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Nine Wins, so say the ESPN Data Nerds

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White Tiger
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Posted by: @seekpar

Posted by: @white-tiger

I was around when the fanbase reacted after an out-of-touch Bruce Allen made the tone deaf announcement when they cut John Lynch without any fanfare - I don't think they pushed M1K3 out of town. I think he left of his own accord.

100%. M1K3 expressed his extreme frustration with the status quo when Turd Bowels defense failed to stop a 3rd and 28 vs the Falcons, leading to another close loss. We will hear as Paul Harvey would say "the rest of the story" someday. But I would speculate that M1K3 was fed up with the Bucs FO being satisfied with the Bucs mediocrity during the Bowles regime. M1K3 was offered more money to stay with the Bucs, but he took less money to move on with a contender. Reading between lines, M1K3 no longer considered the Bucs a contender, and he wanted to finish his career on a high note.

 

I wish him the best, but I also hope we make him regret his decision.

 


 
Posted : May. 31, 2026 5:52 pm
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Posted by: @seekpar

Reading between lines, M1K3 no longer considered the Bucs a contender, and he wanted to finish his career on a high note.

and he deserves to.

Like one of the other posters, I hope he has a great season and I hope the Bucs do too.  


 
Posted : May. 31, 2026 7:04 pm
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Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @seekpar

But I would speculate that M1K3 was fed up with the Bucs FO being satisfied with the Bucs mediocrity during the Bowles regime. M1K3 was offered more money to stay with the Bucs, but he took less money to move on with a contender.

Kyle Shanahan is the best OC in the game, McVay and Reid included.  He recruited Mike to be exactly 22% of his offense next season.  They had 6000 total yards of offense last season so he’s telling Mike he will get about 1300 yards in their offense.  Mike wants the #s as he closes out his HOF career.  He can’t get that guarantee in Tampa.  Too many mouths to feed.  Simple as this. 

You keep saying this and it's a bad take

Mike Evans, with Baker, has averaged about 8 targets per game.  (7.9 to be exact) over the last 3 years.  Last year was no different with this "stacked WR" room you mention.

Jauan Jennings was the 49ers #1 guy last year and he had about 6 targets a game.  Why?  Your fantastic point about too many mouths to feed with Kittle, CMac, etc.

I would be surprised if Mike broke 1,000 yards this year 

 


 
Posted : Jun. 1, 2026 8:50 am
Theknees
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @seekpar

But I would speculate that M1K3 was fed up with the Bucs FO being satisfied with the Bucs mediocrity during the Bowles regime. M1K3 was offered more money to stay with the Bucs, but he took less money to move on with a contender.

Kyle Shanahan is the best OC in the game, McVay and Reid included.  He recruited Mike to be exactly 22% of his offense next season.  They had 6000 total yards of offense last season so he’s telling Mike he will get about 1300 yards in their offense.  Mike wants the #s as he closes out his HOF career.  He can’t get that guarantee in Tampa.  Too many mouths to feed.  Simple as this. 

You keep saying this and it's a bad take

Mike Evans, with Baker, has averaged about 8 targets per game.  (7.9 to be exact) over the last 3 years.  Last year was no different with this "stacked WR" room you mention.

Jauan Jennings was the 49ers #1 guy last year and he had about 6 targets a game.  Why?  Your fantastic point about too many mouths to feed with Kittle, CMac, etc.

I would be surprised if Mike broke 1,000 yards this year 

 

kyle sold him on being 22% of the offense. It will happen. Almost to the yard. If Evans stays healthy, check back in January. 8TDs as well. 

 


 
Posted : Jun. 1, 2026 9:14 am
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Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @badabingbucs

Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @seekpar

But I would speculate that M1K3 was fed up with the Bucs FO being satisfied with the Bucs mediocrity during the Bowles regime. M1K3 was offered more money to stay with the Bucs, but he took less money to move on with a contender.

Kyle Shanahan is the best OC in the game, McVay and Reid included.  He recruited Mike to be exactly 22% of his offense next season.  They had 6000 total yards of offense last season so he’s telling Mike he will get about 1300 yards in their offense.  Mike wants the #s as he closes out his HOF career.  He can’t get that guarantee in Tampa.  Too many mouths to feed.  Simple as this. 

You keep saying this and it's a bad take

Mike Evans, with Baker, has averaged about 8 targets per game.  (7.9 to be exact) over the last 3 years.  Last year was no different with this "stacked WR" room you mention.

Jauan Jennings was the 49ers #1 guy last year and he had about 6 targets a game.  Why?  Your fantastic point about too many mouths to feed with Kittle, CMac, etc.

I would be surprised if Mike broke 1,000 yards this year 

 

kyle sold him on being 22% of the offense. It will happen. Almost to the yard. If Evans stays healthy, check back in January. 8TDs as well. 

 

oh I have no doubt what Evans was sold 

I’d just be surprised to see it materialize 

 


 
Posted : Jun. 1, 2026 12:29 pm
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

I’d just be surprised to see it materialize 

His health is obviously a wild card, but at a minimum his "on paper" upside has to be higher with Shanahan, a great RB and a very good QB. 

 


 
Posted : Jun. 1, 2026 12:44 pm
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Posted by: @bucsbits

Posted by: @badabingbucs

I’d just be surprised to see it materialize 

His health is obviously a wild card, but at a minimum his "on paper" upside has to be higher with Shanahan, a great RB and a very good QB. 

 

a great RB that takes receiving targets?  A team with a solid defense and returning stars in Warner and Bosa that will likely shorten the game with leads?

Evans very well could have his best year yet....but believe his over/under is set at 900-950 yards

I'd probably take the under, pencil in like 2-3 games missed, call it 850 yards and call it 8 TDs.  

call me crazy and even though he's in a better offense, i think he'd gotta more targets staying in Tampa if he was worrying about padding stats.  If he for some reason think that another ring is better for his HOF resume then better stats, then i guess that's out the window now too with the Rams....poor Mikey 

 


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 10:58 am
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

a great RB that takes receiving targets?

but opens them up too. a legit running game makes it easier for the receivers

for those who see Evans as still a deep threat, even more so.


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 11:08 am
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Posted by: @bucsbits

Posted by: @badabingbucs

a great RB that takes receiving targets?

but opens them up too. a legit running game makes it easier for the receivers

for those who see Evans as still a deep threat, even more so.

Not to mention all the DPIs M1K3 drew over the years. I wonder how many penalty yards he drew during his years with the Bucs?

 


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 11:28 am
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Google is amazing,

Mike Evans drew a total of 834 career Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) yards during his time with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This impressive total established him as the NFL's all-time leader in drawn pass interference yardage, surpassing the previous record held by Randy Moss.

 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 11:32 am
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Posted by: @seekpar

Google is amazing,

Mike Evans drew a total of 834 career Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) yards during his time with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This impressive total established him as the NFL's all-time leader in drawn pass interference yardage, surpassing the previous record held by Randy Moss.

Very interesting stat. Thanks.

Dude was still dusting younger CB's last season. He's eventually going to lose that gear, but it hasn't happened yet.

 


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 12:01 pm
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Posted by: @seekpar

Google is amazing,

Mike Evans drew a total of 834 career Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) yards during his time with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This impressive total established him as the NFL's all-time leader in drawn pass interference yardage, surpassing the previous record held by Randy Moss.

 

Yes exactly.  The Evans parallel to Moss is something Ive posted a bunch.  This is another great example. Like Moss, Mike Evans in his prime was an unstoppable man-on-man force, so pretty easy to see the the reality behind that stat. The impact of a play action pass to an Evans deep route: TD or a PI.

Vincent Jackson was similar.

Either way, Evans will get some of those opportunities because of the 49ers commitment to running with CMC

 


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 1:28 pm
Alldaway 2.0
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Mike Evans can play the slot like Larry Fitzgerald did when he slowed down.  Evans has a lot left in the tank.  Only thing that can stop him is a leg injury.

 


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 1:30 pm
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Posted by: @biggs3535

 

Dude was still dusting younger CB's last season. He's eventually going to lose that gear, but it hasn't happened yet.

Come on man . . .

He had a career low in yards/reception. And I think his ADOT was actually up in Grizz's offense

He only had 3TDs in 2025, matching a career low, and the TD receptions were all goal line, Jets 5yds, Carolina 1 yard, Miami 4 yard. The classic Evans TD is more like 2022 Panthers game where they were dumb enough to man him up and he scored 3tds, 63 yards, 57 yards and 30 yards.

Even in his best game of the 2025 season (Falcons) his deep pass is a JUMP BALL with Coby Bryant, a 4th round pick. And he was IN CREDIBLE that night.

He deserves credit for adjusting his game to still be a huge contributor (like Moss or Jackson), but he is not often (if at all) using pure speed in 2025 to out stride guys like he did most of his career


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 1:51 pm
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Evans stat prediction:

13 games played (leaving 2 early)

890 yards (he will break 100 if he plays 15+ games)

9 TDs (more if he plays more) 


 
Posted : Jun. 2, 2026 6:34 pm
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