About the author

Scott Reynolds

Scott Reynolds is in his 23rd year of covering the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the vice president, publisher and senior Bucs beat writer for PewterReport.com. Author of the popular SR's Fab 5 column on Fridays, Reynolds oversees web development and forges marketing partnerships for PewterReport.com in addition to his editorial duties. A graduate of Kansas State University in 1995, Reynolds enjoys giving back to the community as the defensive line coach for his sons' Pop Warner team, the South Pasco Predators. Reynolds can be reached at: [email protected]

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36 Comments

  1. 1

    Naplesfan

    Actually, I’m more bullish on the Bucs beating the Cowboys on the road than I am for the Bucs beating the Saints twice in two weeks.

    The Vikes and Giants exposed the Cowboy’s offense for what they are – good against weak defenses, poor against strong defenses. And what do the Bucs have? How about the strongest defense in the entire league for the last 5 weeks?

    10-6 is still the most likely outcome, but anything from 8-8 to 11-5 is still very plausible.

    Coach Koetter is right that his playcalling was suspect yesterday. When Huff put us on the half yard line with his muff, it was extremely obvious that the Saints defenders were going to load EVERYBODY in the box. I was screaming at the television:

    “Dirk! Call a passing play! Do it NOW”. At the worst it would have been an incompletion, because there wasn’t anybody covering anything. I’d have put both Sims and Martin in the backfield to block for Jameis and then let one of them make a run for the flats about 5-7 yards out.

    By running the ball up the gut with the formation the Saints had on the field, it had “Safety” written all over it.

    Also, I’d have loved to see Jameis air it out more, especially with the speedy Huff available. We only attempted 3 deep passes all game, completing only 1 to Huff for 17 yards. Too conservative. That allowed the Saints to jam us up more on both the run game and the short passing game. Jameis wasn’t particularly inaccurate, completing 61.5% of his attempts, but he only attempted 26 passes for the game. I’d rather see Jameis putting in in the air 35 + or – times a game.

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    1. 1.1

      Naplesfan

      And our red zone offense continues to suck. We’ve got to get better in that regard, we’re among the very worst red zone offenses in the league for the last two months.

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    2. 1.2

      Garv

      No doubt. You are much smarter than Coach Koetter and should be an NFL HC. There will be openings in January!

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      1. 1.2.1

        Naplesfan

        Koetter admitted himself that his play calling was not good. Take it up with him if you want to argue.

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    3. 1.3

      cgmaster27

      Naples, me and my brother were screaming the exact same thing when we had the ball backed up. It was guaranteed single coverage. Let jameis drop back in max protect and fling it deep. We knew it would be a safety on a run, the saints sold out on it. Id have to agree on your assessment of us getting too conservative as well. Koetter did say so after the game. I hope he doesn’t rely on the defense too much. Need to open it up a bit. We run on first down entirely too much.

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  2. 2

    wnb0395

    Over the last five games, the safety position, which was once considered a weakness, has erupted for four interceptions in the last five games. Conte got the ball rolling against Chicago, his former team, with a pick-six. Then McDougald got back into the act with the game-clinching interception against Seattle. Tandy has had game-winning, fourth quarter picks in each of the last two games in victories at San Diego and against New Orleans.

    FYI Scott Reynolds, Conte also had a pick in the KC game. It was the game changing pick in the end zone which he returned for 53 yards. So its 5 INTs in 5 games for the Safetys.

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  3. 3

    Garv

    Stupid “prediction.” Just STUPID! How many “predictions” saw the Buccaneers holding Drew Brees to 0 TD’s and three ints? How many “predictions” saw the Bucs winning by holding the highest scoring team in the NFL to 11 points? Does NONE ring a bell?

    “Predictions” are a meaningless waste of time and as relevant as the wild guesses shown weekly in the NFL Network and ESPN.

    I believe the Buccaneers believe in themselves and will play to win on Sunday. They have proven that to me and it’s good enough for me.

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    1. 3.1

      Horse

      Garv; I agree with you. This team can beat the Cowboys.

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    2. 3.2

      jongruden

      Relax man who cares what his prediction is worry about your bills and if your wife is faithful ha better things to get upset about

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      1. 3.2.1

        chetthevette

        I’d bet money Garv would smack you in the mouth for that comment. Me I would not stop at a smack.
        GO AWAY

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    3. 3.3

      Naplesfan

      You know you always show up on these threads every week, including the game prediction threads, and cast shade on the posters and commenters here on PR. You kinda remind me of the guy who likes to show up at the poker party, drink the host’s bourbon, make a couple of penny-anty bets, and then bitch about how poker is such a stupid waste of time and money.

      You know, if you don’t want to play, just don’t come. Because otherwise you’re just “trolling”.

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  4. 4

    jshumaker

    I am with Naplesfan and I am very bullish on the Bucs against Dallas. The reason is because of how the defense is playing. They are playing like the Sapp/Brooks/Lynch/Barber defenses. If Alex Smith, Russell Wilson, Phillip Rivers and Drew Brees couldn’t move the ball against this defense, I don’t see how Dak Prescott is going to be any better. Especially considering how he looked against the Giants last night without JPP. I am expecting another ugly game against the Cowboys where our offense puts up a couple scores early and the defense just wreaks havoc on Dak.

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  5. 5

    Iowabucfan

    The Bucs are more than capable of winning this Sunday night. But, so are the Cowboys. I am not worried about the offense. Offensive funks happen in the NFL. Just ask New Orleans. Coach Koetter and his staff are good enough to work thru this. Go bucs!

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  6. 6

    e

    Looking ahead, ahead… I really wish that the Bucs ownership could find a way to hold on to Mike Smith. He may have been the best pick of all in the offseason. I imagine that he’s going to turn into a hot head coaching prospect by the end of the year.

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    1. 6.1

      wnb0395

      Its amazing how 5 weeks can change everything. 5 weeks ago everyone was calling for the firing of Mike Smith. After the Raiders and Falcon games everyone said he was a horrible coach and our defense was terrible. 5 weeks later he is a hero.

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      1. 6.1.1

        Horse

        Yes I was one of them and it’s why I’m not a coach. I’m totally happy to be wrong. Go Bucs!

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      2. 6.1.2

        Naplesfan

        No – everyone was NOT calling for the firing of Mike Smith. Most of us were not. A few were, and they revealed themselves for being not very intelligent about coaching and the NFL.

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      3. 6.1.3

        e

        It takes time to install any new system… yes, it was a rough start, but Mike Smith has proven that his a very good HC and he deserves credit for the work that he’s done with the D. I don’t see a big defensive slide with this team in the near future. I just hope that he’s there next year to keep it rolling…

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    2. 6.2

      chetthevette

      Amen, resign at any cost.

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  7. 7

    Keith F

    I’m with Iowabucfan, I’m not that concerned with the offense. I truly believe the Koetter is calling a more conservative game because how well the defense is playing right now. Think about it, the Defense is playing like a top 5 defense, why give a team the opportunity to get an easy score. I wanted a pass at the GL too but I understood why we ran the ball and got a safety. We were aggressive in the first quarter and when Koetter saw we were able to shutdown Brees (I have to pinch myself just to say that), he didn’t want to gift wrap any points for them.

    I believe in Koetter and I definitely believe in Winston, when the time comes the Offense will produce.

    Also, another thought and I know Koetter would never admit to it even if it was true. I was thinking, why show anything on offense when we have to play them in two weeks. I know he didn’t go into the game like that but after seeing the D hold their own, he definitely took a more conservative approach to his play calling.

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    1. 7.1

      Naplesfan

      The issue is not the capability of our offense to score a reasonable number of points. Dirk called a very conservative game plan, and he criticized himself after the game in the presser for not calling plays well. All’s well that end’s well, but as good as our defense played, it was Saint’s receivers dropping two sure touchdown passes in the end zone that were the difference in the game score, one of which required a lengthy replay review to overturn the call on the field of a touchdown. That is calling it too close – we got lucky last night on those two dropped TDs. Dallas may not be as accommodating next Sunday night. Perhaps neither will the Saints be so accommodating the weekend after that.

      We have two glaring deficiencies on our offense – our red-zone scoring is among the worst in the league since early November. We made four trips to or just outside of the red zone (at the NO 23 and 21 yard lines), and we scored just a single TD in those four trips. Fortunately, Aguayo hit all three of his field goal attempts. That’s only a 25% TD conversion rate (if including the two trips ending at the opponent 23 and 21 yard lines), when the top ten teams are all scoring TDs on 61% of their trips to the red zone. In the last three games the Bucs are 25th in the league in red zone scoring at 44% (not includng the trips barely outside of the red zone).

      We’ve got to improve that rate if we are going to do any damage in the playoffs, should we get there.

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      1. 7.1.1

        scubog

        If you’re going to put an asterisk on this game as “lucky” then you might want to point out the Saints’ luck when Jameis overthrew Evans by 6″ on what would have been a TD or the near interception by Lavonte. All of those things are just football’s game of inches. Were not the Saints also “lucky” when the ball took an odd bounce and hit Huff in the face followed by the misguided kick that game the Saints the ball on the 50?

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        1. 7.1.1.1

          Naplesfan

          All teams either benefit from, or don’t benefit from, the close calls and bounces of the game.

          But then don’t act like it was inevitable that the Bucs D had to win that game for us. What separated us from a defeat was extremely narrow and no team can count on the bounces to go their way every close game.

          In the Saints game, not only did offense only score a single touchdown all game, while failing to convert on three other trips inside the Saints 23, but our offense also gave up a safety (aided by a special teams muff) and also put the Saints within easy reach of their next score, a field goal. So the net scoring by our offense was only plus 2 points for the game. That simply sucks.

          The best way to take advantage of our very good defense is to routinely score in the mid-20s or more. When in or near the red zone, get touchdowns, not settle for field goals.

          Our red zone offense over the last three games was only 44%, and that doesn’t even account for the two near-red zone misses of the Saints game. The top ten red zone offenses in the league are all up at 61% or higher. That’s where we need to be if we are going to make a good run in the playoffs.

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  8. 8

    Horse

    If we have one weakness on Defense right now , it is stopping the run up the middle; the Cowboys have the biggest line I’ve seen for awhile. On Defense if we stop Elliott, we control the opportunity to get interceptions in their passing game. The Cowboys are in the top 2 or 3 in stopping the run so I’m all for passing then runing. Of course I’ve probably been more wrong than right, but it’s fun being an armchair coach. Go Bucs!

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  9. 9

    jongruden

    Nice to finally see the home game actually look and sound like a home game welcome back Bucs Fans time to wear those boats on heads and wear your beads the Bucs are hot right now, Scubog can finally have fellow Bucs Fans around him now

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    1. 9.1

      scubog

      There were a few Saints fans, although not as many as I expected. Funny, not one “Who Dat” cheer. Of course the guy behind me sold his tickets to the enemy as he does every week.

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  10. 10

    cgmaster27

    I agree with most above as Koetter has been calling it very conservative recently based on how good our defense is playing. However that will bite us in the ass at some point. Against Dallas we need to open it up a bit. They will stop the run no doubt. And stop running it every first down!

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  11. 11

    chetthevette

    Bucs and Lions best winning streak. That is something that is beyond belief. Good for the Lions, that city could used and infusion of hope.
    Good for the BUCS. We also deserve it.
    I see no good reason to not think that we can beat the Cowgirls. Beating them would make a good season great. Myself and other poster here who abhor that team might be on cloud nine for a long time.
    Is the Giants defense any better than ours? I don’t think so. So, why can’t the BUCS go there an whip them.
    Drop a big hammer on Eliot and stop the run. Do that and we can win. Dak Prescott can’t beat us by himself.
    We just shut down Brees. Wilson, Rivers and Alex Smith. Prescott does not scare me and I’m sure he does scare our defense.
    If we can make Prescott a little uncomfortable and irritate Dez Bryant, the BUCS can absolutely beat their butts.
    HOPING AND PRAYING FOR A COWBOY BEAT DOWN
    GO BUCS

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  12. 12

    seat26

    I am going to continue with my good luck bad luck pick. If you have been following I have admitted that I have an unusually bad reputation well deserved I am afraid for poor football picks. And as a rabid Bucs fan, I of course want them to win. So in that spirit of never die football fan frenzy I am picking the Bucs to lose to the Cowboys. Hoping of course my bad pick past will be wrong again. Dallas will be at home, they lost to the Giants, but it was rare bad performance. Winston will bounce back, and keep us in the game, But Dallas will win it late in the fourth.

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    1. 12.1

      chetthevette

      Don’t throw me into the briar patch.

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  13. 13

    fl0nase

    IF the Cowboys had beaten the Giants then I’d be more comfortable taking the Bucs to win in a sleeper. With the Giants beating them, I don’t see us pulling a ‘W’ now.

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  14. 14

    @Train40

    I really like this site and have been a reader for several years. It’s really nice to have a site like this dedicated to your favorite team especially in a small market like Tampa. I finally decided to join.

    I would like to say that someone needs to proofread and verify the facts being supplied in them. The Bucs have won 4 straight on the road, not 5 as was mentioned twice in the article. Won in ATL, Lost in ARZ, Won in CAR, SF, KC and SD for a 4 game road win streak. Also, the Cowboys did not score 10 pts in last night’s game, the Giants did. Dallas only managed 7.

    I have been a long time Bucs fan through both good and bad times. I am excited about this team like everyone else, but I do agree with Scott that the lack of offense is troubling. To me, I think a lot of it is the old saying that you play to your opponents level. I think the Bucs are guilty of that right now, at least on offense. But I will take a win any way we get it. It’s nice to see the Bucs have solid defensive games again. I think the offense is going to hold them back for once in the run to the playoffs. There isn’t a good enough run game right now and it starts with the offensive line. They get the run game going again, and they could make a really nice run. Dallas is beatable. Use the formula the Vikings and Giants used the last 2 weeks…contain the run as best as possible and limit the big plays down the field. Force Prescott to beat you with the short passing game. He can’t do it for an entire game. Tom Brady has mastered the short passing game, but Prescott is built to move within the pocket and field big plays down the field when coverage breaks down. This guy can’t run a short to medium passing game, at least not yet.

    Go Bucs!!

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  15. 15

    scubog

    It appears that Koetter may be dialing it back a bit on offense because the defense and special teams are holding back the opponent’s ability to score. That said, the execution in the Red Zone has been on the players. Penalties and passes just a bit off target. As he said, “the object is to end up with one more point than the opponent.” I must admit, Scubog would be much more relaxed with a three score lead. After that Indy game in 2003 I never think we have a big enough cushion.

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    1. 15.1

      chetthevette

      Please, please, please don’t mention that game. Pretty please with sugar on top.
      GO BUCS

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  16. 16

    WiltheBrewer

    Statement #1- yep, my wife & I were at that game in OAK. That was rough…Then scubog just had to mention one of the other greatest Bucs games to forget.
    It is strange how the O has regressed as the D has started to dominate – just hope they can turn it on if needed late in a game.
    These Road Warriors definitely have a shot in Dallas- let’s hope they can erase the memory of the last big primetime game v Atl

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  17. 17

    CDNBUCSFAN

    A little late to the party with comments, but what I’d like to see is Koetter totally cross-up the Cowboys and start passing to open up the run. I also want to see some more screens, especially against this Cowboys D. I also like when Sims lines up outside with an empty backfield. He typically gets a good matchup in coverage and should have had more in the game vs. the Saints. Defensively, let’s make sure there is a spotter on Dak, especially on 3rd down, so he doesn’t sneak away and get the first down with his legs. I have no doubt the Bucs will give their all in this game, but what worries me the most is that they don’t get too hyped with a Sunday night game. They’re still a young team and I hope that works for them and not against them in this game. My head says this will be a loss albeit close, but in reality it could be a mammoth win too and who wouldn’t want to see the close up of Jerry Jones’ mannequin face in utter confusion at a second straight loss. To me that is second only to Pete Carroll’s confused face at losing to the Bucs. Plus I need this to keep my brother in check. He started smack-talking this morning already. We were both Cowboys fans from the Roger Staubach years but I moved over to the Bucs in 1996. Plus if we win this one, all the pregame shows will have to go down to just 2 teams in the league, the Patriots and everyone else. Pfft!

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