WR Yards and TDs
 
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WR Yards and TDs

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Theknees
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[#134594]

While I am not sure there has ever been a more accomplished WR room than Evans, Godwin, Brown etc.  I think this year's WR room could potentially have more yards. 

 

Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison, and I think his name was Brandon Stokely had the most productive year with Manning and the Colts and I am not sure that can be duplicated but, when you know with near certainty that if healthy, Godwin and Egbuka will have north of 1000 yards each and you see that same potential in McMillan, add the sure hands of Tez and rookie Ted, this could be a very special group.  

 

It's tough for the slot receiver to be the lead receiver for a team, happens about 15% of the time.  But I think Godwin has slightly more yards than Egbuka, who has slightly more yards than McMillan. 

Godwin - 1200 - 11

Egbuka - 1130 - 14

McMillan - 950 - 8

Tez/Ted - 820 - 6

 

Also, and I wish analysts would adopt this when making statements about WR rooms.  The TEs and the RBs are not now, nor will they ever be part of the WR room.  I am not sure why this often gets conflated when doing an analysis of WR rooms in the NFL. 


 
Posted : Jul. 22, 2026 11:05 am
Avatar Of Badabingbucs
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At the Bucs elite level in 2024, with a top 5 offense, Baker had 4,500 passing yards

Your total adds up to 4,100 and doesn't include Cade Otton, Bucky Irving, misc other guys.  Bucky and Otton combined for 800 yards last year

i guess with 39 TDs right there you are also assuming Baker returns to 2024 levels

so let me give you my assumption that Baker bounces back to being a top 10 QB and the guy we want to throw 4 years, $225M at.

4,200 yards, 36 TDs

Godwin - 700 yards, 5 TDs

Edbuka - 1,000 yards, 8 TDs

McMillian - 700 yards, 7 TDs

Tez - 300 yards, 3 TDs

Hurst - 400 yards, 5 TDs

Otton - 500 yards, 2 TDs

Bucky - 400 yards, 3 TDs

other - 200 yards, 3 TDs

 


 
Posted : Jul. 22, 2026 1:05 pm
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

At the Bucs elite level in 2024, with a top 5 offense, Baker had 4,500 passing yards

Your total adds up to 4,100 and doesn't include Cade Otton, Bucky Irving, misc other guys.  Bucky and Otton combined for 800 yards last year

i guess with 39 TDs right there you are also assuming Baker returns to 2024 levels

so let me give you my assumption that Baker bounces back to being a top 10 QB and the guy we want to throw 4 years, $225M at.

4,200 yards, 36 TDs

Godwin - 700 yards, 5 TDs

Edbuka - 1,000 yards, 8 TDs

McMillian - 700 yards, 7 TDs

Tez - 300 yards, 3 TDs

Hurst - 400 yards, 5 TDs

Otton - 500 yards, 2 TDs

Bucky - 400 yards, 3 TDs

other - 200 yards, 3 TDs

 

Seems about right to me but there will be injuries that throw this off. Any of our top 3 we could lead the team.

 


 
Posted : Jul. 22, 2026 10:17 pm
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

At the Bucs elite level in 2024, with a top 5 offense, Baker had 4,500 passing yards

Your total adds up to 4,100 and doesn't include Cade Otton, Bucky Irving, misc other guys.  Bucky and Otton combined for 800 yards last year

i guess with 39 TDs right there you are also assuming Baker returns to 2024 levels

so let me give you my assumption that Baker bounces back to being a top 10 QB and the guy we want to throw 4 years, $225M at.

4,200 yards, 36 TDs

Godwin - 700 yards, 5 TDs

Edbuka - 1,000 yards, 8 TDs

McMillian - 700 yards, 7 TDs

Tez - 300 yards, 3 TDs

Hurst - 400 yards, 5 TDs

Otton - 500 yards, 2 TDs

Bucky - 400 yards, 3 TDs

other - 200 yards, 3 TDs

 

 

Probably pretty close.  As Fire says several WRs could be leader.  Sort of depends on how they run the offense, the run game etc.

 


 
Posted : Jul. 23, 2026 8:41 am
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I put some $$$ on some WR bets the other day:

Evans Rec TDs Over 6.5 at -115     Big RZ target for Purdy

Devonta Smith Rec TDs Over 5.5 at -110     Situational, no AJ Brown

Chris Godwin Rec TDs Over 4.5 at -120 AND Rec YDs Over 675.5 at -110 AND Most Rec YDs Reg Season at +15000 (WTH bet)     BIG season

Justin Jefferson Rec YDs Under 1,200.5 at -110     Situational, chaos at QB

Many other bets on players and teams. Joe Burrow MVP. I REALLY like Jahmyr Gibbs, flying solo now that Montgomery is out of his way. I look for Bijan Robinson to have another HUGE season. Teams winning their division: Rams, Bucs, Cowboys, Chargers, Bengals. Bunch of other bets.

 

 


 
Posted : Jul. 23, 2026 10:58 am
Theknees
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Posted by: @bucsbits

Probably pretty close.  As Fire says several WRs could be leader.  Sort of depends on how they run the offense, the run game etc.

 

I think Zac will look at where Baker has succeeded and adjust his game accordingly.  Gainwell is the x factor to me.  If he shows up and is on par with peak Bucky, we will be super tough to get off the field.  He had 500 yards receiving last year and a few TDs.  For reference Bucky had 400 yards in 2024 when he was healthy.  I really like the idea of two similar backs in an offense that is predicated on quick hits, to really mess with opposing defenses.  Gut tells me Godwin will have a career year.  

 

We are just a week or so away from players reporting.  I don't expect the depth chart to change much over the next 50 days or so. We have a nice looking starting lineup on both sides of the ball.  

 


 
Posted : Jul. 23, 2026 11:02 am
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Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @bucsbits

Probably pretty close.  As Fire says several WRs could be leader.  Sort of depends on how they run the offense, the run game etc.

 

I think Zac will look at where Baker has succeeded and adjust his game accordingly.  Gainwell is the x factor to me.  If he shows up and is on par with peak Bucky, we will be super tough to get off the field.  He had 500 yards receiving last year and a few TDs.  For reference Bucky had 400 yards in 2024 when he was healthy.  I really like the idea of two similar backs in an offense that is predicated on quick hits, to really mess with opposing defenses.  Gut tells me Godwin will have a career year.  

 

We are just a week or so away from players reporting.  I don't expect the depth chart to change much over the next 50 days or so. We have a nice looking starting lineup on both sides of the ball.  

 

I just hope we get the law of averages on our side for injuries.

 


 
Posted : Jul. 23, 2026 5:23 pm
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Posted by: @firebowles2026

Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @bucsbits

Probably pretty close.  As Fire says several WRs could be leader.  Sort of depends on how they run the offense, the run game etc.

 

I think Zac will look at where Baker has succeeded and adjust his game accordingly.  Gainwell is the x factor to me.  If he shows up and is on par with peak Bucky, we will be super tough to get off the field.  He had 500 yards receiving last year and a few TDs.  For reference Bucky had 400 yards in 2024 when he was healthy.  I really like the idea of two similar backs in an offense that is predicated on quick hits, to really mess with opposing defenses.  Gut tells me Godwin will have a career year.  

 

We are just a week or so away from players reporting.  I don't expect the depth chart to change much over the next 50 days or so. We have a nice looking starting lineup on both sides of the ball.  

 

I just hope we get the law of averages on our side for injuries.

 

well yeah and if i had to pick one to be healthy....Ben Bredeson...it all went to shit when he went down

 

nah all kidding aside, hopefully the offensive line stays healthy 

 


 
Posted : Jul. 24, 2026 8:10 am
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

hopefully the offensive line stays healthy 

Boring to post maybe, but this ^^ is probably the #1 issue for success in 2026, especially because the Bucs have substantial resources in a very talented line (as they should)

In 2024 the offensive line is elite and healthy.  The Bucs most used combo was Wirfs, Bredeson, Barton (center), Mauch  and Goedeke.

In 2025 the offensive line is injured and suspect. Their most used combo for the season was Wirfs, Jordan, Barton, Feeney and Goedeke. Wirfs mostly on a bum knee, Barton playing tackle. Goedeke with a horrific string of penalities.

If you try to translate that to impact on Mayfield, he actually threw fewer INTs and had less fumbles than 2024 so he took care of the ball okay, but the offense went way down in scoring at almost a TD per game. His RUNNING also became more essential to the offense's limited success (less runs for more yards and more 1st downs than 2024). Even with his uptick in running, the Bucs offense still went from probably 50 punts on the season (2024) to north of 60 in 2025 so at least one more punt per game. FG attempts up, TDs down.

You can alos obviously see it in the run game whether is RYA 4.1 in 2025 versus 5.2 (near top of league) in 2024 or in the awful failures in short yardage or in the BIG drop in Red Zone TD scoring. The latter two not common IF the line is physically dominant.


 
Posted : Jul. 24, 2026 10:52 am
Theknees
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

 

 

 

Boring to post maybe, but this ^^ is probably the #1 issue for success in 2026, especially because the Bucs have substantial resources in a very talented line (as they should)

Last season two of the top 3 teams with the least amount of starts missed, made the super bowl. This plays out most seasons.  It's why when someone makes the moronic, I've never played organized sports, comment "Injuries aren't an excuse", you know you are dealing with a casual.  

 


 
Posted : Jul. 24, 2026 11:42 am
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Posted by: @theknees

Last season two of the top 3 teams with the least amount of starts missed, made the super bowl

That wouldn't surprise me.

Injuries are an UNEQUAL factor for all teams each season.  They overcome them with a mixture of luck, depth, other units and coaching. 

 

 

 


 
Posted : Jul. 24, 2026 2:09 pm
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Posted by: @bucsbits

They overcome them with a mixture of luck, depth, other units and coaching. 

...and not necessarily in that order.


 
Posted : Jul. 24, 2026 4:31 pm
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Posted by: @seekpar

Posted by: @bucsbits

They overcome them with a mixture of luck, depth, other units and coaching. 

...and not necessarily in that order.

Definitely not. I probably should have made that point myself. lol

 


 
Posted : Jul. 24, 2026 8:40 pm
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Or unlucky...Carolina Panthers second-year outside linebacker Nic Scourton suffered a torn ACL in his right knee during the team's first training camp practice on July 23, 2026. He has been placed on injured reserve and is expected to miss the entire season.


 
Posted : Jul. 25, 2026 4:01 pm
White Tiger
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Posted by: @bucsbits

Posted by: @theknees

Last season two of the top 3 teams with the least amount of starts missed, made the super bowl

That wouldn't surprise me.

Injuries are an UNEQUAL factor for all teams each season.  They overcome them with a mixture of luck, depth, other units and coaching. 

 

 

 

That point should be more talked about. Our o-line was hit hard by injuries, and yet was able to hold together for brief periods, early in the season. But none of the other units were competent enough to carry the load.

 

good point.

 


 
Posted : Jul. 25, 2026 5:02 pm
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