development from Thursday night was not the final score. It was Bucky Irving rushing for 165 yards behind a combination of wide zone and gap schemes that finally clicked the way Zac Robinson drew it up. The Buccaneers are averaging 133 rushing yards per game through five weeks, ranking seventh in the NFL. A number that reflects a running game with genuine identity when the offensive coordinator commits to the scheme. Building on that against Pittsburgh is priority number one on Sunday.With Baker Mayfield's thumb keeping him out for another week, Jalon Daniels needs to do exactly what he did in Dallas: manage the game, protect the football, take the quick reads Robinson designs for him, and let the running game do the heavy lifting. Pittsburgh will have more answers to counter the Buccaneers' passing game than Dallas did, which makes the run game a necessity on Sunday.The one area where Daniels needs to improve from Dallas is his willingness to let go of the ball on time. The Buccaneers rank 30th in the NFL in sack rate, which is an ugly number that reflects both the offensive line's struggles and a quarterback who holds the ball longer than the play design calls for. Against T.J. Watt, who recently became the second-fastest player in NFL history to reach 100 career sacks, holding the ball too long is not an option. Get it out. Trust the design. Stay upright.Bucs on Defense: Contain Rodgers' Quick Release and Stop Freiermuth and WashingtonTampa Bay has been solid defensively, and is one of just seven teams allowing fewer than 300 yards of offense per game through five weeks. The Buccaneers' run defense is allowing only 3.3 yards per carry, second fewest in the league. Pittsburgh will deploy heavy 12 and even 13 personnel packages with tight ends Darnell Washington, Pat Freiermuth, and Robert Tonyan as extra blockers to help establish the run. The Buccaneers need to win that battle up front.But Aaron Rodgers is a different challenge than anyone this defense has faced in 2026. Rodgers is a master at getting rid of the ball quickly to avoid pressure, though he has been sacked 14 times already this season, and pressure coming directly up the middle has been the most disruptive against him. That is the blueprint. Kancey, Vea, and A'Shawn Robinson need to collapse the interior pocket before Rodgers can find his rhythm. Win the A and B gaps. Make him uncomfortable from inside out rather than simply trying to loop around the edges.Get a few stops on third down. Force a couple of Rodgers impatience throws. Convert the turnovers when they come. That is the formula.STEELERS WIN IF...Steelers on Offense: Rodgers Gets Hot and Warren Explodes AgainJaylen Warren has been playing some of the best football of his career recently, recording 188 yards from scrimmage in the most recent game that included an 80-yard touchdown catch and a 50-yard touchdown run. If Warren finds the same kind of explosive production against a Buccaneers defense that ranks second in run defense, Pittsburgh's offense becomes nearly impossible to stop. A balanced attack of Warren's explosiveness and Rodgers' efficiency gives the Buccaneers' defense problems it has not yet seen in 2026.Aaron Rodgers is at his best when defenses play soft coverage underneath and invite him to dissect them with precision throws to the intermediate level. Let him settle in, find his rhythm with Freiermuth and Washington over the middle, and this could be a very long afternoon for Tampa Bay's secondary.Pittsburgh's offense has improved significantly since a slow start, now averaging just under 30 points per game and raising its per-carry average from 3.4 yards to 4.7. A team trending in that direction coming to town is not a comfortable matchup for a 1-4 home team trying to build momentum.Steelers on Defense: Make Daniels Beat You VerticallyPittsburgh’s defense is going to test Daniels early with disguised pressures and coverage rotations designed to create confusion before the snap. If Daniels cannot get comfortable quickly, if the offensive line cannot pick up Pittsburgh's blitz packages, and if T.J. Watt gets loose off the edge, this game could mirror the ugliness of the first four weeks very quickly.The Steelers' defense is...

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OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Great series

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:45 pm

OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Great series

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:46 pm

Trask Force

(@catherder)

Posts: 2983

Quartermaster

I guess the plan to stop the run and force Daniels to throw it is not working out for the Steelers.

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:46 pm

Trask Force

(@catherder)

Posts: 2983

Quartermaster

I guess the plan to stop the run and force Daniels to throw it is not working out for the Steelers.

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:46 pm

Fire Derrangement Syndrome

(@fire-derrangement-syndrome)

Posts: 7915

Captain

Really nice rub route concept. I'm salty because I didn't get the Bucky TD tho. Womp womp

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:48 pm

Biggs3535

(@biggs3535)

Posts: 4116

Captain

Daniel’s continues to play well. Good ball to Hurst.

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:48 pm

OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Basic competent ILB and defense looking okay so far

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:54 pm

Fire Derrangement Syndrome

(@fire-derrangement-syndrome)

Posts: 7915

Captain

Dixon with the noodle leg on these punts

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:56 pm

OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Daniel's has the quick pass open there but doesn't pull the trigger

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 1:57 pm

OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Another good stop

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 2:03 pm

OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Defense let a run out but otherwise solid

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 2:05 pm

Fire Derrangement Syndrome

(@fire-derrangement-syndrome)

Posts: 7915

Captain

Steelers offense is worse than I imagined.

I know our defense is playing well but these concepts don't offer any upside. I'll take it

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 2:05 pm

OlafSnowfake

(@bucsbits)

Posts: 12974

Captain

Otton key block

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 2:09 pm

Turd Bowles (artist formerly k...

(@evans-is-my-daddy)

Posts: 561

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So far, they have played a pretty solid game. That Steeler defense is pretty good and the offense isn't having too much trouble moving it. The Steeler offense is really bad. No rhythm to it at all and the defense has answered the call so far. Let's keep it going through the end of the game!

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 2:11 pm

Fire Derrangement Syndrome

(@fire-derrangement-syndrome)

Posts: 7915

Captain

Wide fucking open put some air under it

Posted : Oct. 18, 2026 2:12 pm

Turd Bowles (artist formerly known as Evans Is My Daddy) reacted

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Week 6: Bucs Win If / Steelers Win If

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