Cover 3 is a weekly feature column written by PewterReport.com’s Tampa Bay Bucs beat writer Trevor Sikkema published every Tuesday. The column, as its name suggests, comes in three phases: a statistical observation, an in-depth film breakdown, and a “this or that” segment where the writer asks the reader to chose between two options.

Sikkema’s Stat(s) of the Week

Well, friends, here we are at the end of the road. As the 2019 regular season has come to a close, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished the year with a 7-9 record.

I don’t want to say I told you so, but I did predict the Bucs to go 7-9 this season, so I told you so.

I am kidding. Even though I did predict a 7-9 season, it didn’t look exactly how I thought it would. I said in my season prediction Pewter Report Roundtable that a tough schedule and unfortunate injuries would cause the Bucs to miss the .500 mark again this season, and both of those factors did come to fruition. I also said that the MVP of this team would be Shaq Barrett, but of course no one could have seen a 19.5-sack season coming.

I say all that not to brag, but to maybe bring us back down to reality. This year was never about the playoffs. It was about a building block. It was about setting up a foundation on both offense and defense, and changing a culture from losers into maybe-somethings in the near future.

On offense, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin showed the world they’re the best WR duo in the entire NFL, and that should remain true next season. On defense, when Tampa Bay had Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul healthy and starting, they too were one of the best duos at their positions in the league.

Bucs OLB Shaquil Barrett
Bucs OLB Shaquil Barrett – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Many of the Buccaneers rookies also stepped up this season, and could see continued starting roles in the future. Many of the holes on the roster were attacked this offseason, and many were filled.

But Tampa Bay did ultimately fall short of its goal. Part of that has to do with the schedule. Part of it has to do with unfortunate timing, bad luck and some harsh injuries. And part of it has to do with the most important position on their team: the quarterback.

Jameis Winston led the NFL in passing yards this season with 5,109, and he nearly led the NFL in passing touchdowns (33), too. But he also lead the NFL in giveaways by a wide margin (39). Because of that, his future on this team is up in the air despite a historic year statistically.

The team took a big step in the right direction in many areas this season, but the Bucs are far from perfect. In this Cover 3, I am going to analyze the five positions I believe this team should focus on most in the 2020 offseason, as well as offer you all my first seven-round mock draft to address those needs as best they can.

Let’s get right to it.

Offensive Tackle

Priority: High
Sweet Spot: Rounds 1-2

If you ask me, offensive tackle is the highest priority for the Buccaneers going into 2020. The team signed left tackle Donovan Smith to a three-year deal last offseason to solidify his place on the team for at least the next two years. The $41.5-million deal he signed was front-loaded, and after next season, his final year has no guarantees to it. But you can expect Smith to still be this team’s left tackle next season. He has improved steadily during his time in the league, and though he isn’t a Top 10 offensive tackle in the league, he is serviceable as a starter.

Along the interior, Ali Marpet continues to play at a Pro Bowl level at left guard. Next to him, center Ryan Jensen had a tough first year in Tampa in 2018, committing 11 penalties and just not being the consistent player he needed to be. This year he settled down much more, only committing three penalties all year and was much more reliable all around. At right guard, a position the Bucs have been searching to solidify for years, Alex Cappa has emerged as a consistent starter. Those three likely won’t be going anywhere as the interior starters for this team heading into next year.

Bucs RT Demar Dotson
Bucs RT Demar Dotson – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

That leaves one more player, veteran right tackle Demar Dotson. At 34 years old, Dotson has been with the Buccaneers now for over a decade. He was signed as an undrafted free agent in 2009 and has been a contributing player and long-time starter ever since. Dotson said he still has some gas left in the tank, but Tampa Bay would be wise to draft a player at his position, even if Dotson is back in some capacity for 2020.

This draft is shaping up to be a good one at offensive tackle. At the top there are players like Andrew Thomas from Georgia, Tristan Wirfs from Iowa and Jedrick Willis from Alabama. These guys seem to be starting-caliber offensive tackles with a lot of upside. After them, Mekhi Becton from Louisville, Alex Leatherwood from Alabama and Prince Tega Wanogho from Auburn will likely be Top 50 picks, too.

The Buccaneers have some flexibility in their draft plans, but if they want an offensive tackle to potentially take Dotson’s place next season and maybe even Smith’s in years that follow, they better pull the trigger with one of their two Top 50 selections.

Defensive Tackle

Priority: Medium to High
Sweet Spot: Round 1

Unlike the offensive line, the Buccaneers could be in for a big shake up along the interior defensive line.

The big name here is Nadamuklong Suh, who signed a one-year, $9.25-million deal with the Bucs last offseason. Head coach Bruce Arians and defensive coordinator Todd Bowles have both spoken of their desire to keep as much of the front seven intact for next year as they can, but Suh is the tricky one.

With a big decision coming with Jameis Winston’s contract, as well as big pay days for Jason Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett, the Bucs will have to curb spending somewhere. If Suh is back in Tampa, he would likely have to take a deal around the $6 – $7 million range.

Bucs DTs Ndamukong Suh and Beau Allen
Bucs DTs Ndamukong Suh and Beau Allen – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

As for the depth, Beau Allen and Rakeem Nunez-Roches are both free agents this offseason, plus none of William Gholston’s deal for the next two years of his contract are guaranteed. They could bring both Allen and Nunez-Roches back on smaller deals, but they could also switch them out. Who knows there.

With so much uncertainty, and with a desire to likely get more pass rush from the position (only six sacks from the interior guys in 2019), the Bucs could stand to pick up a defensive lineman on Day 2 of the draft. Unfortunately, the real sweet sport for getting a difference-maker in this class seems to be at the very top with not as much depth as other years. Guys like Derrick Brown from Auburn, Javon Kinlaw from South Carolina and Neville Gallimore from Oklahoma are the top names that will all likely be gone by the end of the first round. If they Bucs do wait a bit to make their move at that position, Jordan Elliott from Missouri, Rashard Lawrence from LSU and Raequan Williams from Michigan State could be on their radar.

Running Back

Priority: Medium
Sweet Spot: Rounds 2-3

It took 17 weeks for the Buccaneers to have a 100-yard rusher in a single game in 2019, and that honor belonged to Ronald Jones II in the final game of the year.

Jones improved nicely this season, but he still didn’t have the year people hoped he would. A handful of his longest runs were called back due to penalties, and running the ball, of course, starts up front with good blocking. But I still believe that come next offseason the Bucs backfield should be Jones and a handful of new faces, and I don’t see Peyton Barber returning.

Bucs RB Ronald Jones – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
Bucs RB Ronald Jones – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

This draft class is stacked. Because the Bucs have Jones on the roster, I believe it would be a poor use of resources to use a first-round pick on a running back, especially with needs in both tranches and potentially even at quarterback. However, anywhere between round 2-4 I could be talked into a back, depending on who is there.

If Tampa Bay can get a player like Jonathan Taylor from Wisconsin or Travis Etienne from Clemson in Round 2, I would consider it. After them, players like J.K. Dobbins from Ohio State or Chuba Hubbard from Oklahoma State could be had in round three. And beyond that, backs like Clyde Edwards-Helaire from LSU, Ke’Shawn Vaughn from Vanderbilt and Zack Moss from Utah could be solid option to benefit both the run and pass game in the mid rounds.

Safety

Priority: Low to Medium
Sweet Spot: Rounds 1-2

I was surprised by the production from the Bucs safeties this year. After learning that Justin Evans was probably going to be a no-go this season, I wasn’t sure the team had the difference-makers on the back end. I knew they had the athletes in Mike Edwards and Jordan Whitehead, but could those athletes turn into the pro players the team needed? I think they did.

The team will get D’Cota Dixon back next year after losing him for the full season due to a shoulder injury in camp, and hopefully the same can be said for Evans. Those guys coming back as reinforcements is why a safety is a lower priority for this team, and likely why they won’t be drafting, say Grant Delpit from LSU or Xavier McKinney from Alabama, it could still be a position they take a home run swing at later in the draft.

Quarterback

Priority: TBD
Sweet Spot: Top 15

Ah, yes, here it is is. The ultimate wild card.

At this moment, we don’t know what the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will do with Jameis Winston. There is still a chance that he could be back in red and pewter next season, maybe even just for one year on the franchise tag. But after a final play in overtime that Bruce Arians said “Will smell about as bad as it can for a very long time” you have to believe they will look at every option at quarterback, including potentially moving on completely.

Bucs QB Jameis Winston
Bucs QB Jameis Winston – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

What they decide to do with Winston will obviously determine how high of a priority such a position will be for this team. If they bring back Winston on a long-term deal, I still think they’ll be drafting a quarterback, but not until Day 3 just to get a new backup. If they bring him back on the franchise tag, they could be targeting one anywhere from rounds 1 to 2. And if he’s gone completely, then all bets are off for how high they might be selecting one – potentially even higher than where they current sit at No. 14.

So who exactly are some of the big names at quarterback and the rest of the position of need the Bucs could and should be interested in? Scott Reynolds listed some of those veteran QBs in a previous SR’s Fab 5 column, in addition to some of the potential rookie options in the draft in another SR’s Fab 5 column.

I give you a handful of those names on the next page via a full seven-round mock draft.

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Trevor Sikkema is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat reporter and NFL Draft analyst for PewterReport.com. Sikkema, an alumnus of the University of Florida, has covered both college and professional football for much of his career. As a native of the Sunshine State, when he's not buried in social media, Sikkema can be found out and active, attempting to be the best athlete he never was. Sikkema can be reached at: [email protected]

132 COMMENTS

  1. I predicted a 6-10 or 7-9 season and was spot on. But it wasnt really because of the schedule although in week 1 it did look bleak playing teams who had good years last season and many of them on the road.

    But the reason it turned out 7-9 was that the Bucs only had a few surprises such as beating the Rams on the Road but then again that team is nothing like the S.Bowl team last season.

    And many of the Bucs late season wins were against teams going downhill.
    They beat a Lions team with a 3rd String QB- that was a gimme.
    They beat a Colts team with Brisset coming back from injury and just not himself yet.
    They beat a Jags team with their starting QB out with an injury, another gimme.
    They beat the Falcons before Dan Quinn made some major Coaching changes to
    turn his team around.

    1 big difference this season is a Pass Defense that did not let the team get blown out
    like previous seasons. Todd Bowles is a big part of that.

    But when you have a QB who gives away 42 points with pick 6 throws and 27 other picks of which most of them set the other team up for a score our Defense could not do it on their own.

    After 5 years, 3 Head coaches, the time is here to move on. To say that we cannot get a QB in the draft or trade who can throw 25 TDs and only about 10 Picks with this group of WRs ignores how good Evans, Godwin & Perriman are. Playoffs are not a sure thing because of 5000 yards passing. Give us 3500 yards with 25 TDs and a few picks with this defense and we can make the playoffs. QBs after 5 years either show they can mature with their decision making or they just dont.

    Some people say our Oline has to help Jameis but Russell Wilson had just as many sacks but he throws so few Picks. Its about ‘smart football’ not 5000 yard seasons.

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    • Well said, especially your finale.

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    • Jameis is missing one thing that Russ Wilson has had his entire career in Seattle: A stable of studs at running back. He had beast mode to start his career. He had Carson this year. It’s a good comparison. The missing link is the devastating running back, not more centers or left tackles.

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    • I laugh when people say give Winston the Franchise Tag. You think any team is going to give him a long term contract north of $20 mil a year? If the QB Whispers can’t tame this bucking bronco, who will be able to. If they really think they can make him a true franchise QB, offer him $20 mil for 3 years. If Wintson does not take it, let Arians pick a from the lot of serviceable FAs that will be out there. Even trade for a guy like Alex Smith (if healthy) who has a salary of $16 mil for 2020 and then a team option for 2 more years at $19 and $21 mil. That what you have $$$ to keep guys like JPP & Shaq.

      The best you can ever expect from Winston is maybe a 1st round playoff win. Because, if he gets any pressure, he folds. He always has & he always will.

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      • Uhhhh….. Right. I may not agree with much of what you wrote here, but it at least makes sense. Until you say he “always folds under pressure”. Some of the best plays in Winston’s career have come with guys chasing him.

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  2. Herbert will be gone before we draft. O line in first. BPA in area of need after that.

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    • Agreed, no chance in hell Herbert makes it to 14. There will be at least 4 (Bengals, Dolphins, Chargers and Panthers) and maybe as many as 7 (tack on Lions, Raiders and Colts) teams ahead of us in the QB market and Herbert is worst case the #3 option behind Burrow and Tua (potentially going up to #2 if enough teams are scared about Tua’s hip).

      Winston will get a tag or a short-term deal and we NEED to go OL hard and frequent.

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    • I agree that Herbert (and Tua) will be gone by pick 14. But so could the top 4 OL. The pick maybe more valuable to trade down.

      I know we do not really need a WR, but think about Evans, Godwin and one of these studs. I can’t believe Vegas has the over under of WRs taken in round 1 as 5 1/2. I see 6 easy and maybe even up to 8. All 3 Bama WRs could go in round 1 (probably 2).

      This is a weak TE draft. Although I love OJ Howard, he is not a good fit for Arians’ Offense. Trade Bait?

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  3. Before we ditch Winston, we need to figure out how m.j any of his picks are not his fault. If he gets a kickass o line and receivers run routes correctly, how m.j any picks can be eliminated?

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    • At least half.

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    • not to mention bobbled catches that turned into picks. OJ had at least 3 this year

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    • Do we get to include how many times the DB’s dropped potential picks from Winston? I counted 3 yesterday. He has 2-4 potential picks dropped nearly every week. Think how bad it could be.

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      • very true as well. although i do think a DB dropping a pick is much more likely to happen than balls jumping out of receivers hands. DBs arent neccesarily known for good hands but you are right

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      • As do every QB, A lot of DBs are DBs and not WRs because they Can’t catch Haha

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    • Doesn’t matter .. quarterbacks ARE responsible for their total number of picks, period. No quarterback enjoys receiver perfection, and yet they still don’t throw 30 INTs in a single season. For god’s sake, man – EVERYBODY IN THE LEAGUE SAYS THE BUCS HAD THE BEST PAIR OF RECEIVERS IN THE LEAGUE this year. Yet Winston more than doubled the average percentage of interceptions thrown by quarterbacks in the league this year.

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      • I hear you. Winston ultimately gets all the picks on his stats and that is completely fair. As far as preventing picks next year, seems to me that knowing how many could have been avoided with a better O-line is good information. The next QB will have to contend with the same O-line and if Bucs can upgrade the offensive line and reduce the risk of interceptions for any QB, that’s a good thing, right?

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      • Got to agree with you this time Naples. As you said, all QB’s have tipped passes, receivers running wrong routes, defenders making great plays and simply making a poor choice of targets and don’t have the highest INT % in the league by far. Plus, they don’t have the plethora of receivers at Jameis’ disposal.

        Someone smarter than me and you, perhaps a “Quarterback Screamer” can figure out the root of the problem and fix it. Otherwise, we’re starting over.

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  4. Trevor,

    I like the draft a lot mostly due to the fact that you really focused on the right position of need; OT. I too like the LSU RB and that could allow us to move on from Peyton Barber.

    Now, looking objectively, the defense has the propensity to be very good next year and the WR position is locked in tight. Truly this draft comes down to two things: Offensive Tackle and Quarterback. I have already agreed with you above on the OT need so I wont elaborate on that….so now to the QB.

    I have wanted JW to succeed as much as anyone. First, I am a Noles fan and obviously a Bucs fan. I have also wanted him to be a great example of someone who has overcame and showed others that you can rebound from poor choices. I actually think Jameis has done that part and he should be commended for it. From a football standpoint, I love his grit and winning desire but we really cannot overlook “the ugly”. I personally do not want to hit reset on this position especially when all of the pieces around it are so close to winning now, however looking at it objectively, I believe it is time to go in another direction.

    I think the Bucs should sign a veteran signal caller and draft a QB. While I would love Burrow, that is simply not happening. I like the selection of Herbert, however do you honestly see him there when we pick? In the end, it is time to move on from JW but I really do hope that he gets a shot somewhere under a new change of scenery.

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    • i agree, starting over at QB would suck. Not to mention how it might effect the other players on the team. No one mentions it but winstons teammates love him, his grit, and leadership. Im sure the defense may get annoyed with the INTs as well but the defensive leaders love him too. Losing him i cant imagine the vets looking to a rookie QB for leadership unless its Joe burrow and that aint happening

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      • It may be not all that bad getting a new QB. He would be in a way better position to succeed starting out than Winston was. Cheap contract to build the team up around him so he won’t have a ‘COINING IT NOW: Winston Effect. And last these young QB have been been special lately coming in if they’re set right.

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    • Winston Effect
      Being SuperMan on every throw
      1. Defense can’t make any stops(can’t or tired)
      2. No run game to respect
      3. Pass protection issues.
      4. Inconsistent play calling
      QB thinks that he has to will his team to when.
      a) scramble around look for the spectacular made for TV throw
      b) No one can stop his moment mindset: includes physical gifts
      Usually happens in a QB dual not trusting the team and over trusting himself.
      Seen wide eyed, out of breath, and frequent tunnel vision.

      If Andy Dalton has a line mediocrity
      Bortles and Gabbert have things named after them
      And David Carr still feels ghost then Mr Winston is getting one for him. He’s the only QB ever to espn it (30 for 30)

      No being serious, a lot of this factors into his psyche. Look at the sacks for David Carr. Wasn’t ever the same. I wish things would’ve turned out different for him. Better coach and GM to start off with would’ve been huge for him.

      Looking way down the road but if he ever gets an opportunity to get into coaching he shouldn’t think twice and go for it.

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  5. If RoJo rushes for 150 yds/game but fumbles 2x/game are we going to debate keeping him? No. Stop fumbling or you’re gone.
    If Mike Evans gets 150/game but causes 2 Ints/game due to bad route running, do we keep him? No. You find a better route runner with sure hands.
    You have to weigh the good with the bad. Is Winston making them look good or vice versa? I say its them making him look good. These receivers will make just about any QB look good. Time to draft his replacement.

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    • what about perriman? Adam Humphires? Austin Seferian Jenkins? Brate? Winston has gotten some receivers paid and once they left they were nothing. its just so hard to Gauge him with those INTs smh

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      • That is a great point about receivers without Winston.

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      • That’s a stretch to say they were great because of Winston. How about their new teams using them differently? ASJ did pretty good in NY and more consistently than I can ever remember here. To my point, Brate looked horrible this year BECAUSE the plays were not designed for TEs to succeed. Perriman played well ONLY when he was the go-to guy and he has had 2 Pro Bowl WRs to help him develop into his talent.

        I don’t agree with Winston being God. Alvin Harper sucked outside of Dallas? Was it because he didn’t have Troy Aikman? Sometimes it’s just the system and environment (a successful franchise with high expectations) that makes all the difference.

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  6. BAP in all the rounds IMVHO.

    This was a surprisingly good year for a team most pegged to have four wins max.

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  7. I’m not as big a fan of Herbert as most, but like I said before I’d take just about anybody over Winston. Especially a rookie when no one has seen them play in the NFL yet so the sky is the limit. That being said I like Fromm better than Herbert. Fromm doesn’t have Herbert’s arm strength or speed but he makes much better decisions with the football and still has a strong enough arm to succeed in the NFL.

    As for Clyde Edwards-Helaire, you’re nuts if you think he will be there in the 4th round. He can run, catch and pass protect and he plays for LSU so he is on everyone’s radar. We need to take him in the 2nd round if we want him.

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    • Good points Pinkstob.

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      • Thanks!

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  8. This team isn’t far from turning that corner if they hit the draft right.

    OT, QB, RB, DL, pass rusher.

    I also like the teaching this coaching staff have done with the young players. By 2020 you are looking at one of the youngest teams in the NFL.

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  9. Outside of your RB pick. I don’t like it much at all. I’m not buying into BA’s political talk. Winston will be back in 2020, whether some of you like it or not.

    I do agree with the positions that you said are priorities. Here’s what I would do. (With DT Marvin Wilson returning to FSU, I’m now putting re-signing Suh as a priority. Before Wilson announce his return, I would have let Suh walk and take Wilson as his replacement)

    Round 1) S Grant Delpit – with A Thomas and J Wills off the board, the Bucs go in a different direction at 14. Todd Bowles is going to fall in love with Delpit and see some Jamal Adams in him. Licht will finally make up for not drafting Derwin James two years ago.

    Round 2) OT Prince Tega Wanogho – The Bucs get their OT here with the top two gone at pick 14. It’s time to move on from Demar Dotson. I really think he should retire.

    Round3) Edge rusher – Jonathan Greenard – Carl Nassib replacement

    Round 4) RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire – I also love this pick like Trevor

    Round 5) C/G Sean Pollard – The Bucs need to double up on OL in this draft

    Round 6) QB Bryce Perkins

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    • “I’m not buying into BA’s political talk. Winston will be back in 2020, whether some of you like it or not.”

      Obviously those in favor of sending him to the curb don’t learn from history… Doug Williams and Steve Young ring a bell?

      How many of those interceptions were Winston’s fault? A better running game would do wonders in curbing those errors.

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  10. Go figure another Bucs draft without an edge rusher lol. BUILD THE TRENCHES. You draft 1 tackle in the first 2 rounds and then make DE and DT the focus. The only draft capital invested in the DL is on a 2 down player(Vita). We need a major influx of talent there so we can get the cap under control and add players that can develop under Suh and JPP I’d retained. Licht has drafted enough secondary players so I want another safety like I want a hole in my head via the draft. Go pay a damn vet and draft what’s needed, and since Licht typically needs to draft 5 players before he finds 1 or 2 starters then I say flood the DL and let the cream rise.

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  11. There is noway Dobbins or Taylor get out of 1st round. Or Etienne for that matter. Oline is deep and one should be available in RD2. We should be able to get one of the 3 top RB’s at 14.

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  12. It a little early to be critical of your first mock Mr. Sikkema. But I do like the are of needs you pointed out.
    Suh should be cheaper. Production. Even tho he does more than the stat sheet shows. Numbers are more valid when it comes to negotiating a contract. Plus I see some very intriguing talent in FA that could be had on 1yr prove it deals. We’ll shall see what happens.
    I only see a handful of holes like you but I think it can be taking care through FA and/or the draft. Main thing I’ve been trying to influence opinions are getting our guys we invested from the draft to sticc. Building good depth. For most of the GMs tenure here, the team has needed major contributions from undrafted FAs. Would any of these guys start anywhere else making significant money on a team outside TB. Hmmm. I don’t know. There is a reason the L column is high than W column. This team has to draft better.

    Some of the TBbucs fans and PR reporters seem to think that getting a new QB will be statiing all over.
    I have two opinions/arguements for moving on. That it could work out better than what the team has been doing.
    1. The big name QBs in today’s game
    a) where not selected in the top 5 and one(Mahomes) was selected right at 10.
    b) Brady, Brees, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Mahomes, Watson, Jackson and mostly every successful QB to play started out with a structure in place so they wouldn’t have to do anything. *Running game, O-Line, receiving weapons, complementary defense, Oscar winning scripted play calling. Wasn’t till their respective 4-5th year did they take over the offense.

    Let’s take a page out them books. Build the team up so if the Bucs do select a QB he’ll have a easier time and get brought along slowly. Actual on the job training

    Feel bad for Winston.(eh kind of). The GM mostly failed to put a team together through out his first three years. (Wasting resources, money, time, and energy setting the franchise bacc years.) The kid is broken. I remember watch games when Koetter was the coach. I noticed it and even the broadcast commentary said something. For as long as I’ve been watching football, after every drive successful or not, you see the QB sitting in the bench with OC or the QB coach going over plays and whatever else they look at on the tablet. I’ve done seen countless times that Winston was on the bench by himself looking at it. That’s why he’s broken. He has bad habits now. How can a coach sit a young man down that just got into the league, hand him a device and walk away leaving him to his own what nots. That’s not coaching. I think that’s a big part of why we haven’t seen the Ints go down or turnovers in general. He had no support from the coaches, little support from the little pool of talent the team has had, and shaky support out in his personal life. He has bad habits and even tho he may seem like a tough mind/skinned kid, if you notice his personality leans toward the side of needing empathy when he messes up or a praise when he does good. When its vise versa. It really shows in his whole demeanor. QBs are fragile early in their careers. Besides Marino and Manning the team gotta have bubble wrap and training wheels on(build the F’n team up!!)

    I don’t think they should resign him unless it’s for him to be a bridge QB. Hopefully he has a good showing and trade him like KC did with A.Smith.

    Been awhile since I’ve posted. Had some things to say. Apologies for writing like I work as a columnist.

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    • Edit: Rivers 3rd overall
      : Including Russell Wilson on QB list

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      • Don’t apologize for writing the way you just did. That took longer to read than most “columns” on JBF, was easier to read and more entertaining than their babble, too.
        One criticism, though. Numbers are far from the only thing either side of the table looks at when it comes to negotiations. Other than that, nice work

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  13. Can’t imagine Arians rolling with a rookie QB, if he does there will be no chance at making the playoffs next season and at Arians age he wants to win now. Very unlikely the Bucs draft a QB in round one.

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    • I disagree. Maybe not strongly… But still. Arians stated in his last post game/day after(?) interview that he is not sure if Winston will be their QB next year (And he did NOT sound enthused at the prospect at the time! With his “smells as bad as it can possibly smell” (I’m paraphrasing) comment referring to ending the season on yet ANOTHER pick 6. I have stated on here before that I saw real growth from Winston this year, especially him throwing the ball away more when his guys are covered than ever before (the numbers bear this out). BUT wtf he is thinking when he throws some of these INT’s Idk! I firmly believe he is the most talented QB the Bucs have had in decades if not ever but am now left to wonder if the previous coaching staff, especially the HC and former OC in Koetter, did nearly “ruin him” as Arians said before the season. I actually liked the defiant attitude from Winston in his last interview with his “Check your sheet!” ” I’m gonna be the best bar none” etc comments.. But I DID check the sheet Jameis and you had 39 (!!!) turnovers including 30 picks and 6 or maybe 7 pick 6’s! Which either ties or breaks the NFL “Record” (I mean why not call it something the opposite of “record”? Such as the “S#!+ List Award” instead of the exact same thing as when a guy plays great or, as it should be for a Record, the BEST??! I digress..) that Manning held. Still the company and at approximately the same age may speak volumes. He IS still only 25yo and HAS shown growth in many areas and in almost every case in SPITE of his HC in Koetter! The guy NEVER WANTED HIM!! This is no secret. You could hear it every week in the way he talked about him. He just sucked as a HC & motivator, period Imo. Does this mean Arians can break his bad habits and “fix” him or does he just let him go for nothing?! The truth is he has NOT had an OL OR running game OR Defense at any point. The closest was this year at the end and he helped win 4 out of 6 for a team looking at ANOTHER top 5 pick. That said, Arians BELIEVES he is the QB whisperer and as he stated in his last interview when asked if he could win with another (and or rookie) QB. “Yes. Definitely. We can win with him or with another guy.” And I think specifically about a rookie QB he said “Yes we can win with one. Our expectations from him would be no different and that’s to win a championship..” Again I am paraphrasing but he sounded very confident and at that time I don’t believe it was bravado or misdirection for the draft or for contract negotiations for Winston. Listen to it. I also think Winston would be lucky to get $20+mil for a year from us as who is going to want to bring him in with all the negative publicity he’ll bring at first especially if they pay him top dollar? Almost no one! And Winston doesn’t want to start over with the crab leg BS or the sexual assault shi+ being rehashed AGAIN. He did sound as though he would though if forced to. I say sign him for another year or franchise tag him AND get a QB in the first or second. Hell I wanted Lamar Jackson when he came out to develop so get a guy late first or in the 2nd round with real talent and have him back Winston up and push him or, we hope, overtake him comfortably! Regardless we should all have more hope for next year than we have in a while provided they can keep the DL together. Go Bucs!

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      • And this is why I think Arains believes be can win with a rookie QB and make the playoffs next year. And I say all this as a Gators fan and a guy who thought the QB class was weak the year we got Winston and DID NOT WANT HIM! Still, let him get a 2nd year w/ a real coach and improvements to the OL and D and RB (No way the LSU RB is available in the 4th Rd Trevor! Kids a stud. Great vision, moves, stop/start, pass catching/blocking.. No way he gets out of the 2nd and maybe not the 1st if he has a great combine) & DRAFT A QB in the 1st through 3rd Rd regardless of what we do with Winston. Don’t put all the eggs in his basket but don’t throw away 5yrs either, especially w/ a shit team and coach around him until this year. Dang, you’d think I could’ve said it all in my first book.. I mean post! (And formed it into paragraphs.. LOL)

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  14. I think best bet is keeping that Dline together Licht has to earn his money, im cool losing Nassib good leader but misses alot of tackles/sacks. With that being said i do believe Winston will be back, hopefully on transition tag with a turnover based incentivized contract. Priority OT, RB hopefully a stud slips to 2nd round hopefully Taylor(love CEH but doubt he slides to the 4th round), DT, OT, Edge, QB (mckenzie Milton before he was injured i was hoping he’d be here as a steal but alas). honestly wouldnt mind picking up a guy like Chase Daniel as a backup qb, did well for the bears when he had to. Licht dont mess this up :/

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    • Jalen hurts may be there as well, not too big on him but who knows not a bad 6th round gamble

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      • sorry meant Bryce Perkins*

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  15. I would prefer trenches be addressed as a top priority. However, if there is a BAP in the first round you pull the trigger.

    Can you imagine this team without Howard because the Bucs went for needs instead of BAP?

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    • Yes, I can imagine them with Kamara, Mixon, Chubb, Hunt, or Cook instead of OJ Howard.

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      • Agreed the OJ pick was a negligent allocation of draft capital decision. And here we are, mocking a high round pick on RB two years after spending a high 2nd on RJII.

        Licht is ruining or at the least elongating our chances of turning things around with so many picks spent on the wrong position and/or player. We need a GM who will be more efficient

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        • I would say Shaq Barrett is the most improved player of the year on the team. I would put RoJo at 2, Cappa at 3, and Perriman at 4.

          I don’t think Barber was bad, but I do think he can be upgraded. I am all for offensive linemen being drafted this year. There are a lot of talented players on the line that will be available in later rounds. I just want the Bucs to get a difference maker at RB and bolster the position. It’s a long season and running backs have a short shelf life. Draft Taylor in round 1 if available and don’t look back.

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          • Taylor may be available at 14, if he is, definitely jump on him

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  16. Trade for Andy Dalton with our receivers he can do well. If all the OT gone get the center from Wisconsin. Cappa should be able to play RT. Just my opinion

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    • Tyler Biadasz

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      • Crackerball thank you I forgot his name but not how good he was in the games he played.

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        • A fucking center????????????????????????????????????????????

          Don’t we have a $11m center in his prime under contract for years? Isn’t his backup a $13m guard named Marpet who is under contract for years? You guys need to stop drinking your own bathwater.
          ROFLMAO!

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          • BigF if you read the entire post. I said if all the top tackles are gone. Also a football team is much like a baseball team build up the middle! Maybe you should learn something about Football.

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          • BigS

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          • No… we don’t. We have Ryan Jensen, under contract, for one more guaranteed year for $10 million. Ali Marpet is under contract thru 2023.
            Maybe that’s what you meant when you were trying to think. I also have to imagine that Biadasz can play OG effectively as well – until he could take over for Jensen in 2021.

            That’s just thinking ahead a little bit…

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          • @crackerball I was wrong about the value of Ryan Jensens contract and you are correct. It is $10m per year.

            You were mistaken on the time though. He has 2 years remaining on his agreement(signed through 2021) and his guarantees end this season. No dead cap if he is cut in 2020.

            https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers/ryan-jensen-12485/

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          • https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers/ryan-jensen-12485/

            crackerball I was wrong about the value of Ryan Jensens contract and you are correct. It is $10m per year.

            You were mistaken on the time though. He has 2 years remaining on his agreement(signed through 2021) and his guarantees end this season. No dead cap if he is cut in 2020.

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        • Biadasz is no ordinary center. He’s a once every few years type talent and he could play guard as well. And, he’ll be cheap. Based on the mocks I’ve been seeing, he might be available in the second round. Well worth a pick. There’s a reason that Wisconsin has the best RB in college football. It’s because they have the best center in college football.

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          • This guy gets it…

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          • Jerry Jeudy is no ordinary wide receiver. Lets draft him and cut Mike Evans. That makes as much sense as drafting a center in the 1st round when you already have a top 10 guy at the positon.

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          • He can play OG as well as C – maybe your hat is too tight.

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    • Great idea with Andy Dalton! Maybe the Bucs can trade Mike Evans to Dallas for Amari Cooper too! That would be just as smart!

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      • BugS have you EVER played football. I don’t think so.

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        • I played Split End! Thanks for asking! And by the way, the Bucs have ALREADY built the lines.

          You may not like Donovan Smith or Ryan Jensen, but the Bucs do. That’s why they signed them to big deals. I haven’t heard that any member of the line is in the doghouse. Bruce Arians isn’t shy about calling lazy loafers out. That’s why GMC and VH3 are gone.

          Pay attention son!

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          • Big I’m not your Son. Just crawl back in your cave idiot .

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  17. Dont overlook the free agency market for RBs- 1 guy in particular that could still be a cheap steal Kareem Hunt

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  18. If a top 3 QB isn’t available at #14 in the draft, (which they probably won’t be) wouldn’t it be better to get a good, well coached, dependable QB (on and off the field) like Teddy Bridgewater? I don’t believe Winston’s turnover problem can be fixed. We seem to forget that he had the same problem in college. A leopard can’t change their spots. After 5 years he is worse than ever. 33 & 30 is laughable!! Even if you tag him, it would still eat up a lot of money that will be needed to sign the Bucs own free agents. Cut bait and move on. Rip off the band aid. Any other decent QB could have won 10/11 games in 2019 and the Bucs would be in the playoffs. After that, anything can happen!!!

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    • I mostly agreed until the any other QB could’ve won 10-11. Or have you forgotten how utterly SOFT our secondary was with Hargreaves, the Brent Grimes clone (but a much worse football player!), lining up before Arians got smart and dumped him? Say what you want about Winston, and you’d probably be right, but he scored enough to win almost every game if the CB’s hadn’t had to “learn from the vet” in Hargreaves. Almost immediate improvements after he was sent packing! We SHOULD have won 10-11 WITH him! In spite of him in his turnover crazy games even! Also if we had JPP all year. Great job by Licht “saving cap space” and potentially losing him for next year.. Anyone can see the guys a warrior and worth betting on, even with a broken neck bone! Or, say, missing part of his HAND??! Which is pretty important for a DE/OLB imho..

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  19. Trevor, I am with you. OT is the #1 priority. Unless they can get something for one of their star TEs that they don’t use, I can’t see them getting a QB high. Maybe 2nd or 3rd round, but I wonder who would be available in those rounds.

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  20. Winston Effect
    Being SuperMan on every throw
    1. Defense can’t make any stops(can’t or tired)
    2. No run game to respect
    3. Pass protection issues.
    4. Inconsistent play calling
    QB thinks that he has to will his team to when.
    a) scramble around look for the spectacular made for TV throw
    b) No one can stop his moment mindset: includes physical gifts
    Usually happens in a QB dual not trusting the team and over trusting himself.
    Seen wide eyed, out of breath, and frequent tunnel vision.

    If Andy Dalton has a line mediocrity
    Bortles and Gabbert have things named after them
    And David Carr still feels ghost then Mr Winston is getting one for him. He’s the only QB ever to espn it (30 for 30)

    No being serious, a lot of this factors into his psyche. Look at the sacks for David Carr. Wasn’t ever the same. I wish things would’ve turned out different for him. Better coach and GM to start off with would’ve been huge for him.

    Looking way down the road but if he ever gets an opportunity to get into coaching he shouldn’t think twice and go for it.

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  21. I like the identification of the RT and DT positions, but our OLine is still in dire need of improvement if we’re expected to run again. We need an improvement at the RG position because we need a more mobile mauler. To prove my point, I’ll use Football Outsider’s OLine rankings for the past four years.

    FBO Offensive line rankings
    Year…. Overall…..Power…. Stuff…. 2nd Level…. Open Field
    2015….. 9………… 8……… 13……… 13………….. 1
    2016….. 21………. 32…….. 32……… 25………….. 28
    2017….. 16………. 12…….. 17……… 31………….. 30
    2018….. 31………. 22…….. 30……… 27………….. 6
    2019….. 23………. 29…….. 30……… 28………….. 27

    Key:
    * Power = 1-3 yards gained for a first down (includes QB run)
    * Stuff = RB stopped at Line of Scrimmage (LoS) or behind it
    * 2nd lvl = RB gained 5 – 10 yards, OLine opened holes to 2nd level
    * Open Field = RB gained 10+ yards; this is RB finding daylight through the 2nd level

    In 2015, that was the year of Martin & Sims going crazy and we had an amazing guard pair in LG Logan Mankins and rookie RG Ali Marpet. The rest of our OLine personnel was meh in rookie LT Donovan Smith, C Joe Hawley, and RT Cherilus. The latter two were put in due to injuries, but Hawley prevented starting center then Evan Dietrich-Smith from regaining the starting position.

    Outside of 2017, our OLine cannot generate a push, prevent our RB’s from getting stuffed, nor get our RBs to the 2nd level. The reason for the failure is a lack of talent on the interior. You need two strong guards or a strong center.

    In 2017, Marpet was the center for 11 games. He was bookended with LG Pamphile and a stiff RG Sweezy. Despite the bad play from both Pamphile and Sweezy, Marpet’s strength held the point of attack as well as pushed forward. But because the guards weren’t athletic, there were no pathway to the 2nd level. Our RBs in 2017 simply fell forward.

    The Bucs’ weakness in the run game is the lack of talent at the RG position, at the very least. Although Cappa performed better than what we had in 2018 (Benenoch and rookie Cappa), he is still not good enough for our run game.

    So what do we do with Cappa if we select at guard in the 2nd round? Simple, he can be groomed to be the future center after the 2020 season as we can move on from Jensen’s $10 mil a year salary.

    We have to properly invest in the Oline after four years of mediocrity. 2015 proved all you really need are two amazing guards! 2017 proved that Marpet was a dominant center. Our org doesn’t know how to construct an OLine when the template is there.

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    • Good points… I would think that OT would be priority #1.

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    • I like these alternative sites that suggest ways to evaluate positions comparatively to other players across the league. I think they are developing and have some good uses in how to evaluate players.

      If you tend to like FBO, here is another interesting stat to focus on:
      DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average QUARTERBACK in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player’s performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense.

      Brees 40.1
      Tannehill 28.1
      Carr 18.9
      Bridgewater 15.7
      Rivers 6.8
      Fitzpatrick 1.5
      Winston – 9.6 – this was 25th out of 34th ranked passers.
      Dalton -11.0

      According to PFO, DVOA is their most important stat for QB’s. If you agree generally with their thought process, why would you even consider a large salary/contract for Jameis.

      Further in his 5 years, his highest DVOA has been 12th. So 12th to 25th in their most important ranking tool for quarterbacks.

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    • You can never have enough OL. It is tough to keep them healthy for an entire season.

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    • I can’t see Cappa as a C.. At all! Guys is 6′ 6″ or something and has had to work hard to react quickly enough at RG. That said I liked his growth and finish at times and wouldn’t mind seeing him get another shot at it, especially with competition brought in in FA and/or the draft. I could definitely see trying him at RT which seems a much better fit for him based on his play so far and where he was in college, LT. Admittedly LT is a different animal where he went to school in Div. III playing against 215-220lb “DE’s” but he showed me.enough improvement this year to keep at RG or even compete at RT against a proven and (sorry Dotson) preferably younger vet.

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  22. Its hard to predict the draft without knowing the QB strategy. If they move on from Winston do any of these names look good in Red and Pewter? Or do any of these names look better if we draft a QB in round 2-5?
    Philip Rivers (could be serviceable for a couple years but has 14 kids living in San Diego)
    Andy Dalton (I like a lot and I feel he could win games and manage the O well)
    Eli Manning (Very intriguing)
    Nick Foles (looked really bad in Jax)
    Cam Newton (lil bo beep and no thanks)
    Derek Carr (Very Enticing to me)
    Marcus Marriota (Ironic)
    Teddy B (Why would leave NO as the heir apparent to Drew B)
    Case Keenum or Alex Smith (I am reaching I know)

    I like the idea of OT with the first pick unless we fall in love with a QB who is still available. I don’t think Bucco Bruce wants the growing pains of a rookie QB though.

    My Draft by need if we pick up a veteran signal caller or keep turnover cardiac Winston.
    1 OT
    2 DT
    3 QB or RB
    4 RB or QB
    5 Best available G, DT or Edge
    6 Best available G, DT or Edge
    7 Best available DT or Edge

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    • its wild reading some of the qbs ive heard us fans targeting phillip rivers would literally get carried out on a stretcher behind this OL and running game. Eli interception machine himself(31 TD 25 INTs 1 season, 18 TD 27 INT another- an older less mobile version of JW), Dalton playing so bad was benched for Ryan Finley would also cost a draft pick, Marriota benched for Tannehill, Cam coming off injury is intriguing but would cost a draft pick and they wouldn’t trade him in the NFC south, Foles benched for Minshew & would cost a pick & too much money. Teddy B is the only real alternative but he doesnt want to leave the Saints. Dalton and Cam are also free agents next year so 1 year rentals

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  23. Good article PR! I think we need to trade our present 30 year old backup and use his 10 million salary to keep Suh. Use a fourth round pick for a strong armed QB for BA to develop and Franchise Tag Jameis. Take a LT in the draft and move D. Smith to learn RT and if he does well enough move Cappa to RT. Use a second pick for a Guard, and get a fast RB in the third round just in case Rojo gets hurt. Offer Dotson backup money to be available at RT if needed. I think Nelson will in time be a great sacker so we don’t need another sacker. Hold on to Minter as our Inside LB backup! We don’t need a veteran safety. We have Adams who played well for us this year and is a great playmaker and he can sub at either Safety position. We need to keep as many of our players as we can. BPA for 5th to 7th and get a 300 plus pounds DT and two swift special team players. Keep Perriman too!

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    • I think you’re right on the $$$….

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    • Sounds like a lot of position switching and the assuption that those moves will make the players mentioned better.

      I wonder, do you think Bruce Arians and his staff knows how to evaluate players? If so, do you think he can coach players effectively? If so, why hasn’t he made those moves already???? Are you Donovan haters gonna talk him into it? LOL.

      Donovan Smith will NEVER be moved to right tackle. They just paid him left tackle money and made it clear that he’s the left tackle for the next 2 years.

      Nelson hasn’t done a single thing in the NFL. I wouldn’t plan on him being a plug and play player. He is a project who can’t stay healthy. Ditto Beckwith and J. Evans.

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      • That’s why he was still there in the 4th round. 3rd day piccs are all projects whether its physical or mental. Unfortunate that injuries happen but let’s give the benefit of doubt that they were shut down for the year thinking about their young careers and looking towards the next after starting 2-6.
        Who knows. I’m just being hopeful that they and all our young talent will be on the team by this time next year.

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        • Sorry man. That’s true about Nelson developing and potentially being an asset. I got my blood up.

          I do hope Nelson develops into a great player. I just know that this offseason the Bucs could be losing JPP, Nassib, and maybe even Barrett at DE. They are all free agents. The Bucs will need someone to replace that lost production and Im not as optimistic about unproven players who haven’t shown anything on the pro level yet.

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          • Barrett has said publicly that he loves Tampa and wants to stay. I hope we try to keep the main pieces of our DEF here – and start trimming the fat on the offensive side with some new blood.

            Maybe we could pry Alex Smith away from WAS for OJ Howard and a late pick. Smart guy and would pick up Bruce Arians’ system quicker than most. Invest on the OL to keep the QB upright and we should be good to go for 2020

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      • i saw Nelson amke a few.impressive plays in the limited time he was out there and while I think Nassib is better at this point still, I think he is the guy you let leave if it means keeping the rest of the DL together. I mean when JPP was out Shaq didn’t do much with Nassib once the NFL woke up to how great Barrett is! Shaq Barrett was facing double teams with a RB chipping and still got closer than Nassib almost every play and Nassib was singled every play! If they didn’t double team Shaq, (Not smart) they had to do it to Vea or Suh, depending on the talent they were facing. Let Nassib go and let’s all cross our fingers they can keep this DL together and that Nelson quickly grows into a worthy backup to JPP. If they, meaning Licht, pays Nassib over JPP or Suh I will be irate! If he lets Shaq walk and overpays Nassib I may seriously stop watching until he is fired. I can see him doing this too! Like if we can’t (read “Licht won’t”) pay Shaq I can totally see Licht overlaying Nassib as .if that’s who he wanted all along! Didn’t something similar happen with Gholston?? Who completely sucked until he put on a LOT of weight this year and had some real coaches and players by him and we stopped asking him to start?? PAY SHAQ!! (As little as possible obviously but also as much as needed! LOL)

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        • Sorry, forgot to edit!

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        • Uhhhh…. Yeah….. Gholston was resigned to his current deal after grading out as a top run defender in the NFL. Also, he started all of 2019 so they didn’t stop asking him to start. The problem with Gholston was never his ability, it was him being asked to play more of a pass rush style as a 4-3 DE when he’s always been better suited for the role of run-stuffing 3-4 DE. Just my thoughts on your comment

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  24. I like the positions targeted for this mock draft, but I don’t think we’ll be selecting a QB in the first round. I think the best move is to save the franchise tag for Shaq (you guys mentioned on the podcast that he’d be a steal at LB prices) and sign Winston to some kind of front-loaded deal that allows us to cut him after a year with minimal cash left on the table.

    This team has to move on from Jameis soon. Yes, he can throw for a ton of yards and touchdowns, but there is just no precedent (including Favre) for this kind of carelessness with the ball. There is no coaching staff in the world with the experience in constructing a defensive game plan to compensate for Winston’s Olympic level interception rate.

    Are all the picks his fault? Of course not. But someone already pointed out that there are routinely 2-3 dropped picks each game. BA himself conceded that even though that last pick six was tipped, it shouldn’t have gone to an obviously covered Cam Brate anyway.

    Draft OLine, Dline, and find a QB with serious potential but stupid questions about height in rounds 2-3: you know, like a Drew Brees or Russ Wilson.

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    • Sounds great! Who did you have in mind for a short QB teams STILL have questions about after 2 shorter QB’s went #1 overall the last two years and each had success their rookie years?? Most teams have woke to the fact that while height is good, the added mobility a shorter QB can bring can definitely make up for it. I thought Doug Flutie answered that question a long time ago then Drew Brees and Russell Wilson more recently but we didn’t see it, truly until the last two years in the draft. How many great QB’s weren’t even DRAFTED because of height?? How many never even got a shot since Flutie? I guarantee at least one HOF.. You know, since there’s no way to prove it!

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  25. Will be interesting off season to say they least. I still think Winston gets one year tag at least. I have no issue with drafting a QB at some pick this year to compete but for gods sake use first rd on OT! Whoever the QB is needs a better runs game and O line. Rest of draft scenarios and priorities look about right.

    Oh not that matters I’ll have go back but I think I predicted 8-8 give or take two. Meaning I could see 10 or even 11 if injuries and luck go their way. Hell he did it in Arizona but the biggest factor that kept us from winking 9-11 always to Winston IMO it was the defame and how bad the secondary was that killed us. At worst maybe can say was 50/50 Winston and defense. Hell Gay cost us two games. I also didn’t think we would only win 6 like Vegas predicted but I knew if they had bad luck and lot injuries was possible.

    All said and done it was huge improvement. They were very close to winning 9-10 if not for refs, missed kicks and worst defense for half season…..

    I’m Looking at it as glass half full regardless of Winston stays or not. I’m not optimistic any rookie or any of the garbage free agents will do great next year so that sucks imo. I guess perfect scenario I’d like to see Winston throw 35 tds and 5000 yards and about 20 int. It certainly is possible given it was first year with this offense and lot WR played like crap too for a while Howard and Perriman both were not helping at all..

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  26. Perriman was great last 6 or 7 games though.

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    • Absolutely – can you imagine Periman and M. Evans on the outside, Godwin in the slot and Brate consistently at TE? D coordinators nightmare – who do you cover!!!!!!

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  27. Really don’t like this mock. Round 1 should be to find a new corner stone left tackle. Rounds 2 & 3 should be guard and DT, best available in those rounds. After that I’m fine filling in at RB, Edge, OT, ILB. Any insight into status of Justin Evans – if he’s done, I’d grab another S. Same with Beckwith. Also, I would focus on players from the SEC and the elite programs. Tired of Licht trying to outsmart everyone with the diamonds in the rough. Also – no way I’d take Herbert, period. Not sure what all the excitement is about, strong arm for sure, but feels like a lot of hype.

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  28. Waiting for some time to pass.. Will jump in and really start looking at film, maybe. I usually do. If the Bucs move on from Winston, the only way I’m really for it is if they get a modern NFL QB. The drop back, pocket passer is a dying breed. How the LB’s are playing the Bucs make it really difficult, but they can because the QB runs a 5.0 40..(ok, a 4.98) That is beyond slow. Last play was a great example. Shotgun, LBs have no responsibility for a QB run, just drop back and play pass with no regard to run. Modern NFL QBs take the free 6-7 yards there without a risk.

    My 2 cents now is to play a little long term fantasy. Franchise Winston, trade the first round pick for someone’s next 2021 pick, then roll with it. If Winston pulls a Winston, go all in for Trevor Lawrence in 2021 by packaging both 2021’s and our 2022 pick. If the team is really that close why not. I can live through one more Winston season for 5 or more with Trevor Lawrence. Problem… Arians will never buy into this plan.

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  29. Deep draft for offensive line and with Dotson up in age and quality of the draft at that position, I would focus on that position.

    I love your mock overall: Don’t think the RB from LSU will fall that far. My mock assumes we re-sign the defensive guys from last year. If we don’t re-sign Barrett, JPP and Suh, I would have a different mock.

    How about
    1st: Jedrick Wills Jr RT Alabama
    2nd: Jalen Hurts QB Oklahoma
    3rd: Clyde Edwards Helaire RB LSU – Cam Akers FSU if not available
    4th: Jeffrey Gladney DB TCU
    Compensatory Pick: Julian Okwara OLB, ND
    5th: Jonah Jackson G/C Ohio State
    6th: Braden Mann P Texas A&M

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    • This isn’t too bad, other than Hurts in the 2nd. If he is there in rd 3 I’d take a flyer on him, maybe not even then

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  30. I totally reject the notion that quality quarterbacks are only available in the top 15 picks .. or the top 10 picks.

    Lamar Jackson – this year’s MVP – no. 32 pick. Russell Wilson, the consensus runnerup to Jackson for MVP, former two time Super Bowl quarterback with a ring .. third round.

    Patrick Mahomes was merely a no. 10 pick – and KC caught massive ridicule over taking such an obvious failure in the first round at all, because everybody knew that a quarterback like Mahomes could never succeed in the NFL.

    And just look at all the recent no. 1 or top 5 pick QBs who’ve already failed in just the last several years .. Trubiskey anyone? Mayfield anyone?

    It is NEVER about how HIGH you pick – it is ALWAYS about how WELL you pick.

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    • The GOAT himself T. Brady was a 6th rd pick.

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    • Please let us know the identity of the no-name QB in this Draft who is going to be a super star. You’re on the clock.

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  31. Use OJ Howard in a trade to move up as many spots as possible in the 1st round to land the best OL available. I think the Jags pick at #9 is realistic. He doesn’t fit this system, has missed 20% of games due to injury and for a mid-1st round pick has been somewhat of a disappointment when we didn’t really need a tight end at the time. I didn’t like the pick when Licht drafted him, especially when our defense needed help and Jabrill Peppers and TJ Watt were still on the board.

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  32. Tyson Hill of the Saints is a RFA, I’d make him a priority signing. Think about it. He’s big, strong arm, great running ability. He’s sat behind an NFL QB GOAT the last few years, Brees, and one of the best ever offensive coaches of all time. Love his moxie, think he’s ready to get a serious look as a starter. Be nice to steal him from a division rival. If you make the commitment to give him a shot, let Winston walk, you’d be paying him half of what Jameis’s price is. I could get excited about next year if Winston is gone, and we roll the dice with Ty Hill.

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    • Yeah if it were realistic to run an RPO every play with a heavy lean towards the R..? Then sure, Taysom Hill it is! Why not ask Tebow to come back and do it while we’re at it?? I mean, I like the added ability to throw defenses, sure, and for that reason I hope Nick Fitzgerald gets healthy and works out in that role but NO ONE has seen enough of Hill throwing consistently to say he’s anything more than a change up type QB. And, if I’m the Saints, I personally think any play where you take your best player and future HOF QB OFF THE FIELD for a gimmicky, lucky to be a 3rd string back-up QB is just stupid.

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      • IDGA, I couldn’t have said it any better

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  33. I like this story but the situation at quarterback was clearly laid out by Arians at one of his press conferences. It all makes sense what he plans to do.
    1) Carefully evaluate all of Winston’s interceptions in all 16 games on tape and determine how many are his fault and how many are blown routes, blown line protection, etc.
    2) He will NOT release the results of that analysis, but that will give him a good idea if he should be resigned or not – and for how much and for how long.
    3) He also wants to see who is available in the draft when it is their turn to draft. For his input on that he will obviously be closely involved when they come up at #14 in round 1, #13 in round 2, #12 in round 3, #11 in round 4, number #19 in round 5, #18 in round 6, and #17 in round 7.
    4) They also will be paying attention to the free agent market. While I don’t think they would be interested in Tom Brady (who is going to be a free agent) or Manning, they might be interested in a short term deal with Philip Rivers. Or a longer term deal with Teddy Bridgewater if New Orleans is dumb enough to let him go (they probably won’t).

    In other words, all options are open. The 30 million Winston’s agent was declaring with one game to go is a pipe dream – no manager in their right mind will blow that on a QB as inconsistent as he has been over 5 years. Maybe an incentive laden contract could get him there but not guaranteed. For example, Winston could get $10 million guaranteed. Every TD thrown over 20 is another 2 million. Every interception thrown over 20 he loses a million. Every fumble he loses he loses another million. His floor would be $10 million. His best could be $30 million. This year with that contract he would have made $36 million, minus $19 million or 15 million (39 turnovers, 33 touchdowns). A risk loaded contract would work for the Bucs – but might not work for Winston because he wants more guaranteed – but I would hope no team would give him that.

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  34. bad mock draft.

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  35. There is no way the Bucs draft a QB in round 1 at #14.
    There is no way that Taylor, Swift, Ettienne or Dobbins makes it back to Tampa in round 2.
    There is no way that a right tackle or center IN THIS DRAFT has more value than a top 3 running back for THIS team.
    There is no guarantee that JPP, Nassib or Barrett return at OLB. Since there isn’t a great supply in the draft or FA, it will drive their value up. Same with DT and Suh, Nacho, and Allen.
    There is no free agent or draft pick at QB better for BA and Byron than Winston.

    Subjectively, this defense is in playoff form. They have some aging vets that will hopefully return for a 2-3 year window and run. This offense is missing 2 pieces. ONLY 2. A stud running back and a right tackle. That is all folks.

    Bucs get a RB in 1, a RT at 2, and BPA the rest of the way. Take it to the bank.

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    • Hey Big Stupid hat is this all you do troll on New Year’s day SAD!!!

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      • Funny Trump-Tweet impersonation!

        But seriously fellow Bucs fan, if you disagree with my comment, feel free to make an argument with stats, your game experience, historical references or clever observations.

        I promise you friend, I will read it and listen to what you’re trying to say. I love the Bucs and just want them to win.

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  36. I’m not even going to comment about guessing what player is going to go and what round; way too early and Trevor is going to have a more accurate one next week.

    There is no question our number one priority is to have a Quarterback we feel comfortable with. I believe overwhelming majority believes it’s not Winston. There will be available QBs whose contracts expired I would be comfortable with over Winston. Regardless, we have to either draft a quarterback in the first or second round. Change is good and in this case change is wonderful! Go Bucs!

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  37. Donovan Smith remain the LT

    Smith will be a LT. I’ve noticed that some people’s thinking haven’t gottenup to date about the two positions. The LT tho still important for protecting a right hand Qb blindspot. From what I’ve observed, the on field position is pretty much equal these days. If Smith goes to the right side he’s gonna get bodied. The talent and competition will overwhelm him. The 4-3DE are stronger, longer and are faster than the outdated perception of them. The 3-4 rush linebaccers are faster, more agile, and pacc a punch to be pound 4 pound. Just some premier names that play on that side. Von Miller, Bosa brothers, Camaren Hayward, Watt brothers, Calais Campbell. Daniell Hunter. Without any research I think he faced only two upper tier edge rushers in C. Jones and J. Clowney this year. And struggles a lot. Some say a couple times or just a few. I say a lot because with his contract and the competition he’s going against, those couple or few mistakes get bumped to a lot. Yall see what happens to Dotson, what makes yall think it won’t happen to Smith(real question, really enjoy yalls insight and opinions)?? He better dive into his craft gearing up for a possible position change or keep his ass cozy on the left side doing the minimum against minimum comp.
    I tip my hat to Dotson for his battles. Age and injuries have sapped his physical gifts to play at a high level. He gets beat in humiliating fashion sometimes. But he got heart tho.

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    • My thoughts. The tackle positions are more important than the guard position but with the way teams rush the quarterback now from both sides of the line, the right tackle position has to be every bit as adept at controlling the pass rush. Look at Barrett and JPP as examples of guys who have gotten sacks from the left DE/OLB position. I’ve seen Von Miller and JJ Watt on both sides of the line. I could not speak to other defensive pass rushers quoted above though although my guess is they have played on both sides of the defensive line.

      Why would you move smith from the left side to the right side with the game as it is today. If he turns out worse there, you have hurt yourself.

      The line is not great and with Dotson out of a contract, lack of depth and especially since it is a strong draft for O lineman go get one or two. But you just don’t totally mess with an offensive line that allowed a team to lead the league in most passing yards this year. We scored a ton of points. Everyone only wants to give credit to the quarterback and receivers. I don’t mind if you choose to give more to them. But you can’t say this O line was a failure this year. None of the coaches on the Buc’s will agree with you either.

      I tend to disagree with the fans that just think we are going to be able to replace Dotson, Jenson and D Smith.

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  38. With that same perception on the RT position, the team can get a true, bonafide RT with experience and reps at his natural position in the bacc 20 of the of the 1st or in the top 10 of the second. Just on position value.
    Reason C might be a target is because after the 20-21 season, Jenson can cut to save that 11mil. Also he’s very upgradeable. He isn’t good enough to not think or look for one.

    There’s young talent out there that could fit along the teams D-line that be brought in for cheap. Get some more S. Barrett type deals. I see about 10 guys that could potentially have that same low foor high ceiling impact. 1yr deals. Two targets I’m hopeful for are L. Williams and D. Shelton
    I think Barrett will get the long term deal. There will be some contract language for bonuses, guarantee money, and incentives to make both sides happy. Depending on how JPP feels he can be brought bacc on a 2yr deal with some big cash thrown up front to make up for what he lost in the renegotiation. Sign a FA Edge Rusher on a 1yr or low 2yr contract. Draft one on the 3rd day. Maybe use another 4th rounder. Make a decision on one of the TEs or both. I think they are both up for negotiation this time next year. I feel Anthony Auclair(?) can be just as effective stepping in.
    Sign two experienced and proven ST returners. Get some life to the ST return game. It’s a game of inches.
    Now the Winston decision. Do they use the franchise tag and prolong the same situation next year or sign him to the normal paid 3yr contract. I believe in letting him go or keep him to bridge with a reasonable salary. Chris Godwin is going to need to be either this offseason or next. You guy heard my formula. I would rather keep the rest of the team together. Retain the defensive guys. Add defensive guys. Draft a QB and left him sit for the year.

    I dont believe Winston can ever when a championship. I’m not talking about his decision making or his ball security issues. I also believe he is very very talented physically. Just the next gen of QBs are on a different level. If he could turn his game around, I just feel like he’s gonna come up short. Even tho us fans just want a good football team to see. It’s still about winning championships. 5 yrs ago he was blue chip. The bar to blue chip has been risen in just that small amount of time

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  39. *1st rd-DT/DE-KINLAW or EPENESA, but if gone then OT-USC-JACKSON-6’6 305, ALA-WILLS-6’5 320, IOWA-WIRFS-6’5 322 [Best of GRP]
    *2nd rd-OG GA-SOLOMON KINDLEY-6’4 335, KY-LOGAN STERNBERG-6’6 322, OT HOUSTON-JOSH JONES-6’7 310, ALA-LEATHERWOOD-6’6 322, [Best of GRP]
    *3rd rd-RB: OKST-CHUBA HUBBARD, UTAH-ZACK MOSS, LSU-CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRE [Best of these RBs]
    *4th rd-QB Sam Ehlinger TX
    THEN BPA remainder of draft
    [#1-JAVON KINLAW-DT, #2-JOSH JONES-OT, #3-CHUBA HUBBARD-RB, #4-SAM EHLINGER-QB]

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    • Epenesa just made that USC tackle, Jackson, look bad in the bowl game.

      I personally love Wills Jr and would be very happy with him in the 1st round.

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  40. Magoobee said that if Jameis gets pressure, he folds. In an offense where you are expected to win with the pass, that is often the case. Bucs opponents don’t respect the Bucs running game and so they pin their ears back and rush Jameis unmercifully. That is a recipe for the el foldo imo. This draft should be centered around O-linemen heavily imo. Drafttek agrees with me and showed it by their latest 7 round mock draft.

    1. Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa 2. Shane Limieux OG Oregon 3. Justin Madubuike DT Texas A&M 4. Chuba Hubbard RBF Oklahoma State 5. Patrick Johnson Edge Tulane 6. Terence Steele OT Texas Tech.

    I would take that draft all day long. Franchise Jameis and find a QB in free agency. The Bucs used a similar shotgun approach to upgrade their secondary over the last 2 drafts and late this season the youngsters started playing good. They should be even better next year. The O-line is the Elephant in the room. To pretend it’s not is not prudent. I’d like to see how Jameis performs in a more balanced offense.

    Jameis is the first QB to make the 30-30 club, but he is only the 8th NFL QB to throw for 5000 yards and that is nothing to sneeze at. You don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater.

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  41. If the Bucs had listened to the fans and media last year, they would have drafted OT Jonah Williams instead of Devin White. You guys and girls would be calling it another Licht failure had they picked that bust.

    Truth be told, I was a big Josh Allen advocate. I was the first on these boards to reason he would fall right into Tampa’s lap. I thought the top linemen in the first round last year were underwhelming.

    So I was right but who cares.

    It’s not the first touchdown I’ve scored and it won’t be the last.

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    • So Jonah Williams is a bust after an injury riddled season? That must mean Jamel Dean is the best CB to ever play the game.

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      • They say, “Your best ability is availability” and it’s true especially on the line. Other disappointing non factor tackles drafted in round 1 include tytus Howard and Andre Dillard.

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        • All I’m saying, is it seems like you’re jumping the gun on Jonah. For the record, I was an advocate of drafting Josh Allen and his 10 sacks. He’ll be runner up for DROY.

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          • Im not jumping anything. Im supremely satisfied that Licht drafted defense at #5 last year and not a slow right tackle with short arms.

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          • I liked Jonah Williams as a player – tough break with the injury, but he’ll be back in 2020.

            https://www.mockdraftable.com/player/jonah-williams

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    • “If the Bucs had listened to the fans and media last year, they would have drafted OT Jonah Williams instead of Devin White.”

      That’s not fair or accurate bigsombrero. The favored choice was far and away Josh Allen at #5.

      I think White will be a great player – but MLBs can be found elsewhere much easier than stud DEs can.

      Jonah still looks like he can have a good career so wouldn’t count him as a bust just yet either – but truth be told the voices from the sidelines were calling for Allen.

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      • https://www.pewterreport.com/srs-fab-5-white-is-right-fit-for-bucs-5-risks-arians-is-taking/

        A lot of commenters wanted to replace free agent left tackle Donovan Smith. He hadn’t gotten his new contract yet when these initial drafts came out. A lot of people had the Bucs grabbing Juwaan Taylor or Jonah Williams to immediately replace Smith.

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        • https://www.pewterreport.com/srs-fab-5-fate-bucs-lt-smith-all-or-nothing-with-arians/

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  42. If the Bucs draft a QB first, it will save a bunch of money under the cap. Oline should be our first priority, as you need 2 good tackles to succeed in this league, but I would understand the pick of Herbert. New page at qb, and money that will easily be spent elsewhere to improve the team.

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  43. I thought this team was 3-13 and among the worst teams in the NFC at the start of the season. That 4 game streak in the latter half proved me wrong. Not sure I agree with the need for any secondary players this draft. After the last three drafts, I think we need to make this a secondary-free draft. Let’s see how the players they picked up develop before we load up on more DB’s. This draft is about two things: the o-line and d-line. This of course assumes Winston comes back which I think he does. Not a big fan of Winston but want to see what he can do with a team that actually has a decent line to protect him. Licth’s failure to provide an adequate line is criminal imo.

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    • If the line is not addressed, I will change my name to FireLichtNow lol. I know how tremendously heartbroken he will be. To your point about the trenches, you couldn’t be more spot on. I do think we can do better than Winston though. Coming from a Noles and Bucs fan.

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  44. Other than an OL tweak, someone to actually RETURN kicks and maybe some depth at LB, I think the Bucs are in good shape next year save for anticipated QB play. So the question remains can Winston be fixed? or is he a lost cause? I assume his coaches understand what’s going wrong … and I’m sure they already know what can be done to “fix” him, if it’s fixable.

    I assume the team has determined their backup QB is not the answer … so unless some magical 5th rnd. QB pops up from Maine State, it’s either keep Winston and fix his coaching or bundle someone from our receiving corp. in a swap for someone’s really good backup QB. Then coach that guy to become a decent starter. Worked for the Titans.

    Frankly, I think the Bucs – even with the Ints./TOs, are an exciting team to watch, even with – or should I say especially with, Winston under center.

    Go Bucs!

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  45. I like the draft picks and I agree with how you graded our needs. I believe we need to commit to re-signing our defensive front and maybe add a couple of mid to late round D-lineman. I love that you have us going Qb and OT with the first two pics. I would just want to throw in a FA Qb to go with Herbert being drafted and that’s Alex Smith if he’s healthy. I believe Alex Smith could run this offense efficiently and act as a bridge QB until Herbert Is ready.

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  46. This mock draft is so terrible really disappointed

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  47. With that draft Trevor you have my vote to become our new GM. If by some miracle we came out with that group of players it would signify a resurgence of hope that we have not seen since parting ways with Chucky.

    Your draft would be the greatest draft in Buccaneers history!

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  48. Trevor – I think your mock is pretty good. I believe we would have an extra 4th round pick too and then draft best OG there. Then you picked QB, OT, DT, RB, OG, S, OT (franchise JW for the year and start the rookie QB later).

    If we can get the stud RB at 14th, that would be enticing. Then go RB, OT, QB, OG/C, OG/C , S, OT

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  49. Sign Winston to a Tag, or 2-3 incentive heavy deal,
    1st rd: Best OT
    2nd-6th: BPA (Heavy in the trenches and one day 2 safety (assuming Justin Evans is done).
    See y’all in the playoffs next year.

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