Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
Opinions are like… well, we all know the saying.
Football predictions can be even more off the wall. Just a couple days after an NFL writer forecast the Bucs would be in the Super Bowl in 2017, ESPN’s analytic formula – their Power Index – thinks the Bucs will bring up the rear in the NFC South this season, finishing with a worse record than they had in 2016, despite the additions they made in the offseason.
Just as fans can’t get caught up in the “Bucs to the Super Bowl” hype, neither should they put much stock in a computer formula that is run almost two months before teams even open training camp.
Injuries will have a bearing, players overachieving, or underperforming will also factor in, and then of course there is a big heaping pile of luck that is involved. Still, it is kind of surprising that this analytical formula would predict the Bucs to have one less win than they did in 2016, especially after the general consensus around the country is the Buccaneers are a team on the rise.
Will they reach the Super Bowl? I am not a betting man, but if I was, I wouldn’t be parting with any of my hard earned cash in Vegas laying odds on it happening. However, barring any major injuries I would take the over on 8 wins. And I believe most who have seen the transformation of this football team closeup, would do the same.
Mark Cook currently is the director of editorial content and Bucs beat writer and has written for PewterReport.com since 2011. Cook has followed the Buccaneers since 1977 when he first began watching football with his Dad and is fond of the 1979 Bucs team that came within 10 points of going to a Super Bowl. His favorite Bucs game is still the 1979 divisional playoff win 24-17 over the Eagles. In his spare time Cook enjoys playing guitar, fishing, surfing and family time at the beach. In addition, Cook can be found in front of a television or in Doak Campbell any time the FSU Seminoles are playing. Cook is a native of Pinecrest in Eastern Hillsborough County and has written for numerous publications including the Tampa Tribune, In the Field and Ya'll Magazine. Cook can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
Good. One analyst has the Bucs going to the Super Bowl. These guys have them finishing last in the division. I said this last year, these predictions are as useful as a screen door in a submarine. Go Bucs!
That could happen, but I don’t see it. I know everyone in our Division had impressive drafts. I believe it will be the Bucs and the Falcons fighting it out for the division crown.
I can’t understand why pundits are so convinced Saints are going to finish higher than us. They got worse on offense (Lost Cooks & Unger to injury) and their first six games are Vikings, Patriots, Panthers, Dolphins, Lions, and Packers. I can’t honestly see where the Bucs lose 8 games.
Well that settles it for me…I wont have to watch a single Buc’s game because of this….Not…The first snap hasn’t happened with any team and we have these yeahoo’s telling us that the Buc’s will finish last….LOL…I’ll watch preseason and then I’ll look forward to listening to and watching the games and not and never ESPN…OBD
The NFC South is the toughest division in the NFL. All 4 teams are good. The NFC South has had a team in the Super Bowl the last 2 years, and have 2 teams that have won Super Bowls in the past. There is no division that has a better 4 starting QBs.
It is the Bucs time to shine. I don’t just want to get into the playoffs as a Wildcard (I wouldn’t hate it though), I want to win the division.
We likely won’t be last unless bad injuries. I don’t think we will win division either. Wildcard is possible I think and 10 or so wins. Super Bowl? Don’t see it.
Not sure if anyone watched NFL Live today, but Teddy Bruschi and Field Yates were the graders on that show today. Bruschi gave them a 25% chance mainly because of their 3rd down D, which was best in the league at the end of the season; however, he had them behind the Falcon’s and Panther’s at 30%. Yates gave them a 22% chance, again behind the Falcons’ which he gave a 40% chance; he gave the Panthers a 18% chance. The Saint’s were below the Bucs from both of them.
Not sure who else voted that only gave them a 14% chance.
These prognosticators don’t have a Crystal Ball or even a Magic 8 Ball on which to base their pointless predictions. In my view they basically have no balls. What most do is rely on their bias-based perception of “yesterday’s” news. They still think of the Falcons and the Super Bowl they really should/could have won. They think of Cam Newton and his MVP Super Bowl season. They think of Drew Bress and his penchant to pass on every down with AD now in his backfield. (Better learn to pass protect AD). Then they think of the Bucs and just can’t flush the memories of the past decade of mostly losing seasons and instability.
Scubog sees things a bit differently. I see the Falcons as a team who will question themselves until they regurgitate the tainted morsel on which they choked only a few months ago. I see the Panthers as a team totally dependent on Cam Newton’s mood. His pouting at the first sign of distress is his kryptonite. He’s a bit too stuck on his persona. I see the Saints as a Drew Brees injury away from the “Who Dat” cheer echoing from their fandom when the unknown back-up QB takes the field. I see the Bucs as a team starting to believe in itself on Defense and an Offense that looks to be the best we’ve ever had.
Agree Scubog. I can’t stand Cam he’s low class pouting baby imo. Panthers also rely heavily on run game. If they can’t run the ball the the pass/run option with Cam doesn’t work at all. Breeze is old and will likely get injured. Falcons good team but we all know unless your the Patriots odds repeating are slim.
Also agree D is finding their groove and showing confidence. Another year with Smith can only help. The offense has to be best we have had even though Winston is still learning and needs to improve accuracy some.
Agree with scubog and fredster. BSPN is owned by Disney World, a real Mickey Mouse organization. They just fired “the professor” John Clayton and some of their better analysts to add some more jock slock. They even charge you to read their articles. Nothingness.
lol I’ve said this for a while- we could be last in the NFCS.
Carolina- a year removed from the SB with a healthy Cam.
Atl- Played in the 2016 SB
NO- Always tough with Drew around
If the Bucs come in last it will bc the OL was not improved. That being said, I can make better case for the Falcons coming last. Super Bowl hangover & Epic loss plus new OC.
Well look at it this way … if the last place team in the NFC South has a 8-8 record, they must think our division is the strongest in the league. And they would probably be right!
How it goes down within the division this season can only be guessed at. I believe our Bucs are certainly capable of winning it, and if not winning a div title, making the playoffs as a wild card.
In any event, talk and predictions are a worthless waste of time and talk.
That’s why they play the games.
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